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Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
It's not a divorce; it's an international treaty. States are not people....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Pay the bill then we will discuss future relationships. That's like the jil...

High street trends...
Quite, not getting any better, talking to teachers who are now called teaching a...

High street trends...
That's exactly the boat we were in. Despite living in a very expensive area, the...

Deluded Old Scrapper Birds On Dating Sites
Yep I agree....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
We will be given the best possible deal for a third country, just don't expect i...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I think you got confused I claimed "It could be almost £0.5bln". "what do you ...

'No one calls the housing association repairs line. There's no point'
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/apr/11/no-one-calls-the-housing-associa...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Thats hilarious... sounds like the next letter from the "Dr." will be skim read ...

High street trends...
I really do wonder as to there mental state when in 10 -15 years they actually h...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Nonsense on stilts. In what way has the EU bullied the UK?...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Having drafted a number of replies for ministers, I can confirm this is civil se...

High street trends...
Agree, there is no 'right' way to live.....no 'perfect' way of life......loads o...

As first-time buyers, can we take out a buy-to-let mortgage?
I worked in London 1989/90. Upper management types doing private hire taxi work ...

Forty people found living in three-bedroom house - with one toilet
Don't go spoiling the thread with facts....

Forty people found living in three-bedroom house - with one toilet
No lecture here. I asked you to clarify your position. And now you have. The wor...

8 out of 10 motorists incapable of thinking for themselves.
My point was that "83% of car owners showed resistance to the idea, saying that ...

Canada bubble is popped
This news went down like a lead balloon with our good friends over at MSE... the...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
+ 1 They are the bully who's been stealing our lunch ... time to poison it....

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
That's the second time in past 2 weeks that Bosher has been dealt a firm HM Trea...

Donald Trump
Indeed although it is early in his presidency so there's still time for him to c...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I'm losing the plot? You're the one who appears to be posting replies to what th...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
You're losing the plot. It's not surprising: you've egged on your country to a ...

8 out of 10 motorists incapable of thinking for themselves.
It's just a make work money maker for garages and the fee on top of the annual s...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Understanding the written word clearly isn't your strong point. What reality and...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Thursday, Apr 27 2017 Add a News Blog Article

What price can Generation Rent afford, though? 50% lower I guess.

Property Reporter: Gross mortgage lending down 19% year-on-year

"With people increasingly wary of rate rises, remortgage levels also remain high. Inflationary pressure to come means the first rate rise in a long time may no longer be too far off. Brexit-related uncertainty continues to see many would-be movers sit on their hands, and the General Election could see even more conservatism in the months ahead. Dire supply levels are also damaging demand. There's very little on the market and people aren't in a hurry to buy homes they sense are languishing rather than electrifying. At the high end of the market there has been an influx of cash buyers over the past nine months given the weakness of the Pound. But with Sterling seemingly in bounce-back mode, we may see this trend tail off."

Posted by sneaker @ 09:46 AM 4 Comments

Must be that Brexit thing again!

The Guardian: Lenders report 42% fall in loans to landlords as tax changes begin to bite

The CML says that if the March trend continues “we can expect to have seen around 70,000 buy-to-let house purchases in the last year. This compares with 142,000 in the 12 months leading up to the stamp duty change. That’s 42% lower year-on-year”. “It is too early to predict long-term effects of these measures on the balance of tenure. But we may be beginning to see the reversal of a long period of expansion of the private rented sector.”

Posted by sneaker @ 09:43 AM 0 Comments

What else can they throw at it?

Dailymail: Property market in doldrums

looks like chickens coming home to roost...I keep an eye on central London property/prices and the amount of stock for sale is unbelievable...prices of 1/2 bed flats have plunged imo what else can they throw at it

Posted by taffee @ 10:15 AM 8 Comments

UK not as bad as Oz but that's setting the bar low

Zero Hedge: Australia Has The World's Worst Money-Laundering Property Market

Transparency International has released a new report, entitled Doors Wide Open: Corruption and Real Estate in Four Key Markets, which has identified Australia, Canada, the UK and the USA as the top four spots targeted by corrupt officials or criminals for real estate crime.

Posted by quiet guy @ 09:39 AM 2 Comments

Government meddling has made housing less affordable for first time buyers

BBC News: Better-off cashing in on Help to Buy scheme, research finds

Just over half of the people who have received taxpayers' money to help them buy a home under a government scheme did not need it, according to research. About 4,000 households in England earning more than £100,000 annually are in the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme. Official figures to December 2016 show more than 20,000 households who are not first-time buyers have been helped. The initiative, which started in April 2013, aims to make buying a home more affordable. But research conducted for the government found 57% of those who signed up to it said they could have afforded to buy without access to the scheme.

Posted by quiet guy @ 12:40 PM 4 Comments

Just a blip?

BBC News: UK house prices in first monthly fall for 20 months

Average house prices across the UK fell by 0.3% in the month of March, according to the Nationwide, the first fall since June 2015.

Posted by wdbeast @ 11:26 AM 4 Comments

BTL League of Gentlemen

Telegraph: Britain's biggest landlord bans 'coloured people' because of 'the curry smell'

One of Britain's biggest buy-to-let landlords, Fergus Wilson, has banned 'coloured' people from renting his properties because, he says, they leave them smelling of curry. When contacted by The Sun Mr Wilson defended his comments, saying : "To be honest, we’re getting overloaded with coloured people. It is a problem with certain types of coloured people — those who consume curry — it sticks to the carpet.

Posted by quiet guy @ 07:56 AM 19 Comments

It's all Brexit's fault, surely?

The Star, Malaysia: China's capital controls start biting

In recent years, mainland Chinese corporations and cash-rich individuals have been the world’s largest buyers of real estate but this global property binge may subside soon. Since late November, the world’s second largest economy has been scrutinising the deals and projects of its home grown companies abroad and fund repatriation by individuals, particularly towards mega property investments, doubtful mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

Posted by sneaker @ 07:30 AM 0 Comments

QE, asset-price inflation and wages

Bloomberg: Here’s One Chart That Captures the Debate Over QE

First chart shows the 'stellar' gains in world asset prices since 2008 and the sluggish growth in the economy. “We don’t know how effective QE has been (i.e. for the real economy) because we don’t know what would have happened without it,” said Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at Goldman in London. Falling interest rates supported most financial assets, while for the economy “QE has been effective to prevent downside risk,” he said. Any suggestions for a translation of this quote? Third chart shows how ballooning central bank balance sheets have ballooned equity prices. Will the Fed rein back QE and raise Treasury yields and mortgage securities?

Posted by icarus @ 01:11 PM 0 Comments

Damn that pesky Brexit

Zero Hedge: Manhattan Luxury Housing In Freefall: J.Crew CEO Slashes Tribeca Loft Price By Over 40%

If the downturn in London property is because of Brexit .... then why is it happening everywhere? Manhattan, Los Angeles, Vancouver, Hong Kong, you name it.... The answer is it's nothing to do with Brexit! It's because of capital flight controls in China and all the other factors we know well: rising US Dollar interest rates, Russia sanctions, oil crash etc etc But no doubt what's happening in London will be myopically attributed to Brexit. I read elsewhere that Nine Elms bee builds are being offered "cheap" but in reality even down 30% they are still expensive. Who are the buyers if offshore buyers can't cough up any more? The answer is onshore buyers, but only at prices they can afford and they are much lower... the market will clear but not up here.

Posted by sneaker @ 10:09 AM 2 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive