Monday, Oct 08, 2007

Can't be true, surely?

Times: Get ready for two-year fall in house prices, say economists

House prices are set to fall by 6 per cent over the next two years, according to a report from Capital Economics, a leading consultancy.

Britain will follow the United States, Ireland, Spain and France by suffering from the end of the global housing boom, it said. Its report forecasts a gloomier scenario than was encountered during the slowdown of 2004 and 2005, when property inflation slowed from 20 per cent to 2 per cent.

Posted by david20040_0 @ 09:54 PM (1002 views) Add Comment

8 Comments

1. david20040_0 said...

Capital Economics, the same Capital Economics which said in 2005 there would be a 20% crash. Then in 2006 admitted their calculations were flawed?

Monday, October 8, 2007 09:58PM Report Comment
 

2. whiteknight said...

Yes. They underweighted on the following factors: stupidity, figure manipulation, rate of printing of money.

Monday, October 8, 2007 10:10PM Report Comment
 

3. dohousescrashinthewoods said...

Slightly off topic, but just had a scan of www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net and spotted the strap-line: "Deal With Reality or Reality Will Deal With You".

How apt for willingly-blind housing-bull sheeple.

Monday, October 8, 2007 10:15PM Report Comment
 

4. paul said...

Do you think its true, David?

Monday, October 8, 2007 10:39PM Report Comment
 

5. Davros said...

6% is a rather arbitrary figure.

Once it starts dropping, it's going to keep dropping. Investors arn't going to touch property once it's losing value and it'll be a long time before prices will be affordable to first time buyers again.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 09:16AM Report Comment
 

6. David Smith's Sub Prime. . . said...

Yes, David,

What do you think?

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 09:34AM Report Comment
 

7. inbreda said...

No, David is right. If Capital Economics isn't to be trusted, we should all put our faith in the VIs. They wouldn't lie to us. Not with tie knots THAT big, surely?!?!

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 10:01AM Report Comment
 

8. Icarus said...

But Fionnuala Fionnuala said house prices wouldn't fall because the fundamentals were sound.

Tuesday, October 9, 2007 11:24AM Report Comment
 

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