Tuesday, Mar 17, 2009

Green shoots in the US property market

CNN: Housing starts unexpectedly surge

Initial construction of U.S. homes unexpectedly surged in February, after falling for eight months, according to a government report released Tuesday.

Posted by flashman @ 08:31 PM (544 views) Add Comment

4 Comments

1. drewster said...

"according to a government report"

If I were the government, I'd be sorely tempted to massage the figures and make it look like recovery is on the way. Part of this financial crisis is a lack of confidence and upbeat figures can boost confidence. However, the Obama administration doesn't need to do this - they're still in the honeymoon and they can still blame Bush for everything that goes wrong. Thus I think these figures are unadulterated (though they could just be plain wrong).

Off-topic, but I just saw a tv ad for www.auctiontoday.co.uk - also known as Real Estate Disposition Corporation, the American property auction giant which was mentioned on here a few weeks ago.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009 10:23PM Report Comment
 

2. quiet guy said...

"With new home sales still falling and the months' supply at a record, there is no reason for homebuilding to rise," wrote Ian Sheperdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in a research note. "This is a temporary rebound, not a recovery."

Early days to start cheering the recovery perhaps? The market will inform us in due course.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009 10:31PM Report Comment
 

3. drewster said...

quiet guy,
In January the Halifax house price index showed a surprise 2.0% rise - but that was more than offset by February's 2.3% drop. One month's figures are meaningless.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009 10:52PM Report Comment
 

4. tyrellcorporation said...

I read somewhere yesterday (Bloomberg I think) that the only reason housing starts had increased dramatically was to do with ..... the weather. Ta-dahhhh!

An unusually mild start to the year in many states meant construction could start earlier and more rapidly. Mystery over.

Wednesday, March 18, 2009 09:21AM Report Comment
 

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