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Financial Planner
on Wednesday evening 9th January chez nous:

"Britain's Biggest House Price Falls:
ITV 1
Investigation into the current downturn in Britain's housing market, revealing the areas of the country worst affected and asking not just who stands to lose out, but who stands to benefit from the slump"

Er, I can guarantee this will be HPC friendly... laugh.gif wink.gif

Stanstead Abbotts. See my profile for email address / tel no.
Show me the Money!
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Jan 5 2008, 07:26 PM) *
on Wednesday evening 9th January chez nous:

"Britain's Biggest House Price Falls:
ITV 1
Investigation into the current downturn in Britain's housing market, revealing the areas of the country worst affected and asking not just who stands to lose out, but who stands to benefit from the slump"

Er, I can guarantee this will be HPC friendly... laugh.gif wink.gif

Stanstead Abbotts. See my profile for email address / tel no.



Hi FP,

Very tempting offer alas I will be in the Manchester area for work and staying over night, I am renting just round the corner from you in Broxbourne.

Reading through your other posts you mentioned of a EA closing in Hoddesdon, which one was it??
Financial Planner
QUOTE (Show me the Money! @ Jan 8 2008, 09:05 PM) *
Reading through your other posts you mentioned of a EA closing in Hoddesdon, which one was it??

Bairstow Eves.
matey
I noticed today that our Bairstow Eves in Bicester as closed down. Notice in window saying that other branches are unaffected and business is moved to EA Buckell and Ballards just up the road.

Show me the Money!
QUOTE (matey @ Jan 10 2008, 10:13 AM) *
I noticed today that our Bairstow Eves in Bicester as closed down. Notice in window saying that other branches are unaffected and business is moved to EA Buckell and Ballards just up the road.




The exact same for Bairstow Eves in Hoddesdon, office in next town (Cheshunt) is business as usual.

I believe this particular EA is owned by Countrywide, the same Countrywide that is currently going through the mangle in the US at the mo.
Financial Planner
QUOTE (Show me the Money! @ Jan 10 2008, 05:47 PM) *
The exact same for Bairstow Eves in Hoddesdon, office in next town (Cheshunt) is business as usual.

I believe this particular EA is owned by Countrywide, the same Countrywide that is currently going through the mangle in the US at the mo.

Er, I just wrote about BE in Hoddesdon. Also UK Countrywide has nothing to do wh US Countrywide - which is like Northern Rock. Of course, both C/wides are in the briwn stuff - to their necks.
Fancypants
nearest estate agent to my current bolthole has closed since the New Year. They were situated on Enfield Highway, expensive refurb only a couple of months ago.

Across the road, the other EA is now doing a 0.75% special offer.

Luvly jubbly. laugh.gif
DoctorJ
Hey! Good to see that FP has resurrected the East Herts thread, which disappeared at the end of last year.

Do any of you guys know of some good housing auctions in the area?

Is this where you intend to go to pick up some real bargains in the future?
Greenstuff
QUOTE (DoctorJ @ Jan 12 2008, 01:31 PM) *
Do any of you guys know of some good housing auctions in the area?

Is this where you intend to go to pick up some real bargains in the future?


Yes and yes

http://www.propertyauctionaction.co.uk/
http://www.south-east-auctions.co.uk/
http://www.allsop.co.uk/


Hey FP, I didn't know Bas tard theives closed in Hoddesdon - there was one is the Harvey centre in Harlow closed too - no forwarding info nothing just upped and gone....


Financial Planner
QUOTE (Greenstuff @ Jan 22 2008, 06:06 PM) *
Hey FP, I didn't know Bas tard thieves closed in Hoddesdon


Tee Hee biggrin.gif
Financial Planner
So, we're well into February and the biggest and most productive time for proeprty sales... So, how come the Mercury property ads have so many 'No Chains' and 'Reduceds'..?

Can't imagine.

One lovely sight was the ad for a huge 6 bed semi in Broxbourne which has been on the market for 2 YEARS!!!. It's always been priced at 725 or 750, depending who was advertising.

Well, now it's 700 (less a fiver). Those 'sellers' are making their move - as we said they would all along.

Also, I note all the LAs are offering big discounts on charges ot LLs.

Also, I have heard that a pure LA is getting into sales - as all his LLs are trying to sell up... laugh.gif

No names no pack drill. You ain't seen me roight.
benno1uk
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Feb 17 2008, 04:36 PM) *
One lovely sight was the ad for a huge 6 bed semi in Broxbourne which has been on the market for 2 YEARS!!!. It's always been priced at 725 or 750, depending who was advertising.


