Sunday, Dec 09, 2007
Iran could reach nuclear goal ‘in a year’
ft.com: distinguished physicists and nuclear weapons experts say Iran is speeding up its nuclear programme and could develop enough material for a bomb well ahead of the 2010-2015 period estimated by western intelligence agencies
Several distinguished physicists and nuclear weapons experts say Iran is speeding up its nuclear programme and could develop enough material for a bomb well ahead of the 2010-2015 period estimated by western intelligence agencies.
Speaking to the Financial Times, the experts said that information contained in this week’s International Atomic Energy Agency report on Iran made the US and European estimates of Tehran’s nuclear capacity look ever more out of date.
Posted by chris @ 11:58 PM (398 views) Add Comment
10 Comments
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1. planning4acrash said...
So, there may be war in a couple of years, oil up then, inflation to follow a year later and effects felt in the housing market about 5yrs time, and this is an outside possibility. I'd probably have made the link more explicit or not bothered to post this one!
2. Stevie Dee said...
It is not the nuclear bomb that the United States fear, it is Iran's Energy indpendence that they really fear.. All that oil, use of alternative currencies. You have to hand it to the Iranians, at least they have a government who are doing something productive on the search for alternative energies (whether you agree with nuclear or not). Our government just spend money talking about it, and into badly managed or vested interested quango's.
In truth, as a nation, we have become highly inefficient in doing anything, complacent, arrogant, and quite simply unproductive. A thought, this site is visited the world over, what must the other citizens of other countries be thinking of us, we are a laughing stock. Believe!!!
3. tick tock said...
This article is dated Nov 16th and events have moved on since.
Hasn't the 'expert opinion' of the Pro-Israeli/ Christian Zionist band of scientists (and FT reporters) been a little discredited my the more recent CIA report which claims that Iran has not escalated its nuclear project since 2003 (as Iran has claimed all along)
Personally, I'd be amazed if Iran wasn't trying to develop nuclear weapons, given the number of strategic threats that it currently faces. However, the more recent US report, surely, severely hinders Bush's plan to attack during this presidency?
If there is to be War, I think it more likely that Israel may attack Iran's nuclear facilities first (perhaps creating a 'terrorist incident' first for political cover), Iran will retaliate, and then the US could get involved to defend the 'chosen ones'.
All very scary stuff, and even though this would obviously lead to higher oil prices and higher interest rates, lets all keep our fingers crossed it doesn't happen for everyones sake.
4. inbreda said...
If only we were in a moral position to comment on Irans "possible" development of nuclear weapons (i.e. if only we didn't carry nukes ourselves and have a proven track record of invading countries on the back of purposely corrupted intelligence)
5. Stevie Dee said...
You never know, they might say we are under imminent danger from iranian long distance ballistic missiles, that old chestnut. Hey at least the Iranians don't kill their scientists. Dr Kelly - RIP
6. Nickolarge said...
This 'trying to develop nuclear weapons' accusation that gets leveled at every so called bogey man country is a bit of a joke. On the one hand they tell you that a university student could make a bomb and that the instructions are on the internet. Then they try to tell you that a whole country with the wealth of Iran is 'trying' to make one. Can anyone name me any other device that was invented in the 1940's that would still be difficult to 'develop' today,if you had the resources of a whole country to call upon. There are only two possible answers. Either the whole atom bomb thing is a massive hoax and nobody can actually make one that works (seems very unlikely) or anyone with money and a place to build one can do it. The technical information is readily available and the idea that only certain countries have a monopoly on vital pieces of equipment or materials required just does not wash.
7. japanese uncle said...
My only fear is that the current Iranian president could have possibly been implanted by the war mongers who are fanatic enough not to rule out thermo-nuclear wars, quite as the bearded Adolf was fully backed-up financially by G.W Bush's granpa representing Wall St (and the City of course)intrerests.
Creating and demonizing a character who could attract hatred of all 'civilized nations' in an effort to justify (in coordination with the full-scale media campaign) the use of taxpayers money to deploy force and killing of millions of the innocent, through which making money firstly by the weapons consumption & sales, restoration/construction afterward, and snatching of oil (particularly in the case of the Middle East), now seems an old formula.
8. drewster said...
Ummm... what's the House Price Crash angle?
Clearly the housing boom of the last five years was directly related to the peace and stability in the middle east. Thanks to our glorious peace-keepers* and liberators* in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the happy peaceful understanding** between Israel and Lebanon, the UK housing market has boomed. Now that yet another country might be joining the nuclear club (alongside stable democracies such as Pakistan*** and North Korea), this is clearly a major threat to our economy. I'm sure I read somewhere that President Ahmadinejad is planning to nuke Starbucks, thereby destroying our service economy.
Seriously, I can't remember a single year in living memory when there has been peace and stability in the middle-east. Every time I see the words "middle-east tension", I reach for my gun.
*Orwellian expressions for armed soldiers.
**Peaceful understanding = you dare come near us again and we'll blow you up, just like we did last time.
***For those who don't follow world news, Pakistan declared emergency rule last month and imposed martial law. They have nuclear weapons. 'Nuff said.
9. Notaneconomicsguru said...
Designing and making the bomb structure and mechanism really is straightforward, but the process of enriching sufficient quantities of uranium is technically very difficult to achieve. As usual its the appalling lack of rigour in news / media broadcasts makes it all too easy to miss this.
10. dohousescrashinthewoods said...
Hmm, I am inclined to agree with the sentiments above - Bush isn't going to give up that easily. If he wants to bommum, hot-dang it he'll bommum - by fair means or foul.
"Sir, we've found some more brown people with oil - shud we killum?". F@ing evil terrorists the US government. I swear the world would be a much happier place if the US stopped meddling, and peddling (a bit like our own great leaders meddling and peddling in Northern Rock and interest rates).
Thank goodness over half the US people object to their government (i.e. the half that didn't go on Jerry Springer).