Friday, Sep 19, 2008
Prescient Economist
Accountancy Today: Debt and Doom? (Dec 2003)
James Dean once put it pithily. “Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today”.
Britain’s consumers have been behaving in a way that JD would like. They have been out there spending away like billy-o. Saving for tomorrow is largely out; expenditure for today is in. For example, on some measures, borrowing through extra mortgages and remortgaging is at all-time highs.
I worry about this. A natural question is: could the remarkable debt levels in Britain lead bit-by-bit to a serious economic crash? It is impossible to say for sure. But I think the answer is yes. It is sensible to face the possibility that the decade might bring a nasty economic downturn caused by a domino-like spiral in confidence.
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