A huge 6.75% drop in price... hold onto your hats everyone.
Financial Planner
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Feb 17 2008, 04:36 PM) *
One lovely sight was the ad for a huge 6 bed semi in Broxbourne which has been on the market for 2 YEARS!!!. It's always been priced at 725 or 750, depending who was advertising.
Well, now it's 700 (less a fiver). Those 'sellers' are making their move - as we said they would all along.

After 2 years, the owner has finally realised that s/he will never get that price and has started to reduce. This will be the case for most/all long term sellers and will drive prices down.

Icantbelieveitsnotbutter
The Chapel in Goldings has been reduced from £4.5 to £4
Show me the Money!
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Feb 18 2008, 01:05 PM) *
After 2 years, the owner has finally realised that s/he will never get that price and has started to reduce. This will be the case for most/all long term sellers and will drive prices down.

I must say I did notice there was sooooo much property in the Mercury in EN10/EN11 at the moment that is just not shifting or coming back on onto the market as the sale has fallen through.
Anyone else notice the new builds next door to Broxbourne station, prices go up to £575,000 four bed with no garden!!!
Financial Planner
QUOTE (Show me the Money! @ Feb 20 2008, 09:36 PM) *
Anyone else notice the new builds next door to Broxbourne station, prices go up to £575,000 four bed with no garden!!!

I'll give Kirsty Allsopp a frenchie if they achieve that!
MoonLady
Bairstow Eves Staines - closed down few weeks ago
grey shark
QUOTE (MoonLady @ Feb 21 2008, 08:35 AM) *
Bairstow Eves Staines - closed down few weeks ago

Shame....... sad.gif ............................ smile.gif .................................. biggrin.gif .................................................. laugh.gif laugh.gif

Thats a sweet little avatar you have there Moon Lady wink.gif
DoctorJ
QUOTE
Hertfordshire
Average Cost: £297,816
Detached: £558,087
Semi-detached: £317,195
Terraced: £249,085
Flat: £191,072


Change in last quarter: -3.7%
Change in last year: 8.2%
Sales: 5739


Herts data from LR report posted by RB in the main room. Makes interesting reading.

It seems that some regions in Herts are up, but some are down. The overall figure of -3.2% is skewed somewhat due to a 19% drop in Three Rivers.

I hope to see more drops in the near future.
garybug
Here in Sawbridgeworth I am seeing minimal falls (5k on 200-250k props.) on Property Bee - but nothing is moving (in the selling sense), especially the flats in The Maltings (nice as they are).

Given that it's 40mins from Liverpool Street, I'll be surprised if they lose more than 20% around here, but I'll be very happy to be proved wrong.. wink.gif

As for Bishops Stortford & Harlow (FFS ph34r.gif ), I can definitely see 30-40% drops around these areas at the bottom.

gb
Greenstuff
Same here (Stanstead Abbotts) no drops of any significance and the white sock brigade are still marketing 4 bed shoeboxes for 485k and one bed newbuild shoeboxes for just under 200k.
Although there was one drop of 25k which then sold, so someone got a 2 bed cottage on a main road with no parking for the bargain price of a quarter Mil.
It has been laminated too, lucky people.
DoctorJ
I'm just going to bump this as its good to see a Herts thread up and running again. My old one seems to have disappeared with the server update at the end of last year.

I have to admit that I haven't been keeping a close eye on selling prices in the area - I'm in Ware/Hertford. But rental prices are steady with some pressure on the downside. 2 bed flat rentals were averaging 750/month recently but have noticed a lot more at 650 recently.

I do have anecdotal evidence (from someone who had trouble completing a chain) from B.Stortford that prices are dropping by around 5% so far. Its not much but its a start.
garybug
OUCH!! 20.5k off in Sawbridgeworth - rubbing my eyes at this...(thanks PropertyBee wink.gif )

13rd Mar 2008 22:51:15
Price changed: from '£249,995' to '£229,500'

22nd Feb 2008 19:06:51
Price found: £249,995
Title found: Church Walk, SAWBRIDGEWORTH, Hertfordshire
Subtitle found: 2 bedroom flat
Brief Description found: We are delighted to offer this 2 DOUBLE BEDROOM 1970's built first floor DETACHED maisonette situated in a private road within walking distance of Sawbridgeworth railway station with access to Liverpo...

EDIT - FECK ME, it's listed on the following page as 214k! laugh.gif 35k OFF!!
Financial Planner
QUOTE (garybug @ Mar 13 2008, 10:57 PM) *
OUCH!! 20.5k off in Sawbridgeworth - rubbing my eyes at this...(thanks PropertyBee wink.gif )

EDIT - FECK ME, it's listed on the following page as 214k! laugh.gif 35k OFF!!

Bring it on!!!!!!!
garybug
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Mar 14 2008, 07:54 AM) *
Bring it on!!!!!!!


Part of me thinks it was mispriced at 250k (although it is a nice place in a nice spot), so 229k seems more likely - still even then it's 15k off.

