Thursday, Jun 25, 2009

House prices to fall 40% - S&P

IRISH TIMES: House prices to fall 40% - S&P

Irish house prices will have declined by around 40 per cent from their peak in February by the end of next year, according to ratings agency Standard and Poor’s.
Its report on the European housing market said the Irish economy was suffering from a "very deep recession".

Posted by shoots @ 11:10 AM (647 views) Add Comment

5 Comments

1. nomad said...

I see the UK got a mention in the final paragraph.

"The duration and severity of the housing market decline would be different in each European country, the report said, noting that countries with the highest levels of personal debt were likely to see the longest downturn."

Thursday, June 25, 2009 01:35PM Report Comment
 

2. need-a-crash said...

"According to S&P house prices fell 21 per cent between February 2007 and April this year and will decline by 13 per cent overall this year. This will be followed by a further 10 per cent drop in 2010 bringing the overall fall to approximately 40 per cent, according to the report."

So approx. 20% 2008, 10% 2009 and 10% 2010 sounds about right for the UK as well.

Thursday, June 25, 2009 02:22PM Report Comment
 

3. nomad said...

Today's Moneyweek newsletter is arguing a further 40% drop from here! The price to earnings ratio is still higher than at the last peak in 1989.

Thursday, June 25, 2009 02:52PM Report Comment
 

4. Waitingtobuy said...

"noting that countries with the highest levels of personal debt were likely to see the longest downturn"
I wonder which country that is?

Thursday, June 25, 2009 04:52PM Report Comment
 

5. japanese uncle said...

At least 70% eventual drop from the peak can be reasonably predicted in Ireland having seen even more lunatic hike in the past 10 years, with all her much smaller economy with much less reserve than the UK. Expect 80% drop from the peak as safer option.

Thursday, June 25, 2009 07:54PM Report Comment
 

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