Tuesday, Oct 09, 2007

Woolwich to be next sub-prime casualty?

Firstrung: Woolwich announces confidence in buy to let mortgage market

Perhaps buoyed on by the bail-out of Northern Rock, the Woolwich has announced that it is relaxing its lending criteria on BTL (aka sub-prime) mortgages. Key features of their new "product" ..... (1) Rental cover to reduce from 125% of mortgage payment (2) Proof of income not required on loans upto 500k (3) 75% loan-to-value (which suggests they are factoring a 25% price crash), (4) remove requirement for minimum income of £20,000. Sub-prime, sub-prime, sub-prime .....

Posted by uncle chris @ 08:41 PM (1202 views) Add Comment

25 Comments

1. uncle chris said...

Oooops - part (1) should read ....

"Rental cover to reduce from 125% to 105% of mortgage interest payment"

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 08:44PM Report Comment
 

2. tyrellcorporation said...

Moral-Hazard-tastic! The BoEs actions give wreckless lending the big green light of joy! GO FOR IT GUYS, FILL YOUR BOOTS!!!

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 09:05PM Report Comment
 

3. trough2010 said...

you may want to sign my 10 downing street petition which i submitted on 20 sep 2007 in the midst of the crisis. i think i even beat the telegraph with the word 'nationalisation' (in the context of northern rock bail out c.f. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/09/21/cnnrock121.xml). I'm still the only signatory, perhaps because i have not bothered promoting the link. take a look if you have time: http://petitions.pm.gov.uk/BoEindependence

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 09:34PM Report Comment
 

4. Music Man said...

interesting lol...

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 09:57PM Report Comment
 

5. down wave said...

My eldest daughter is a great economic expert, She has told me that this web site is full of people that have a particular mind set and limited in their thinking? Tunnel realities, can you broaden them?

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 10:11PM Report Comment
 

6. lvmreader said...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_financial_crisis
Many economists believe that the Asian crisis was created not by market psychology or technology, but by policies that distorted incentives within the lender-borrower relationship. The resulting large quantities of credit that became available generated a highly-leveraged economic climate, and pushed up asset prices to an unsustainable level [3]. These asset prices eventually began to collapse, causing individuals and companies to default on debt obligations. The resulting panic among lenders led to a large withdrawal of credit from the crisis countries, causing a credit crunch and further bankruptcies. In addition, as investors attempted to withdraw their money, the exchange market was flooded with the currencies of the crisis countries, putting depreciative pressure on their exchange rates. In order to prevent a collapse of the currency values, these countries' governments were forced to raise domestic interest rates to exceedingly high levels (to help diminish the flight of capital by making lending to that country relatively more attractive to investors) and to intervene in the exchange market, buying up any excess domestic currency at the fixed exchange rate with foreign reserves. Neither of these policy responses could be sustained for long. Very high interest rates, which can be extremely damaging to an economy that is relatively healthy, wreaked further havoc on economies in an already fragile state, while the central banks were hemorrhaging foreign reserves, of which they had finite amounts. When it became clear that the tide of capital fleeing these countries was not to be stopped, the authorities ceased defending their fixed exchange rates and allowed their currencies to float. The resulting depreciated value of those currencies meant that foreign currency-denominated liabilities grew substantially in domestic-currency terms, causing more bankruptcies and further deepening the crisis.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 10:23PM Report Comment
 

7. planning4acrash said...

Downwave, I personally couldn't give a cr$p about your daughter's opinion just because her father think's she's excellent, my mum thinks I'm awesome, does that make an amazing person? It may be interesting if you paraphrase the specific points she objects to and what counter ideas "she" may or may not have (if indeed she exists). Without such that, I am led to believe that your daughter has a portfolio of buy to let properties, is too young to remember 1992 and too engrossed in contemporary monetary theory to recognise its failure to put enough emphasis on secular cycles.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 10:40PM Report Comment
 

8. autopilotengage said...

My son is 2 and has recently started speaking. His favorite word at the moment is "plop". Do i have the right forum?

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 11:25PM Report Comment
 

9. wiltshire said...

Down wave, your daughter may be right that people here have a particular mind set and limited thinking. However, that doesn't mean the people here are wrong or misguided, they may well be spot on in their analysis.

Don't forget, a month ago Northern Rock suddenly appeared on the radar. Now that as far as I am concerned is a gentle wake-up call that a) everything is not rosy in the garden as the VI's (be it governmental, EA, whoever) would have us believe and b) we are in a new age (the information age) and moving forward we are going to see more 'historic' events within the financial world because the world has shrunk so much in the last 15 years.

