Monday, Aug 17, 2009
So, what will happen to the UK?
BBC: Japan's economy leaves recession
"Japan has come out of recession after its economy grew by 0.9% in the April-to-June quarter. Correspondents say that the rise is due to a huge government stimulus package and it is unclear whether the momentum will be sustained". "...and Hong Kong recorded growth of 3.3% in the three months from April to June".
Posted by alan @ 08:47 AM (838 views) Add Comment
12 Comments
- If you do not have an admin password leave the password field blank.
- If you would like to request a password allowing you to add comments and blog news articles without needing each one approved manually, send an e-mail to the webmaster.
- Your email address is required so we can verify that the comment is genuine. It will not be posted anywhere on the site, will be stored confidentially by us and never given out to any third party.
- Please note that any viewpoints published here as comments are user's views and not the views of HousePriceCrash.co.uk.
- Please adhere to the Guidelines
1. mark said...
i am beginning to wonder if this is propaganda....
2. David D said...
It's not propaganda. It's stimulus. With so much being pumped into the global economy, we are bound to come out of the recession. The danger is that we come out temporarily and when governments stop printing money we will enter recession again. That is by no means a certainty, but a real danger. It's not uncommon for real GDP to fluctuate around 0 over a few quarters when in economic difficulties.
I think we will alternate between positive and negative growth over the winter/spring and then start to pick up slowly next summer.
3. mrflibble said...
"So, what will happen to the UK?"
Thanks to Brown trying to sustain the unsustainable we'll be stuck in a recession for many years to come, but that's only if we manage to avoid a full blown currency collapse, which is looking more and more unlikely by the day...
4. japanese uncle said...
Not only this, but the news of recovery in Germany/France sounds unfinitely fishy. Maybe another effort to rig stock markets. We all know that statistics can so easily be manipulated, not least the unemployment ratio in the US.
5. uncle tom said...
One Swallow doesn't make a summer, and the detail of what is happening in Japan is of little relevance here.
- Did you mean to say 'UNlikely' mrflibble?
6. mrmickey said...
Sorry can somebody remind me where the demand is coming from to push them out of recession
7. Enoughalready said...
Japan and Germany sell cars. Governments worldwide have introduced artificial stimilus to sell more cars.
Not surprising that Japan and Germany are exporting more then, is it?
Once everyone has a new car in exchange for their old banger - what then? Saturation point will soon be reached imo.
8. Crashwatcher said...
Is the Japanese Recovery similar to that of Germany?
I.e. German GDP went down 5% then rose by 0.1% in a quarter - i.e. it is down 4.9% overall
GDP went down 3% and is now only falling slightly i.e. it is down by around 3% overall
Which econony is worst the one that is down by 4.9% or one down 3%?
9. stillthinking said...
The Japanese government recently mailed cash to everybody....
Probably most of it was saved but some must have found its way into the shops. Even my wife got some although she lives here now, cos it was painted up as a "rebate" on taxes. I think probably there will be some interesting developments in Japan in the future, because they are about to politically shift for the first time ever. I read somewhere or other one of the ideas floating around was to stop trying to suppress the value of the yen i.e. accept deflation and deflate. I got the feeling it was the idea nothing else is working so what have we got to lose. The Japanese have got a lot more faith in their savings than I have, because if they ever attempted to spend them they would discover a rotten hole at the bottom of the bucket. After all if everybody is a millionaire then nobody is. So something to watch.
ut, surely the behaviour of one of the largest creditors on the planet is of paramount interest to the UK. even something like a Harry Potter Japanese craze could result in 10 million cashed up tourists on the way.
10. uncle tom said...
"The Japanese government recently mailed cash to everybody"
I wouldn't be surprised if that happened here - probably just before the election...
11. bystander said...
All these countries coming out of the worst recession in a generation????Does this mean that to re-enter recession they all now have to show two quarters of negative growth again?? Anyone any ideas on time-frame for the next recessions to begin??
12. p. doff said...
10. uncle tom said...''I wouldn't be surprised if that happened here''
I would - I've been waiting for a four figure tax rebate for several months now. Every time I ring HMRC they blame the delay on problems with their new computer.
I bet that excuse wouldn't wash if I owed THEM some money!!!