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Carney is either bent or stupid
...the real risk is to the lender whereby the guaranteed future value agreed at ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
...ha..ha..more like when things are running well people turn to socialism for p...

10 reasons house prices cannot go up further
What about the 1 million homeless predicted by 2020 in Shelter report, http...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Are you not one of the 52%?...

Italian music
I ordered that on your recommendation but only got round to watching it last nig...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Hilarious classic nepharious tactic of putting something in your bag and zipping...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
It's simple. We concentrate on a long term plan to stop our young having the cho...

Deluded Old Scrapper Birds On Dating Sites
Did anyone else notice 4 pages worth of posts disappear from this topic?...

How do you avoid getting angry?
Perhaps the word "specifically" is key, and answer lies in working out why. Then...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Coalition of Contempt criticises blues' callous gambling with EU Citizens Rights...

Disaster ahead for 'Labour?'
Only Labour are seriously trying to woo the priced out. Who would they vote for ...

How many tower blocks will be condemned?
He could have put out a small fire. Instead he packed his suitcase. Yeah, ill go...

Gold strategy in the current economy
Would one person alone have the ability to sell 50 tonnes of gold?...

Schools finishing early on Fridays
Parents are furious as primary school announces plans to finish at LUNCHTIME on ...

"Housing really is central to everything" - Richard Murphy blog
But why does the explanation have to be one or the other, affordability or suppl...

Hacker collective Anonymous releases video claiming that NASA is on the verge of announcing alien life
...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Umm...no....

Disaster ahead for 'Labour?'
Not sure, but the way I heard it was that a lot of the plp rebels and suddenly g...

Carney is either bent or stupid
Chicken or Egg ? GDP is debt first...

How many tower blocks will be condemned?
No doubt, cladding installers will be deemed "too big to fail" and be given lots...

How many tower blocks will be condemned?
How many hospitals, schools, public buildings will be condemned? Hint...lots. ...

Gold strategy in the current economy
ETF's can be gold backed. There is a variety of ETF's in the gold corner. P...

How many tower blocks will be condemned?
Grenfell Tower fire: Company takes down webpage about refurbishment work ...

How do you avoid getting angry?
You aren't really angry at the inanimate. It's the people who put it together yo...

"Housing really is central to everything" - Richard Murphy blog
In some ways I am because it's far more reaching societally positive goal than t...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Jun 28 2017 Add a News Blog Article

Bear necessities: Brexit chaos fuels fall in living standards

Grauniad: Pay squeeze intensifies as wage growth falls further behind inflation

Fairly simple mechanism folks. The falling pound means more expensive imports, and wages are not keeping pace with inflation. Only one way this can impact on ability to service rent or mortgage. And can you really see it getting better as the Brexit chaos continues?

Posted by nickb @ 01:16 PM 9 Comments

Increasing the supply of homes for foreign investors

The Guardian: Foreign investors snapping up London homes suitable for first-time buyers

First time buyers are missing out as homes are bought investors from Hong Kong and Singapore at inflated prices. The mayor of London said: “international investment plays a vital role in providing developers with the certainty and finance they need to increase the supply of homes and infrastructure for Londoners”

Posted by cyril @ 07:06 AM 4 Comments

There is such a thing as HPC after all

Onenewspage: Crowd of house buyers rush into estate agentsin China after prices plummet

Video showing a big crowd rushing into an estate agent's office in China to buy real estate after house prices crash. It must have been a very sudden crash for people to fall over each other like this. Central and local governments have been curbing house price growth all year - by restricting the buying of second homes, increasing deposits and reducing property developers' borrowing to buy land. (I posted this video on Thursday but it didn't appear - maybe I didn't use my admin password, so apologies if it turns up again later.)

Posted by icarus @ 08:50 AM 1 Comments

Food for the Bears on Election day !

Financial Reporter: Transactions plummet by a fifth since SDLT reforms

The property market in England and Wales has been "shattered" since the government introduced its stamp duty reforms, according to Nested analysis. The research, which used data from Land Registry and Zoopla, found that transactions across the country fell annually by almost a fifth - 19% - across England and Wales and by as much as 33% in London, as the government’s 3% stamp duty surcharge on second homes saw investors exit the property market.

Posted by jack c @ 10:18 AM 4 Comments

And in the same breath let us tell you they are rising!

Grauniad: UK house prices rise for first time in five months

Halifax data say prices rose in May. Curiously the Graun does not refer to its own article a few days back reporting Nationwide data saying they fell. NW data were seasonally adjusted. Are the Halifax data? Are they both mix adjusted? Is it just sampling error on the back of low transactions volume? where is the signal in the noise?

Posted by nickb @ 02:20 PM 2 Comments

House price = capitalised value of rental income

Torygraph: Rents follow house prices and show first fall since 2009 crisis

Homelet data records rents falling in May. I look forward to talking with my landlord about this ;-)

Posted by nickb @ 02:06 PM 13 Comments

HPC gets a name check in the Grauniad

The Guardian: Yes, house prices are falling: but they probably won’t fall quickly

Fame at last

Posted by cyril @ 10:10 AM 15 Comments

Crashy crashy

BBC Business: House prices fell again in May, Nationwide says

Annual growth 2.1% . Weakest pace for almost four years

Posted by magnifico @ 08:23 AM 11 Comments

... But but but... Enfield still looking good ??

Business Insider: House prices in London are being cut as the once-crazy market continues to cool

The number of asking-price reductions is growing fastest in outer London boroughs like Barking & Dagenham, where 28% of homes were discounted compared to 21% in January, and Newham, where 24.5% had reductions compared to 20% in January.

Posted by techieman @ 06:16 PM 27 Comments

Here's what sends US rents through the roof.

Michael Hudson: Another housing bubble?

In 2008 the problem stemmed largely from liar loans for buying houses. Not so now. 10 years ago US rents tended downwards because new owner-occupiers were desperate to have renters to help with the mortgage. So, house prices rose while rents fell. After 2008 a large % of the 10m foreclosures were bought for cash by hedge funds (HFs). With ZIRP the HFs decided that it was more profitable to buy foreclosed properties and let them out at high rents than it was to write mortgages or flip the properties. Mortgages are hard to get and HFs have monopolised the rental market in many areas - so renting is also hard. So the banks are looking for more NINJAs to whom they can lend. Answer - government guaranteed student loans, which create spiv universities.

Posted by icarus @ 12:50 PM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive