Saturday, Nov 15, 2008

The advanced economies will face stag-deflation (stagnation/recession and deflation) rather than sta

Forbes: Nouriel Roubini, The Worst Is Not Behind Us Doctor Doom

--Obama will inherit an economic and financial mess worse than anything the U.S. has faced in decades: the most severe recession in 50 years; the worst financial and banking crisis since the Great Depression; a ballooning fiscal deficit that may be as high as a trillion dollars in 2009 and 2010; a huge current account deficit; a financial system that is in a severe crisis and where deleveraging is still occurring at a very rapid pace, thus causing a worsening of the credit crunch; a household sector where millions of households are insolvent, into negative equity territory and on the verge of losing their homes; a serious risk of deflation as the slack in goods, labor and commodity markets becomes deeper; the risk that we will end in a deflationary liquidity trap

Posted by malct @ 02:31 PM (905 views) Add Comment

4 Comments

1. japanese uncle said...

Def-recession sounds better.

Anyway house will remain an impossible commodity for the foreseeable future = 15-20 years in the UK. because of the tidal wave of recession and unemployment, apart from the hundreds of thousands of anecdotal tragedies mainly involving BTL speculations which will be passed onto the next generation in a most vivid way thanks to the Internet. Given the expected extraordinary level of job insecurity, how can an average worker fancy buying a house (unless HP comes down to a level equivalent to around two (2) times net annual income indeed, which means 92% HPC in London, 70% elsewhere)

Saturday, November 15, 2008 02:50PM Report Comment
 

2. This comment has been removed as it was found to be in breach of our Blog Policies.

 

3. bellwether said...

Compared to some stuff floating around Roubini is begining to sound almost comforting

Saturday, November 15, 2008 08:08PM Report Comment
 

4. malct said...

bellwether - that's very civil of you

btw if I missed an 'l' out earlier I was misinformed and meant no offence


'bellwether' what an odd choice of ID

sounds like something a sheep would wear around it's ankle similar to a goat would have around it's neck.

nothing personal, it's just I was checking up on weather, wether and whether the other day and the wether version definately had something to do with sheep.

Sorry mate, the RAF taught me how to wind people up many years ago and I'm stuck with the habit

But then you chose the tag so you must have the answer?

Saturday, November 15, 2008 09:28PM Report Comment
 

Add comment

Username   Admin Password (optional)
Email Address
Comments
  • If you do not have an admin password leave the password field blank.
  • If you would like to request a password allowing you to add comments and blog news articles without needing each one approved manually, send an e-mail to the webmaster.
  • Your email address is required so we can verify that the comment is genuine. It will not be posted anywhere on the site, will be stored confidentially by us and never given out to any third party.
  • Please note that any viewpoints published here as comments are user's views and not the views of HousePriceCrash.co.uk.
  • Please adhere to the Guidelines

Main Blog | Archive | Add Article | Blog Policies