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Something funny going on at Zopa
Been trying to lend £1000 on Zopa for 2 weeks now....it's not been taken. ...

Sat Nav and dash cam aps on same android phone ?
I'd use a PS4....

Putting in low offers
Hmmm, well personally i havent met a nice EA yet. It must be me. Are you an...

Sat Nav and dash cam aps on same android phone ?
Having narrowly avoided hitting a female pedestrian yesterday, i think its time ...

Crash going mainstream
Times must be certain right now as debt is king....

Crash going mainstream
Saw a friend of mine at the weekend who works for a large American bank in Londo...

Explosion in Manchester
I'm probably going to get banned for this - I think your post is despicable. ...

Explosion in Manchester
Oh for heaven's sake....

Middle-class pensioners to lose benefits under Tory plan to fund social care
I hope not! My mother was one of five, and all but the youngest - she is severa...

Explosion in Manchester
My first thought was: did the government cause this directly? Distraction event....

Middle-class pensioners to lose benefits under Tory plan to fund social care
Yes, and that is the problem. Government policy turns houses into treasure....

Crash going mainstream
and in times of uncertainty 'Cash is King'.... The funniest thing is all the ban...

Explosion in Manchester
And what would more police do? More police state behaviour? No thanks....

Putting in low offers
Price is determined by the market. The vendor is not in control of the market. T...

Explosion in Manchester
Well i'm just numb and angry. Not shocked /surprised....

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
I don't know what the future path is. I am wary about prediction making at the c...

Explosion in Manchester
These things are always shocking, that's the whole point. But not very surprisin...

Explosion in Manchester
No it isn't. Not even remotely shocking. Sorry Wink....

BoE investigates 'terrifying' rise in borrowing to fund new car purchases
Another forum thread discusses it car credit crunch? likely? ...

Housebuilders must halt leasehold sale of new houses, says minister
Leasehold for flats on any tenure less than 250 years is a scam, Leasehold...

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
I do find this 'neo luddite' line of argument extremely worrying. The same logi...

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
Regards productivity, I see it more as a regional thang. We have productivity pr...

Middle-class pensioners to lose benefits under Tory plan to fund social care
..but a house can be sold to pay for anything....

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
The low productivity as mentioned is due to the disinflation cycle as well in th...

Countdown to leveraged BTL going bust thread
Yes. By definition. It may not be a significant increase, but that isn't t...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Tuesday, May 23 2017 Add a News Blog Article

It was too quiet here on HPC ... TOO QUIET!

FT Advisor: London Rents Fall for First Time in Eight Years

One suspects that the era of property selling at "offshore prices" is over... As for "onshore prices" - they're probably about 50% lower than what those lovely offshore buyers thought was sensible to pay. But they neglected that (a) London is not land-locked like Hong Kong (b) new supply is possible (c) as a democracy, we can elect politicians who don't give a monkey's about offshore owners ... BECAUSE THEY DON'T VOTE. Game over London Super-bubble -- and this is just the first chapter. My key indicator was how quiet this perma-bearish site had become.... even the bears had capitulated.

Posted by sneaker @ 07:43 AM 1 Comments

The Trend is Your Friend Until it Ends

FT Advisor: Oversupply weighs on London rents

"The London property market south of the River Thames is beginning to suffer as large numbers of the planned 22,000 units between Battersea and Nine Elms have come to market, and are typically purchased by foreign buyers as rental investments. Data analysed by London Central Portfolio found a significant annual increase in available rental properties in this area of about 28.1 per cent."

Posted by sneaker @ 07:39 AM 0 Comments

Offshore investors experiencing offshore drilling

Time Out: Rent Costs in London are Actually Going Down

So they both properly at the top. Then oil crashed, Russia got sanctions and a load of taxes came in to target offshore owners who, we, don't vote in the U.K. And finally Brexit. Not only are prices falling but Sterling collapsed. And now rents are dropping. Offshore drilling in progress!

Posted by sneaker @ 11:50 AM 5 Comments

A million homes by the end of 2020

Torygraph: Tory manifesto proposes mapping who owns all the land in the country for the first time

Well we have gone back to the 1950's with all parties pledging a million new homes..... and land value capture from the Tories...

Posted by pete green @ 09:29 AM 2 Comments

London suffers the fastest fall in house prices of anywhere in the UK

Evening Standard: London suffers the fastest fall in house prices of anywhere in the UK

"London house prices fell faster than anywhere else in the country in March as the impact of Brexit finally caught up with the property market."

Posted by becky @ 04:14 PM 8 Comments

RTB-er milking the system

Telegraph: Woman raffling her London home for £3.75m bought it three years ago through right-to-buy – for just £360k

A homeowner who tried to raise £3.75m by raffling her home online bought the property three years ago using the controversial right-to-buy scheme, and paid just £360,000. The owner, who is believed to have lived there since 2002, bought the property under the Government’s right-to-buy scheme three years ago, according to documents lodged with the Land Registry. It is understood that at the time it was valued at £460,000. Land Registry records confirm, however, that the price paid was £360,000, indicating the buyers benefited from a £100,000 right-to-buy discount. The raffle was halted for breaking gambling laws , but he five-bedroom flat is still on the market, listed Rightmove for £1.25m.

Posted by little professor @ 11:07 PM 5 Comments

Trend or Blip?

BBC News: UK house prices in first quarterly fall since 2012

UK house prices are "stagnating" and have actually fallen in the last three months, according to the Halifax.

Posted by wdbeast @ 10:12 AM 6 Comments

Literally taking bundles of £50 notes and burning them

BBC: Town halls buy back Right-to-Buy homes

"Councils have spent millions buying back homes they sold at a discount under Right-to-Buy laws to meet housing shortages. Islington council spent more than £6.2m buying back homes it sold to people for less than £1.3m, a Freedom of Information request reveals." Can hardly be called privatisation if *Assets sold at huge discount *Continuing public subsidies in perpetuity. E.g. Housing Benefit for RtB BtL operators. Central government funding for local services not covered by council tax.

Posted by mombers @ 08:11 AM 5 Comments

What's the common denominator?

Daily mail: Canada tries to defuse property boom

When will the young wake to the fact This is a speculative bubble and nothing to Do with lack of supply?

Posted by taffee @ 07:59 AM 0 Comments

Dodgy government accounting results in disasters like this

Graniard: How the MoD’s plan to privatise military housing ended in disaster

"In 1996, the Ministry of Defence decided to sell off its housing stock. The financier Guy Hands bought it up in a deal that would make his investors billions – and have catastrophic consequences for both the military and the taxpayer" The government secured a 'good' deal, but only for 25 years. It sold homes for £1.67bn that are now worth £6.7bn and it has to start paying whatever rent Guy Hands can get away with rather than the much smaller amount that it would cost to run the estate. Similar to the Right to Buy fiasco - fire sale, made worse by paying over the odds for the same service that the asset originally rendered under state ownership

Posted by mombers @ 07:37 AM 1 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive