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Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I gave my background (working in HO immigration and the EU Commission) about 500...

Single parents and benefits
Well the total number of births dropped by quite a lot after the Tories got in a...

The Glenlivet 15 Year Old French Oak Reserve
Johnnie Walker, maybe doesn't fit the no-one has heard of bit, but very true on ...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
Quick we need another government prop!...

Buy to let is dead (Telegraph article), buy shops instead!
They drive around picking up uber fares, while you are at work. They drive ...

The 'If wages at bottom go up prices will rise' meme
Could raising wages promote/enable inflation in non-discretionary spend, utiliti...

Single parents and benefits
I meant academic evidence - although it is always nice to know that my experienc...

Single parents and benefits
Absolutely, it's a career choice for many. Sister in law included, 4 kids i...

Single parents and benefits
Is there any evidence that our benefit system causes people to have more childre...

There is Something wrong in the state of Sandwell
I recall how several members of Doncaster Council got jailed for corruption ('Do...

THE GREAT BIG CHINA THREAD
Everything is fine. It's just liquidity.......

Bleak trend of low, part-time wages in UK is revealed
Good post. Gordon Brown has a lot to answer for. I am less certain imm...

Bleak trend of low, part-time wages in UK is revealed
It was also marx's argument, basically that capitalism would eventually eat itse...

Remember the Tory-voting mum who attacked tax credit cuts? She's now a Momentum boss
Something not right about her....

What happens if the immigrants leave?
I agree with your first point but not that much he polish doctor/cleaner has a d...

What happens if the immigrants leave?
Well exactly. Our view of what our reward should be for doing menial work is tot...

Theresa May's Hard Brexit - how will it affect London?
Well, it's the commuter train and all are suited and booted, so suspect the form...

What happens if the immigrants leave?
Re your second point, it depends how you define poverty. When I was young, man...

The Glenlivet 15 Year Old French Oak Reserve
Worth a watch!...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-19/u-k-house-price-gauge-decline...

Reports of cold weather in central Europe
There was the odd occasion she went for knuckle dusters and a blue WKD, just fo...

There is Something wrong in the state of Sandwell
Really? I certainly can....

Theresa May's Hard Brexit - how will it affect London?
DRs + Engineers + Bankers ...... or sandwich and chicken shack workers?...

Remember the Tory-voting mum who attacked tax credit cuts? She's now a Momentum boss
One year. Shes a thick, self entitled bint - ideal for Momentum....

Westmonster
I thought we already had our own fake news website in the BBC; filling the space...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Thursday, Jan 19 2017 Add a News Blog Article

... you'd better shake up...

Evening Standard: London house prices: Demand for stamp-duty shake-up to boost central London market

Bemoaning the SDLT from the VI gang on the basis that it hits workers : One of London Chamber’s primary concerns is that ordinary Londoners can afford to live and work in the capital, helping businesses attract and retain the best talent.  In the words of Ace Ventura.... oh reaaaallllyyy?

Posted by techieman @ 07:38 AM 6 Comments

Will the global House of Cards tumble....

Torygraph: Fears of a 'massive' global property price fall amid 'dangerous' conditions and market slow-down

"Property prices have climbed to dangerous levels in several advanced economies, raising the risk of massive price falls if markets overheat, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)."

Posted by pete green @ 10:16 AM 17 Comments

Does not resolve the fundamental issue

Telegraph: 14 New garden towns and villages to provide 200,000 homes to ease housing shortage

With free movement of people, you could build 100 new towns and it would just cause more people to come, particularly with the Eurozone having porous borders to the middle east and Africa, bringing in unvetted people, many of whom are illiterate and incapable of supporting themselves and their families. Of course, few of them will be able to afford any of these new houses. Fine, have lots coming in, but at least work out how many homes we have and can build and be in a position to plan for not only homes but schools, hospitals, jobs, etc!!

Posted by libertas @ 10:55 AM 2 Comments

All of the mainstream political parties are complicit

Independent: Number of private renters made homeless has trebled since 2010, figures reveal

Thousands of renters each month are being deemed officially homeless by local councils after being evicted by private landlords and struggling to pay rents that have risen across the country by more 20 per cent since 2010. The figures show a huge rise in people becoming homeless at the end of assured short hold tenancies (ASTs) 'the most common agreement used by private landlords' since 2010

Posted by quiet guy @ 01:27 AM 3 Comments

Dollar repatriation

WebCommentary: Steve Bannon plots economic destruction

Interesting view that as soon as the fed tightens i.e. stops the support of the bond market, then nominal rates can be very low because as dollars are repatriated to the US you can get an effective return from the dollar increasing in value.

Posted by stillthinking @ 03:41 AM 5 Comments

Feeding frenzy to extract profit hits homeless

Green Social Thought: Attack on St Louis homeless foreshadows things to come

More poor and homeless are being shoved off land when its value goes up. Here are some of the official tactics in one US city.

Posted by icarus @ 06:27 PM 0 Comments

Official figures overstate the level of home ownership

Guardian: Generation rent: official figures overstate UK home ownership - study

Official figures do not count the number of people who own their own homes but the proportion of properties owned by an occupier of a property. This means if a person bought a house and took in three lodgers, the property would then be counted as owner-occupied and the three people renting “drop out of the picture”. Similarly, if five unrelated people share a house this would be counted as one rented household. The same principle also applies to an adult returning home to live with his or her parents.

Posted by enuii @ 05:34 PM 5 Comments

Meanwhile, cuts in social care for the elderly are causing soaring deaths.

Daily Mail: Just 34,000 migrants out of 1.2million to arrive in Germany in the last two years have found work, government reveals

Of course, if we did not finance radical Islam to replace dictators like Gaddafi, Assad and an elected Egyptian President, to replace it with something even worse and allowing ISIS to take Iraq after taking out Saddam, we could instead use foreign aid to encourage secular education and literacy in these countries so that the huge number of illiterate individuals being radicalised can instead have the ability to think for themselves and maybe lead normal lives and be prosperous in their homelands, building a middle class that can construct the civil society that can be the only replacement for dictatorship, that is simply a virus that fills the void? Meanwhile, Europe has a major housing crisis cause by mass migration whilst social welfare is shifted from our most vulnerable citizens.

Posted by libertas @ 08:31 AM 8 Comments

Remember this next time you watch a property investor TV show

Guardian: Home ownership among 25-year-olds in England and Wales has halved in 20 years

"It must recognise that a renaissance in housebuilding by councils will be crucial to helping ensure the mix of homes to rent and buy that are affordable for those people that need them."

Posted by quiet guy @ 01:24 AM 6 Comments

A good analysis of market drivers...

Andrew Goodman Blog: The Fallacy of Booming UK House Prices

... of course as usual timing is everything. The blog has other interesting HP articles too.

Posted by techieman @ 08:51 AM 5 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive