Friday, Feb 12, 2010
Don't expect a hpc or recovery any time soon
The Casey Report: An Insider’s View of the Real Estate Train Wreck
Must read insights from a US housing insider. Details are different to the UK but the result is similar to here and Spain etc .
1: "For all intents and purposes, the United States home mortgage market has been nationalized without anybody noticing."
2: New rules let banks warehouse the bad assets without reporting losses in value. "It means the FDIC and the Treasury Department have decided that rather than see 1,000 or 2,000 banks go under and then create another RTC to sift through all the bad assets, they’ll let the banking system warehouse the bad assets. Their plan is to leave the assets in place, and then, [hope] when the market changes, let the banks deal with them."
3: The result will be a Japanese style decades long stagnation and indigestion of illiquid mis-priced assets.
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