Wednesday, Jul 30, 2008

Sir James circumspect about bail out for lenders

Telegraph: Homeowners face call to act responsibly

"Sir James Crosby, the former HBOS chief executive who is leading a review into wholesale mortgage finance for the Treasury, may propose a regime of "tough love" for Britain's cash-strapped homeowners."

Posted by letthemfall @ 10:19 AM (1192 views) Add Comment

19 Comments

1. harold said...

If you want to understand the true scale of the bailout currently underway, check out the graph in this article by James Turk. The term "unprecedented" doesn't even begin to describe what is going on:

http://goldmoney.com/en/commentary.php

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 09:43AM Report Comment
 

2. renting2 said...

This is not what GB / AD want to hear.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:30AM Report Comment
 

3. growler said...

What Sir James he is saying is "don't meddle, let prices fall". Vince Cable is saying don't let the taxpayer pay for poor lending decisions. Common sense - and the good news is the Government are well and truly in a corner. They would never get away with supporting the market - which, in truth, is what they want "independent" sources to say.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:32AM Report Comment
 

4. japanese uncle said...

A banker having pushed cheap credit to the ignorant millions like opium, preaching men on the street to act responsibly!??

A drunk pissing on the pavement telling other pedestrians to behave themselves.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:38AM Report Comment
 

5. wdbeast said...

"There is still good availability of finance for those borrowers who offer significant security (i.e. have reliable earnings and seek to borrow 75pc or less of the value of their property),"

For mortgage purposes, the mortgage valuer decides on the value of the house.

I spoke to a friend yesterday who is selling his mother’s house after she went into a home.
The house was valued in January at between 600k and 650k, so he decided that in the current market they would sell at 590k.
Despite 45 viewings he has had no offers, until 3 weeks ago he was offered 450k cash, which he decided to accept.
Following surveys, the buyer has now decided to raise 100k mortgage as the property needs some renovation and the mortgage company have just value the house at 415k, so back to the negotiating table/ouch!

So as it is the mortgage companies that are determining house “values”, how much do we think they are now devaluing houses by versus last year?
Based on this story it would appear to be at least 30%, so how many people are really in negative equity?

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:43AM Report Comment
 

6. mark wadsworth said...

Growler, 'tis better that one sinner repenteth, and all that ...

Wdbeast, good anecdotal, may I refer you to my 'Negative-equity-o-meter'?

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:47AM Report Comment
 

7. mark said...

once houseprices drop and the fear of further drops has gone, then money will be fairly easy to borrow again.... as they wont be lending 10 times salary again either...

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:48AM Report Comment
 

8. angonamo said...

Echoing Bank Governor Mervyn King, he states: "A transfer of risk to the Government might distort incentives and create moral hazard, rather than help investors and issuers price that risk more accurately."

Never thought I would have read that from a banker.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:50AM Report Comment
 

9. icarus said...

JU - why has he changed his tune? - he's been reading HPC blogs.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 11:20AM Report Comment
 

10. icarus said...

He reports that banks want "temporary government guarantees on the pricipal and interest on high-quality mortgage-backed securities". If they're high quality why do they need...........?

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 11:26AM Report Comment
 

11. Whostolemyendowment said...

I'm sick and tired of reading about 'homeowners' - they are not home owners - if you 'own' your home you have finished paying for it (or inherited it, or paid cash, or live in a wigwam....) ......it should be 'debtowners'!

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 11:26AM Report Comment
 

12. wdbeast said...

Whostolemyendowment@10
It is an interesting point that in the UK a person with a mortgage does in fact own his house, the mortgage or loan is guaranteed against the value of the house.
If the house is repossessed due to non payment, the lender can still pursue the borrower for outstanding debt.

In the USA it is different and the person cannot be pursued for outstanding debt.
Hence the term “jingle mail” as householders return (negative equity) house keys to the mortgage company.
My point is that in the UK householders are considerably worse off “owning” their house in a negative equity environment.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 11:55AM Report Comment
 

13. growler said...

@ Mark Wadsworth

In a manner of speaking. I think this report is more about the Government (who are broke) saying publicly "we can't and shouldn't do anything - see here". I think our rulers have been grossly incompetent not to manage the lenders effectively through the FSA. This report legitimises them to do nothing. It's perfect. It would have been a disaster for the Government if Sir James came out with a load of credible measures to reflate. All of those would have required taxpayer support. This way the Government can shrug their shoulders. Result: CERTAIN major house price correction as the hitherto hapless lenders hopes for help are scuttled.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 12:01PM Report Comment
 

14. Stevie Dee said...

Sing us song "Bing", you little f**king drummer boy!!!

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 12:40PM Report Comment
 

15. Whostolemyendowment said...

Mr wdbeast...thanx for follow up comment.

I was listening to the BBC World Service the other morning on my shiney DAB radio (as you do)...and there was an article about housing, and those that lost out the last time around. They interviewed this guy (UK) who was still be chased and paying what he could afford following a repossesion in the early 90's. This had had a detremental economic strain on his family and family life for many years....

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 12:55PM Report Comment
 

16. inbreda said...

@15

6 years was the determined maximum that someone could be chased for, from what I remember (I used to work for a mortgage company in the late 90s, and it was an issue then.)

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 04:39PM Report Comment
 

17. icarus said...

@16 - I thought it was a bit longer than 6 years (maybe 10?) but I don't think there's a time limit if the person they're chasing is deliberately hiding from them or if he rowed out to sea in a canoe and faked his own death.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 05:37PM Report Comment
 

18. icarus said...

make that 'rode' since I don't think you row a canoe.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 05:38PM Report Comment
 

19. micasasucasa said...

Apparently they have 12 years for mortgage debt

Wednesday, July 30, 2008 07:06PM Report Comment
 

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