Wednesday, Jun 13, 2007
The great unwind
bloomberg.com: Fukui Pressured to Raise Rates as Yen Is Sent Abroad
The concern: The longer they wait, the greater the chance that external forces lead to a sudden, sharper rebound that might cripple Japan's economy and shake consumers like Takeda. ``A jump in the yen could cause a disaster,'' says Hiroshi Shiraishi, an economist at Lehman Brothers Japan Inc. in Tokyo. ``It would probably hurt the whole economic cycle, starting from exports.''
The trigger might come in the form of a shock overseas that prompts fund managers to dump risky holdings financed by the so- called carry trade, in which yen borrowed at low Japanese rates are invested in higher-return securities in other countries.
3 Comments
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1. Katfish said...
This near-zero interest rate environment cannot go on forever... Must be a blast to borrow at these levels, but since people expect prices to keep falling then rising no-one spends it - apart from the carry-trade investors for overseas assets.
2. paul said...
The great unwind indeed.
Inaction is no longer an option for many now as the tide is turning against high value assets and private equity deals backed by cheap credit.
This will be nasty I think.
3. paul said...
The great unwind indeed.
Inaction is no longer an option for many now as the tide is turning against high value assets and private equity deals backed by cheap credit.
This will be nasty I think.