Tuesday, Apr 17, 2007
Is House Price Crash a "Predictions Registry"?
DavidBrin.com: The Predictions Registtry
Disagreeable, yes. But wholly unanticipated? In how many cases did someone warn in advance against the very unpleasantness that eventually happened? Someone who might have seemed irritating at the time, received scorn or maybe banishment. Would it serve any useful purpose to grant high prediction scores, after the fact, as consolation prizes to Cassandras whose original dire warnings were ignored? Or might it simply give them a forum to cry, "I told you so"?
Posted by lvmreader @ 09:16 PM (359 views) Add Comment
8 Comments
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1. nearly30 said...
Good call - but remember:
Many are those who use statistics as a drunk uses a lightpost: for support rather than illumination.
2. Scott said...
It does not apply to me. I am waiting for the crash so I can buy somewhere, not to tell everyone I was right. I am not nostra bloody darmus.
3. paul said...
lvmreader, I've no idea what that malarkey is about.
What are you drinking tonight?
4. lvmreader said...
@Paul;
Well, since you ask,
4 Asahi super dry this afternoon, washed down with some Carlsberg export. This was done at least 3 hours before my evening tipple of a delectable Belgian Strawberry wheat beer, ahead of the 8.5% Duvel -those Belgians sure can make beer.
Did you know there are Champagne Beers too? The presentation is quite remarkable and definitely adds, let us say, a sense of occassion to the imbibing process.
5. paul said...
Belgian Strawberry Wheat Beer? Those crayzee Walloons!
Give me a flagon of Leffe Trappist Beer anyday to that strawberry stuff.
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