Tuesday, Feb 19, 2008

Northern Rock will result in higher interest rates

Market Oracle: Northern Rock Bank Nationalised- Which Bank will be Next?

Which other banks will follow Northern Rock? There will be further failures as the credit crisis is deepening. The US monoline insurers face failure thus magnify the original estimates of bank losses potentially ten fold ! The prospects for the UK mortgage sector looks dire, with the UK housing market having barely begun to feel the impact from the credit crisis (see graph in article). Mortgage banks such as Bradford and Bingley, Alliance and Leicester and even the mighty HBOS will feel the pain from a forecast of a 15% drop over 2 years. The Government has increased the national debt by £50 billion, the impact of which has been felt in the foreign exchange markets with the pound plunging on fears that that further bailouts will lead to a surge in bond issues resulting in higher IR!

Posted by who stole my pension? @ 03:03 PM (431 views) Add Comment

3 Comments

1. Davros said...

This is the same 'market oracle' who a year ago argued that houseprices wern't overvalued and would be supported by the key fundamentals.

http://www.safehaven.com/article-6998.htm

Looks like a bull has turned bear.

Tuesday, February 19, 2008 03:30PM Report Comment
 

2. mark wadsworth said...

Well hurray. We have sold-to-rent and our money is now in NS&I monthly income account (so rising interest rates are good for us) and some of it is in JPY (hopefully that bank won't go under!). Obviously now is not the time to buy fixed rate bonds as higher IR means you lose money, keep it in at variable rate.

Tuesday, February 19, 2008 03:35PM Report Comment
 

3. jack c said...

I've just posted an article on B&B who look to be under increasing pressure

Tuesday, February 19, 2008 03:44PM Report Comment
 

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