Also 'vacant possesion' - in a rush to sell are we? tongue.gif
damian frach
QUOTE (garybug @ Mar 14 2008, 08:23 AM) *
Part of me thinks it was mispriced at 250k (although it is a nice place in a nice spot), so 229k seems more likely - still even then it's 15k off.

Also 'vacant possesion' - in a rush to sell are we? tongue.gif


Loughton IG10 - west south essex - reductions in progress

one page from the rightmove with the propertybee on (houses; 2+ bedrooms):

#
date event
14th Mar 2008

* Price changed: from '£237,000' to '£235,000'

28th Jan 2008

* Initial entry found.

#
date event
12nd Mar 2008

* Price changed: from '£240,000' to '£230,000'

28th Jan 2008

* Price changed: from '£243,995' to '£240,000'

23rd Jan 2008

* Initial entry found.

#
date event
12nd Mar 2008

* Price changed: from '£240,000' to '£230,000'

5th Mar 2008

* Initial entry found.

#
date event
12nd Mar 2008

* Price changed: from '£239,995' to '£229,995'

23rd Jan 2008

* Initial entry found.

#
date event
7th Mar 2008

* Price changed: from '£239,995' to '£229,950'

28th Jan 2008

* Initial entry found.

#
date event
6th Feb 2008

* Price changed: from '£232,000' to '£229,950'

23rd Jan 2008

* Initial entry found.

garybug
So here we are, at the start of the crash, and already 10% off asking price seems to be the default. What will it be in six months? ph34r.gif (or at the end of the year when my lease is up.. tongue.gif )
Design Guru
Re the Loughton situation - it would be interesting to know which EA those properties were selling with.

I sold my 2 bed flat in summer 07 - but only after I reduced the price to a more realistic £199K (Haart assured me that they would get £215k for it).

After my sale I checked back regularly, only to discover that Haart were the most common EA listed on Propertysnake in the IG10 area... obviously over-valuing all the properties in order to get the client on their books - then being unable to achieve their promised figure.

a j
Things seem to be getting interesting in Hertfordshire. I do an occasional search on Rightmove looking at the cheapest liveable flat within three miles of St Albans station, and the best properties available for the £250k threshold. The lowest rates for OK(ish) flats have fallen by about 10% over the last few months (not very scientific as the cheapest flats may well have leasehold problems), and some houses in reasonable locations have fallen below £250k for the first time since 2005. I dont think we are back to early 2005 prices yet but seem to be going that way.

Now that events are progressing is anyone interested in a Herts pub meet to compare anecdotes, observations and speculation?
Financial Planner
There's a 4 bed, with kitchen/diner in Broxbourne for £300k. This is the lowest I've seen for years - normally £400k min.

Wait 'till the spring bounce does not materialise and properties flood on the mkt. We will go strongly negative within a few months even in the b****cks' surveys.
VillageIdiot
QUOTE (DoctorJ @ Feb 21 2008, 06:15 PM) *
It seems that some regions in Herts are up, but some are down. The overall figure of -3.2% is skewed somewhat due to a 19% drop in Three Rivers.


Hello to everyone here!

Would you know where I could find that data? I need to move to Three Rivers for work reasons, so that would handy info to wave around! laugh.gif
DoctorJ
QUOTE (VillageIdiot @ Mar 20 2008, 12:51 PM) *
Hello to everyone here!

Would you know where I could find that data? I need to move to Three Rivers for work reasons, so that would handy info to wave around! laugh.gif


It should be on the Land Registry website.
FaTB
When you say 3 rivers I assume you mean the Rickmansworth, Maple Cross kind of area, near Watford ??

http://www.home.co.uk/guides/house_prices_...mp;endyear=2008
VillageIdiot
Thank you very much DoctorJ and FatB for the info. Rickmansworth is where I'm looking so that makes very interesting reading!

I am really suprised by some of those figures. Any ideas why terraced properties are averaging significantly higher than semi detached properties?
Financial Planner
QUOTE (VillageIdiot @ Mar 23 2008, 10:14 PM) *
Any ideas why terraced properties are averaging significantly higher than semi detached properties?

Have averaged. Past tense.
FaTB
[quote name='VillageIdiot' date='Mar 23 2008, 10:14 PM' post='1029014'
I am really suprised by some of those figures. Any ideas why terraced properties are averaging significantly higher than semi detached properties?
[/quote]

I think that figure is probably just an anomaly, because the sample size is so small.

But the number of houses sold in the area, I think tells a clearer story, significantly down almost across the board.

In my area (St. Albans) sales are down around 50% for every type of house, that must mean that prices will follow eventually.
garybug
Slightly OT, but the local rag popped through the door yesterday ("The Herald"), which serves Bishops Stortford, Sawbridgeworth, Harlow - with the headline that BS & Harlow are the 5th & 4th most indebted towns in the UK.

