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Sunday, Oct 23 2016 Add a News Blog Article

Has Brexit burst the British housing bubble?

New Statesman: Has Brexit burst the British housing bubble?

So what happened to the magic-money-tree? In short the pound fell in value and it has been continuing to fall ever since the UK voted to leave the EU. There was always going to be “the event” that triggered the end of speculation and it is looking more and more likely as if Brexit was that event. Once the pound begins to fall in value then any overseas investor knows that if they buy property in the UK, even if its value in pounds does not fall, it will be worth less to them in future.

Posted by becky @ 11:00 AM 3 Comments

Transport, housing and desperate articles

Telegraph: House price rises along Southern Rail routes grind to a halt as RMT strike action continues

House price growth at stations on Southern Rail's routes has ground to a halt as strikes by the RMT Union continue to make commuters' lives a misery.

Posted by tom101 @ 09:17 AM 1 Comments


Telegraph: The buy-to-let borrowers 'marooned on high rates for life'

'Borrowers who reach the end of a fixed-rate deal, for example, and then roll over on to a standard variable rate, could find they are paying well over 5pc. This is considerably higher than many of the deals available to those meeting the new criteria.'

Posted by tom101 @ 09:05 AM 1 Comments


Telegraph: Half a million landlords to be hit with 40pc tax raid under new rules

According to the National Association of Landlords, the new harsher tax rules will push the taxable incomes of around a quarter (440,000) of the UK's 2m landlords who currently pay basic rate tax at 20pc, above the higher-rate tax threshold of £41,786.

Posted by tom101 @ 11:41 AM 6 Comments

Onwards and downwards

FT Adviser: Property bubble to burst in 2017 warns economist

Harry Dent predicts prices will Tumble in 2017

Posted by jack c @ 06:34 PM 3 Comments


WSJ: Pound at Weakest Level in History Against Currency Basket

The UK has tax free gains for housing, has recently transferred 20-30% in real terms from savers to debtors without any government oversight i.e. the transfer has also been to foreign sterling debtors... has no way to rebalance because housing costs in the UK are higher than even the total manufacturing wages of other countries.... and some idea that reversing Brexit will make everything OK even though Brexit is a trigger not a cause. What happens now? Basically it involves amongst other stuff listening to somebody tell you how much their house went up in value....

Posted by stillthinking @ 05:09 AM 3 Comments

No way out....

Michael Hudson: Democracy's debt ladder

There was no recovery. We're still in the 2008 collapse with no way out unless there are massive debt write-downs. Reason is that debts now total $150 trillion, and the more debts grow the more they shrink the economy and the ability to pay them off because servicing them means people don't have the means to buy all the goods and services they produce. Most banks try to stay afloat, with all bad debts on their books, by lending to speculators to bet on derivatives. But look at Deutsche Bank - lending to speculators, who turn round and short that bank's shares!! "To save the banks you'd have to turn the entire Eurozone into another Greece". How much longer can they keep the plates spinning?

Posted by icarus @ 01:59 PM 3 Comments

No doubt the landlords will pass the costs of this frivilous lawsuit on?

Graniard: Landlords lose legal challenge over buy-to-let tax changes

What a waste of time... They need to just look across the Atlantic to their US counterparts who pay a hefty turnover tax (property taxes levied on owners) to see that this doesn't lead to higher rents.

Posted by mombers @ 08:40 AM 1 Comments

Stimulating the right end of the market

Hargreaves Lansdown/Reuters: UK government to buy unsold new homes to spur construction

Britain's government will buy unsold homes built by developers using a 2 billion pound fund announced earlier this week, a move designed to get construction firms to commit to bigger projects, a trade journal reported on Thursday. With HTB ending and BTL tax changes, who knows what might happen?

Posted by a saver @ 05:50 PM 12 Comments

RICS: We need more social parasites, especially corporate ones

BBC News: UK faces critical shortage of homes to rent, says Rics

BTL cheerleader RICS: We need more corporations & wealthy people renting out homes. Oh, and we should reduce stamp duty, continue to treat mortgage interest payments as tax-deductible and should offer tax breaks "to fund large scale rental properties".

Posted by landofconfusion @ 10:24 AM 4 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF) (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive