Saturday, Dec 29, 2007

Advise for property owners in 2008

Telegraph: Property market: What's in store for 2008?

I'm Glad I'm not the Birmingham BTL Investor!

Posted by wdbeast @ 08:35 AM (820 views) Add Comment
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11 Comments

1. little professor said...

Frustrated FTB, 25: Relax: it's your turn to enjoy yourself. The chances of a significant correction in house prices are growing by the day. You should keep looking for property, but you certainly don't need to do what some of your friends did two years ago - buy with a stranger just to get on to the property ladder.

Young couple in £150,000 3-bed house: You struggled to get on the housing ladder, and now you are wondering about the wisdom of it. Next June, your two-year, 4.75 per cent fixed rate mortgage comes to an end, and you face having to pay your bank's SVR of 7% or stump up £1000 to remortgage.The bad news is that your type of property is likely to underperform against the rest of the market. Newly-built estates are a monoculture of highly-mortgaged families who have bought at the top of the market; many of them are now struggling and one or two have already suffered the trauma of repossession.Try to hang on.

BTL investor with 10 flats in Birmingham: With the market faltering, you are beginning to worry. Some investors have already lost huge sums. The worst case so far is that of a two-bedroom waterfront flat sold new in April 2006 for £279,950 - and again as a repossession this June for £140,000. You have bought too many standard 2-bed flats in an area with huge oversupply. Despite your £1.25 million property portfolio, your £1 million mortgages means that a 20% drop in house prices will wipe out your entire fortune.

Middle aged couple in £500,000 house with £120,000 mortgage: Your house price has trebled since you bought it. Stay put and enjoy life.

Saturday, December 29, 2007 09:08AM Report Comment
 

2. uncle tom said...

Pretty sane piece, but consider what would happen to the market if everyone followed his advice - the couple wanting to downsize would find no buyers, while the FTB would be watching - but not buying - while the BTLer desperately tried to offload..

Interesting to note that Paragon has pulled its entire product range pending the launch of new products in January. The City believes Paragon is in trouble, and it may be that they simply can't find anyone willing to loan them the cash to lend now - it would not greatly surprise me if the promised new products never materialise...

Saturday, December 29, 2007 09:25AM Report Comment
 

3. renting2 said...

Paragon has to find new funds (huge millions) to service the old short term borrowing that ends v shortly. And at a seviceable rate! Without it ........ .

Saturday, December 29, 2007 10:03AM Report Comment
 

4. jack c said...

If Paragon can’t raise the money on the wholesale markets as they normally do they stated they would go for a £280M rights issue – it will be interesting to see if (A) they need to go this route (B) They can successfully get it through.

Perhaps the Bank of Bail outs could help and set itself up with a nice residential portfolio via Northern Rock and a complimentary BTL portfolio via Paragon?

Saturday, December 29, 2007 10:14AM Report Comment
 

5. Cstanhope707 said...

Should read it was "Mrs Thatcher that gave me my council house for next to nothing as a gift from the Taxpayer...." But a good article in general

Saturday, December 29, 2007 10:38AM Report Comment
 

6. doomwatch said...

BTL investor with 10 flats in a boring home counties commuter town; you're f00ked

Saturday, December 29, 2007 11:13AM Report Comment
 

7. inbreda said...

If the glubberment prop up para-gone, then it is a clear case of tax payers funding speculative risk takers. I don't like my tax money being handed out with spotty teenage estate agents with tie knots the size of footballs, and BMW 4x4 driving morons who think that they are pioneers and actually deserve their wealth.

It's just plain wrong

Saturday, December 29, 2007 11:59AM Report Comment
 

8. dohousescrashinthewoods said...

Interesting that the Bank of Bail outs is investing our money in the worst possible assets. I'm not exactly happy about it! I'd much rather they were investing in something likely to see returns rather than stunning losses.

Saturday, December 29, 2007 01:46PM Report Comment
 

9. it_is_going_with_a_bang said...

LOL - What a load of ****
"Opportunity knocks... repossessions are expected to double - drawing first-time buyers to the
auction room"

How many FTB's buy property in an Auction Room??
Errr .... almost none!

The methods of payment and terms are not suitable for FTB and never have been.
It's not a car auction!!!!!
Honestly.

Saturday, December 29, 2007 02:06PM Report Comment
 

10. Stillrenting said...

Hi this is my first comment on thi site, i'm now addicted! None of you guys ever mention 2nd home owners, how do you think they will be affected?

Saturday, December 29, 2007 04:17PM Report Comment
 

11. Moonlighter said...



Birmingham isn't in the home counties, unless the home counties has undergone a
profound geographical redefinition of late (probably spawned by BTLs wanting to make
their defunkt properties more attractive sales propositions).

Neither is it a commuter town.

The BTL market here in Brum is utterly oversaturated however...

Saturday, December 29, 2007 09:40PM Report Comment
 

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