Thursday, Sep 25, 2008

Good bye dollar, US, Fiat currency

The Times: Wall St bailout - the deal is done

Gold!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by matt_the_hat @ 08:44 PM (1049 views) Add Comment

20 Comments

1. whiteknight said...

.. of the black variety.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:02PM Report Comment
 

2. mark said...

more like gold painted lead..

I understand paulson made a lot f money on wall street, i wonder if he is looking after his mates with this bailout

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:08PM Report Comment
 

3. handle_it said...

“We’ve also dealt, effectively I think, with the issue of effective oversight, with home ownership preservation, as well as executive compensation."

Ahhh as well as the suits are being looked after eh :o)

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:08PM Report Comment
 

4. Bellwether said...

Really enjoyed the site over the past year or so but views seem to be becoming increasingly one dimensional. Even without the absurd conspiracy theories and nights of destruction, there seems to be a tediously monochrome concensus eg proposed bail out is bad, fiat currency is doomed etc. What doesn't emerge from comments is any sense of alternative solutions to the crisis, beyond maybe stocking up on tins of soup and bullets for the gun.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:12PM Report Comment
 

5. plato said...

'Mr Paulson wants to create a federal-backed fund into which troubled bank can dump distressed assets. The banks are to sell these mortgage-backed bonds at a discount to the fund. Mr Paulson hopes that once the market recovers, the Treasury will be able to sell the bonds back into the market and recoup taxpayer funds. He is also hoping that once the banks are able to rid themselves of such assets, they will begin lending to one another again and America's capital markets will return to normal.'
Fat Chance!!!!!

Let's wait and see the details of this deal. I expect as long as they include the clause : (You may not get back the whole of your investment.) It will be ok to do the deal.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:22PM Report Comment
 

6. alan said...

Can anyone answer:

* Exactly what will the Government do with those houses?
* What will the losses be?
* How much would it cost to prevent foreclosures?
* What about walk-aways?

This situation has been building for months & months. But still no answers are available...??

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:36PM Report Comment
 

7. dohousescrashinthewoods said...

I'm in for the gold club.

I'm due a spot of capital soon, so whilst everyone is getting high on the market bounce and (hopefully) gold is languishing, I'll be looking to increase my holding in preparation for the decline when it starts to go mainstream that 700Bil is but a sniff of what's needed.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 09:45PM Report Comment
 

8. Luckyjim said...

Always believe in your soul.

You've got the power to know.

Your indestructabear-earl

Thursday, September 25, 2008 10:33PM Report Comment
 

9. gardeniadotnet said...

@bellweather said... >What doesn't emerge from comments is any sense of alternative solutions to the crisis...

That's because there aren't any solutions at the moment (there are too may unknown variables), and believe me, I'm looking.

However, when the post-capitulation dust settles, this site looks like being a primary source of information for advice on the way forward.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 10:42PM Report Comment
 

10. icarus said...

@Bellweather - Solutions? Bobby Fischer, former world champion chess player, was once asked to find a way out of a chess situation that was presented to him. He looked at the board and said "I would never have gotten into that mess in the first place" and didn't attempt the task. Also, you're at liberty to suggest your own solution.

The consensus here is for governments to stop interfering and to allow markets to correct. The greater the interference the more painful and protracted the correction. Also government and central bank interference or administration of markets by fiat puts private individuals on the inside track and enables them to do mega insider deals. It's a power thing, not a technical one.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 11:09PM Report Comment
 

11. sold 2 rent 1 said...

Bellweather,

The solutions can only be viewed once you have starred into the abyss.
Accept fiat money is finished
Accept capitalism is finished
Accept materialism is finished
The future is then very bright indeed.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 11:45PM Report Comment
 

12. Bellwether said...

Seems hopelessly idealistic, by which I mean it seems impossible to really envisage. When looking around for solutions I'm more intrested in what someone like Buffett thinks than say Ron Paul. It's easy to go over board on this stuff. Think there is probably little alternative but to intervene at present, a collapse of the banking system would be a catostrophe and no less of that because certain people might get their just deserts. Greater regulation later absolutely, although as we know that will never happen because that's not how the world works.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 11:54PM Report Comment
 

13. gardeniadotnet said...

@s2r1...

Accept fiat money is finished Probably
Accept capitalism is finished Possibly
Accept materialism is finished Unlikely
The future is then very bright indeed. Don't know

Thursday, September 25, 2008 11:58PM Report Comment
 

14. Bellwether said...

Incidentally Bobby Fischer ended his life as mad and paranoid as S2R1's declarations. Think it is great that the site has widened from just discussing property - which is a one way bet now. A bit of variation and rigour wouldn't go amiss however.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 11:59PM Report Comment
 

15. gardeniadotnet said...