I've been visiting this site for about 18-24 months and in that time I have seen more and more of the predictions made by some of the established (and in my opinion, knowledgeable and intuitive) posters coming true. If you're asking can we broaden your daughter's mindset, I doubt it. I think she'll only understand when more and more events (such as Northern Rock and worse) occur which can't be casually disregarded.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 11:27PM Report Comment
 

10. nacho99 said...

Downwave, I believe house prices are over valued and will go through a correction.
Please feel free to discuss the topic.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 11:27PM Report Comment
 

11. enuii said...

The problem with BTL is its viewed by many as a) a get rich quick scheme, b) a pension pot, c) a sound bricks 'n' mortar 'investment'.

The sad truth is they are robbing the next generation of affordable homes and their pension prospects.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 11:29PM Report Comment
 

12. Safeazowziz said...

I think the 'investors' who have just bought 3 flats off me for 625K and promptly grossed them up to 730K have a particular mind set andare limite in their thinking :)

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 12:03AM Report Comment
 

13. autopilotengage said...

Guess you don't need to be a building society or former building society to lend recklessly but it sure appears to help. At least BTL isn't just for the rich anymore, your friendly local building society will help even the less fortunate shaft the next generation. When it does all go wrong, now there's even less chance or a redress of the divide between the rich and the poor. 5M property portfolio without even needing to earn 20K a year, what a land of opportunity we live in.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 12:04AM Report Comment
 

14. Exiled said...

is dw for real of course this website has a fixed mindset they wont to see a house price crash this guy is obviously incapable of forming his own opinion. this government says it wonts to release green land for housing development, the gov knows there is no housing shortage they are desperate to avoid a house price crash which would exit them from government for a long long time hence they will do anything to keep crazy house prices moving in a upward direction.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 01:48AM Report Comment
 

15. Frogger said...

Dear Down Wave's daughter,

At the moment I'm a potential FTB and over the next year I would like
i) a delightful (and long overdue) house price correction of at least 40%,
ii) stamp duty abolished for FTB's (or for houses <£200k)
iii) interest rates to rise above 15%
iv) BTL landlords to lose all their tax benefits
v) council tax to be raised to 150% on all second homes
vi) immigration to be abolished and emigration to be made compulsory
vii) landowners to be taxed on all building plots for which planning permission has been granted
viii) a complete ban on foreign ownership of UK property
ix) a house building scheme of 6m new homes a year

After I buy my house I may decide to change my views.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 01:57AM Report Comment
 

16. whiteknight said...

"Moral-Hazard-tastic! The BoEs actions give wreckless lending the big green light of joy! GO FOR IT GUYS, FILL YOUR BOOTS!!!"

Absolutely correct. Infact the problem here now will be that it wont be long before the next little problem errupts and then even for somebody with a very short memory the dots will be able to be directly connected as to who did what and when.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 01:59AM Report Comment
 

17. taffee said...

down wave this site is called housepricecrash in what respect does your economic expert daughter expect us to not have tunnel vision?

I guess she's the one who cannot afford to buy a house and stays at home then

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 07:40AM Report Comment
 

18. down wave said...

Yes, I posted this to draw attention to my earlier postings. I am glad that at long last I have received some coments from you. My daughter is real she sold up some time back and has banked the money spreading it thinly among banks. I enjoy all of your comments. I visit this site several times each day. I am happy that you took the bait, thank you all for your posts. I predicted black Wendnesday and convert to german marks, advised the tory goverment then via my local MP Toby Jessel, I also advised him about the comming housing crash of the 90's. He telphoned me on each occasion and was not a happy man.

I have posted many important topics hear and all of them have gone over the top of your heads as none of you commented.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 08:16AM Report Comment
 

19. down wave said...

By the way, she did not put any of here money that she got when she sold up and rented into Northern Rock, Halifax, Bradford & Bingley or Alied an Lecester. The HPC is on us and it is time to run for the hills.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 09:17AM Report Comment
 

20. Another Alan said...

Is post 14 attention seeking?

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 09:20AM Report Comment
 

21. cyril said...

@down wave - You are indeed a very clever and important person. Pehaps your daughter will win a nobel prize. What is your point?

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 09:42AM Report Comment
 

22. taffee said...

I recently advised crash gordon not to call an election and to save as much of his monthly income as possible.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 10:00AM Report Comment
 

23. Flintster said...

Dave Wave- Are you trying to tell us that you consider your self to be a profit?

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 10:04AM Report Comment
 

24. Flintster said...

Sorry, Down Wave

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 10:05AM Report Comment
 

25. inbreda said...

Thankyou for gracing us with your presence downwave.

And thanks for assuming that all of your previous comments went directly over my head. You are of course absolutely right - I am thick as pigsh*t, and couldn't possibly understand one of your clever, if somewhat subtle, arguments.

So far off the mark am I that I daren't even bother trying to ascend to your level of understanding.

Wednesday, October 10, 2007 10:07AM Report Comment
 

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