Friday, Mar 28, 2008

35pc chance of recession in UK

The Telegraph: Chances of full-blown UK recession risk rising

"The Bank of England may be forced to copy the Federal Reserve's lead and make dramatic interest rate cuts as Britain falls victim to a US-style slump, say experts at Lehman Brothers."


Get out of GBP and into gold. If GBP starts cutting IR then the ECB will be forced to as well as the euro surges even higher.

Posted by sold 2 rent 1 @ 08:50 AM (387 views) Add Comment

5 Comments

1. European-bear said...

"the country now looks in an eerily similar position to the US nine months ago, in the months before the credit crunch hit"

Only a 35% chance of a recession? I would say about a 99% chance....

Friday, March 28, 2008 09:37AM Report Comment
 

2. alan said...

Reuters have just recorded a record low GBP vs Euro. Reuters cite housing data as the cause.

I wonder how high the ECB will let the Euro fly to before they intervene?

Friday, March 28, 2008 09:53AM Report Comment
 

3. Icarus said...

That's a 65% chance there won't be a recession. What's that based on?

Friday, March 28, 2008 10:32AM Report Comment
 

4. techieman said...

8000 Eur / £ and 1.60 Eur / $ look nice round numbers to me Alan, Am effectivly shorting the Euro on a daily lower low, unless there is a silly move up (exhaustion will get in then) or a silly move down (a la Gold) would then await a retrace.

Friday, March 28, 2008 11:35AM Report Comment
 

5. bystander said...

Bet the BBC don't headline this latest bit of news. The last thing GB wants the public to know is that their holidays and imported wines will cost shed loads more this year, and the next and the next

Friday, March 28, 2008 12:52PM Report Comment
 

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