Wednesday, Feb 07, 2007

CEBR Believe House Price Inflation Will Continue

TimesOnline: House prices up '£12,000' in 2007

The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicted that the value of the average house would jump by nearly 8 per cent in 2007. Thjey expect growth will, however, slow in 2008. "CEBR is forecasting house price growth of just 1.5 per cent in 2008, which is well below the general level of inflation, followed by a 3.9 per cent gain in 2009 and 7.1 per cent in 2010." Anyone know the track record of the CEBR?

Posted by talking rot @ 06:10 PM (152 views) Add Comment

9 Comments

1. Ilejustwait said...

I think £1000 a month is about right, but it wont be going up by this amount each month it will be going down,

Wednesday, February 7, 2007 06:32PM Report Comment
 

2. Surfgatinho said...

Ah the CEBR again. Predicting into 2010 and beyond!!! Shame no one even manages to ever get it right one year in advance. If this bunch really were experienced professionals they would not associate their brand with such wildly unpredicatable predictions!

Wednesday, February 7, 2007 06:39PM Report Comment
 

3. Davros said...

> The CEBR thinks rate rises will be offset by the flood of money heading for the property market following the bumper City bonus season.

Are we seriously expected to believe that the most important factor in the entire countries housing boom is City bonusses rather than interest rates?? I'm sure the homebuyers of Scunthorpe are cursing their luck as slick businessmen snap up 2 bedroom starter homes from under their noses. You'd think too that anyone who was smart enough to earn a million pound bonus would know better than to put their money in property after a 10 year run.

Utter drivel.

Wednesday, February 7, 2007 07:14PM Report Comment
 

4. bidin'matime said...

"Anyone know the track record of the CEBR?"

Yes - take a look at this from 2003 -http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/2961549.stm. The CEBR have consultancy contracts with equity release companies and a lot of their eggs in the equity release basket. This does not necessarily mean that their forecasting is poor, but it comes (or should come) with a health warning.

Wednesday, February 7, 2007 08:13PM Report Comment
 

5. Deadspider said...

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4714741.stm
From 25/07/05
"Prices will fall 5% by 2007" .

Thursday, February 8, 2007 12:20AM Report Comment
 

6. george monsoon said...

Who the hell will be able to afford a house as a first time buyer in 2010??
You could sell me a 100 year - grip of death loan and I still wouldn't be able to afford the montly repayments, so unless you are extremely fortunate and are not a first time buyer then you are screwed.

Only thing is, this article is so inaccurate as to be laughable, so come on and CRASH already.. I need a home.

Thursday, February 8, 2007 08:33AM Report Comment
 

7. george monsoon said...

Who the hell will be able to afford a house as a first time buyer in 2010??
You could sell me a 100 year - grip of death loan and I still wouldn't be able to afford the montly repayments, so unless you are extremely fortunate and are not a first time buyer then you are screwed.

Only thing is, this article is so inaccurate as to be laughable, so come on and CRASH already.. I need a home.

Thursday, February 8, 2007 08:33AM Report Comment
 

8. David20040_0 said...

Unfortunately lads they just aren't going to crash and the sooner you relaise that, the sooner you'll relaise the only option left is to leave the UK.

Thursday, February 8, 2007 10:51AM Report Comment
 

9. David20040_0 said...

As I keep saying house prices just keep going up 1K a month, banks talk of a slowdown, but in reality it won't happen.

Thursday, February 8, 2007 11:14AM Report Comment
 

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