Wednesday, Jun 06, 2007

ECB jumps

BBC: ECB raises eurozone rates to 4%

The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates for the eurozone to 4% from 3.75%.

Posted by holding out @ 02:02 PM (150 views) Add Comment

18 Comments

1. confused76 said...

"The increase takes rates in the area to their highest level for six years and means they have doubled in 18 months"

but it is different here!!

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:12PM Report Comment
 

2. Bunch92 said...

Well, no surprises here. We all knew.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:17PM Report Comment
 

3. Pr said...

BOE will need to respond with a raise to ensure that sterling doesn't leach to the Euro and loose value, to avoid higher cost imports fueling inflation. This is the bind you put yourself in if you let yourself have the worst inflation problem in the developed world.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:20PM Report Comment
 

4. confused76 said...

check at the link. latest consumer survey shows upbeat confidence. that, plus today;s decision by ECB, may make a IR rise tomorrow possible (... I am not saying likely but at least possible)

http://uk.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUKL0565651520070606

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:33PM Report Comment
 

5. inbreda said...

Has George made his predictions public yet?

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:44PM Report Comment
 

6. dohousescrashinthewoods said...

Spanish property is toast then.

I need a job somewhere in Europe.
Strikes me from this the ECB are actively working for a stable economy, low inflation and economic sustainability.
Unlike our corrupted monkey boy hand-sitting glove-puppets.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:45PM Report Comment
 

7. confused76 said...

And Irish property too..... toasted

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:50PM Report Comment
 

8. sovietuk said...

There is no escape from the land of makebelieve, MPC .

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 02:55PM Report Comment
 

9. mrmickey said...

I suppose the BOE could just let Sterling colapse paving the way for us to enter the Euro.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 03:18PM Report Comment
 

10. Pr said...

Yes, mrmickey. I have wondered this before. Brown's main involvement is definition of the bank's targets. Use of CPI is an explicit effort to synchronise with the Euro zone, because that is their preferred method. it will be interesting if a collapse is followed by calls to join the euro to save an ailing british economy. Quite peverse, given that the ECB has managed to focus on M3 growth and prevent inflation, but use of CPI gives a good cover for such a suicide mission.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 04:14PM Report Comment
 

11. Pr said...

Interesting that the last crash was blamed on the exchange rate mechanism, i.e. attempts to synchronise with the euro. Looks like history may repeat itself?

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 04:49PM Report Comment
 

12. enuii said...

I've long suspected that the long term strategy was to wreck the UK economy in order to fulfil the champagne socialist dream of being fully european and to hell with the consequences for the hard working citizens of the UK.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 04:58PM Report Comment
 

13. doomwatch said...

enuii, think you'll find Maggie wrecked it, filling the coffers of her cronies with cheap floats and flogging off council houses.
I could go on, but it will just upset my afternoon.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 05:07PM Report Comment
 

14. tipping point said...

The pounds been pretty stable against the Euro recently and has gone up slightly this afternoon.

QED the market was unsuprised by the Euro rate rise and expects a similar rate rise in the pound on Thursday.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 05:21PM Report Comment
 

15. tipping point said...

Just noticed Brent Crude is up 1.7% today. Only the most brass necked of flunkies would risk not rising rates tomorrow.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 05:28PM Report Comment
 

16. harold said...

tipping point, I agree with your assessment; however, the BoE will panic at the markets today and hold tomorrow (IMHO). The £ will fall as the fx markets have placed heavy bets on a rise - how far the £ will fall will be interesting to see (may be as much as 1 to 2%).

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 09:00PM Report Comment
 

17. Pr said...

It would be interesting if the BOE reads money markets wrongly and doesn't think that traders expect a rise, then get a shock fall in £ with a hold in interest rate rise, that would surely put a stick of dynamite under inflation and could result in a 0.5% rise the month after.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 09:14PM Report Comment
 

18. harold said...

Pr, the BoE knows that fx markets expects them to rise - the BoE will be adding up the gold ingots in the basement at the moment so as to be ready to buy lots of unwanted £s. Soros will have a short position, I guess.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007 11:26PM Report Comment
 

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