Tuesday, Nov 25, 2008

Bank issuing a negative assessment of housebuilders

YAHOO Finance: Broker snap: Land value crash to hit housebuilders

Credit Suisse (CS) believes the trading outlook for housebuilders in 2009 is “extremely poor” as consumer confidence continues to dive and credit availability remains restricted. CS believes the resale of repossessed properties will act as a further drag on the housing market, forcing housebuilders to slash prices to generate sales income to keep the bank manager happy.

Posted by crashonitsway @ 11:02 AM (219 views) Add Comment

1 Comment

1. mark wadsworth said...

“Our incremental concern surrounds land prices. We now expect a decline, peak-to-trough, of 60%."

Sigh, it's them pesky land values again! Pure land values dropped by two-thirds in the early nineties, and then increased five or ten fold. A 60% fall is the absolute minimum, it could well be 80% (Japanese Uncle - "99%!") this time, why not?

Summary - high land values are an unexploded bomb ... that always explodes, dragging the rest of the economy with them.

Our old friend Land Value Tax man could sort this all out. And no, I am not in favour of high taxes. Taxes on incomes and production should be cut anyway, LVT should be a replacement tax so it would enable us to cut rates (or increase welfare and pension levels) even further.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008 12:49PM Report Comment
 

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