Sunday, Apr 22, 2007
Kondratieff theory predicts we're heading for a depression so stear clear of 6X Multiples
Scotsman: Theory suggests we're heading for a depression
Nice little article worth reading from yesterdays Scotsman, flows nicely through the history with the punchline in the last paragraph.
Posted by enuii @ 12:47 PM (234 views) Add Comment
7 Comments
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1. Whiteknight said...
WhiteKnight theory indicates that we have been in dangerous territory on multiples lower than this for about six years.
2. sold 2 rent 1 said...
A great article that many a reader will read on their sofa whilst drinking coffee.
They will toss the paper aside then get on with their lives.
Little do they know that we are only months away from the real affects of the K-winter that will be visible.
First it will start with a major shake out in stocks this Summer/Autumn.
Inflation, IR and unemploment may rise a bit more but nothing like the levels seen in the 1970's
By 2010 stocks will still be fallling, property will have been falling for over 2 years, unemploment will still be rising.
Interest rates would have dropped but so too will have prices.
Sorry to ruin your Sunday
Read this
http://www.kwaves.com/kond_overview.htm
3. Pintail said...
sold 2 rent 1
If this pans out should I move my savings, a little advice for a financial novice would be greatly appreciated
4. nearly30 said...
K-Long Waves is an interesting theory - have a look at
Long Wave Analyst
Watch the vid taken from a US Business Prog - Ian Gordon reckons stocks will fall 90% as in 1929 and you should buy real gold.
The accompanying flash graph is good fun too:
K-Wave Graph
5. nearly30 said...
Sorry the graph link is http://www.thelongwaveanalyst.ca/cycle.html
6. sold 2 rent 1 said...
Pintail,
Get money out of GBP and USD.
The EUR is ok but will not stay strong forever.
Some people are saying buy real gold - in case currencies fail.
Use many banks to cover the risk of failure
All depressing stuff really - I guess that's why they call it a depression.
7. Pintail said...
thanks for the advice as my savings are below £15,000 i will probably split it with several banks