>Bobby Fischer, former world champion chess player, was once asked to find a way out of a chess situation that was presented to him. He looked at the board and said "I would never have gotten into that mess in the first place" and didn't attempt the task.

Reminds me of the old joke:

Visitor: Can you direct me to Newtown?
Local: Well, I wouldn't start from here.

Friday, September 26, 2008 12:12AM Report Comment
 

16. drewster said...

Bellwether,

You're right that we haven't explicitly discussed alternatives on this website. There are however a number of excellent alternative proposals. Have a look at their ideas and see what you think. I'm not an economist so I don't claim to know the best solution, but I'm pretty confident that this bailout (as proposed) is a bad idea for US taxpayers.

George Soros' alternative
Mish's alternative
Hussman's alternative
Washington Post summary of alternatives

There are many alternatives from distinguished economists who have no vested interest (other than as taxpayers) in the plans. Some 190 economists are listed as being opposed to the plan; there are no lists of how many are in favour. The only people who seem to support this plan are the government insiders.

Friday, September 26, 2008 12:32AM Report Comment
 

17. drewster said...

Also for another tried and tested alternative, see this article:

NY Times: How Sweden Solved Its Bank Crisis

A banking system in crisis after the collapse of a housing bubble. An economy hemorrhaging jobs. A market-oriented government struggling to stem the panic. Sound familiar?

It does to Sweden. The country was so far in the hole in 1992 — after years of imprudent regulation, short-sighted economic policy and the end of its property boom — that its banking system was, for all practical purposes, insolvent.

But Sweden took a different course than the one now being proposed by the United States Treasury. And Swedish officials say there are lessons from their own nightmare that Washington may be missing.

Sweden did not just bail out its financial institutions by having the government take over the bad debts. It extracted pounds of flesh from bank shareholders before writing checks. Banks had to write down losses and issue warrants to the government.

That strategy held banks responsible and turned the government into an owner. When distressed assets were sold, the profits flowed to taxpayers, and the government was able to recoup more money later by selling its shares in the companies as well.

“If I go into a bank,” said Bo Lundgren, who was Sweden’s finance minister at the time, “I’d rather get equity so that there is some upside for the taxpayer.”

Sweden spent 4 percent of its gross domestic product, or 65 billion kronor, the equivalent of $11.7 billion at the time, or $18.3 billion in today’s dollars, to rescue ailing banks. That is slightly less, proportionate to the national economy, than the $700 billion, or roughly 5 percent of gross domestic product, that the Bush administration estimates its own move will cost in the United States.


But the final cost to Sweden ended up being less than 2 percent of its G.D.P. Some officials say they believe it was closer to zero, depending on how certain rates of return are calculated.

The tumultuous events of the last few weeks have produced a lot of tight-lipped nods in Stockholm. Mr. Lundgren even made the rounds in New York in early September, explaining what the country did in the early 1990s.

A few American commentators have proposed that the United States government extract equity from banks as a price for their rescue. But it does not seem to be under serious consideration yet in the Bush administration or Congress.

The reason is not quite clear. The government has already swapped its sovereign guarantee for equity in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance institutions, and the American International Group, the global insurance giant.

Putting taxpayers on the hook without anything in return could be a mistake, said Urban Backstrom, a senior Swedish finance ministry official at the time. “The public will not support a plan if you leave the former shareholders with anything,” he said.

Friday, September 26, 2008 12:40AM Report Comment
 

18. planning4acrash said...

I had a look at the page, and, I was the 666th person to view it, and this is the first I heard of the terrible news. This agreement certainly has the mark of the beast. So, the bible prophecies are to unfold. Yes, make sure you are in gold and silver, but also make sure that you are right with God, Jesus, your heart, whatever you happen to believe in. This is it folks.

Friday, September 26, 2008 02:42AM Report Comment
 

19. bystander said...

"Hopes rise as Americans agree to rescue the banks"

..........I think you'll find that most Americans vehemently object to the plan to bail out the rich financial whizzkids, to the detriment of each and every taxpayer. The Times is fast becoming a VI joke. Is there a single broadsheet, tabloid who tells it like it is?

Friday, September 26, 2008 07:03AM Report Comment
 

20. planning4acrash said...

Bystander, welcome to the revolution! I can't read a newspaper anymore without getting angry!! I notice now that the same baseline lies are told in the Metro Magazine, Sun and Independent and Guardian, but the broadsheets have a bit more fluff and discussion to make it look intellectual to the middle class.

Friday, September 26, 2008 11:08AM Report Comment
 

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