So we can safely say that the CC squeeze will hit this area hard, with little spare cash around. Evidence? Prior to 09/08/07, Rightmove had around 46 entries for sale in my search (everything in Sawbridgeworth plus one mile - and this did include duplicates).

Since then, it's been rising steadily & now stands at 86 (inc. dupes) and NOTHING is moving (in fact, a cottage in High Wych has come back on after disappearing for 3 months).

As I've said before, this is prime commuter town (1hr door to door to the City), and PropertyBee is showing 5-10% reductions already, and the crash is only just waking up, and prior to mortage deals really drying up.

Poor wee souls... tongue.gif
the primitive
QUOTE (garybug @ Mar 29 2008, 07:44 AM) *
Slightly OT, but the local rag popped through the door yesterday ("The Herald"), which serves Bishops Stortford, Sawbridgeworth, Harlow - with the headline that BS & Harlow are the 5th & 4th most indebted towns in the UK.

So we can safely say that the CC squeeze will hit this area hard, with little spare cash around. Evidence? Prior to 09/08/07, Rightmove had around 46 entries for sale in my search (everything in Sawbridgeworth plus one mile - and this did include duplicates).

Since then, it's been rising steadily & now stands at 86 (inc. dupes) and NOTHING is moving (in fact, a cottage in High Wych has come back on after disappearing for 3 months).

As I've said before, this is prime commuter town (1hr door to door to the City), and PropertyBee is showing 5-10% reductions already, and the crash is only just waking up, and prior to mortage deals really drying up.

Poor wee souls... tongue.gif


Hi Garybug

I got that as well... quite a surprise? Are you in BS or Harlow?
garybug
QUOTE (the primitive @ Mar 29 2008, 02:34 PM) *
Hi Garybug

I got that as well... quite a surprise? Are you in BS or Harlow?


Not really a surprise, in that it explains why Waitrose & Van Hague (posh gardening centre outside Harlow) have been quieter recently..

I'm in Sawbridgeworth, and nice it is too (apart from the Harlow overspill ph34r.gif ). I would definitely buy here, but not at 230k for a three bedder. When I can get the same for 150k, I'll consider buying. That's circa 30% drop, which i consider will be the average drop around here. BS & Harlow, especially, will be toast. Exepct drops up to 50% in these areas.
the primitive
QUOTE (garybug @ Mar 29 2008, 07:02 PM) *
Not really a surprise, in that it explains why Waitrose & Van Hague (posh gardening centre outside Harlow) have been quieter recently..

I'm in Sawbridgeworth, and nice it is too (apart from the Harlow overspill ph34r.gif ). I would definitely buy here, but not at 230k for a three bedder. When I can get the same for 150k, I'll consider buying. That's circa 30% drop, which i consider will be the average drop around here. BS & Harlow, especially, will be toast. Exepct drops up to 50% in these areas.


50% here in BS... good good laugh.gif

Was checking on houseprices.co.uk and they have gone up an absurd amount. Nice town, we like it, will hold on and hopefully stay here in a nice big cheap house in a few years then!
the primitive
QUOTE (the primitive @ Mar 30 2008, 08:06 AM) *
50% here in BS... good good laugh.gif

Was checking on houseprices.co.uk and they have gone up an absurd amount. Nice town, we like it, will hold on and hopefully stay here in a nice big cheap house in a few years then!


11 out of 35 properties in Haart in Thorley have "reduced" stickers this a.m. And one bored and forlorn EA inside filing her nails...
garybug
QUOTE (the primitive @ Mar 30 2008, 12:42 PM) *
11 out of 35 properties in Haart in Thorley have "reduced" stickers this a.m. And one bored and forlorn EA inside filing her nails...


Have you downloaded PropertyBee yet? (You need the Mozilla browser to run it)

It shows the change history for all properties listed on Rightmove (inc. descriptions, prices)

I checked again this morning, and there's a 1 bed flat in Lawrence Moorings (nice mill(?) redevelopment) in Sawbo, owned by Nationwide (so a repo?), listed as 'BMV' too laugh.gif )for about 20k less than ANOTHER 2 flats in the same development, that haven't shifted for months on end. If I were trying to sell one of the other two I'd be bricking it tongue.gif .

I tried to check on the Land Registry site to see what they were originally selling for (but site down today) - would not be surprised to see them in NE.

It would eb very interesting if you could keep us updated on shifts in the BS market. Her indoors works there, so I wouldn't be adverse to moving there if the area was OK.
Financial Planner
All briliant news guys. Greenstuff - perhaps you should do a weekly check on Rightmove and see how many properties are coming on the market.
DoctorJ
Rents definitely going down in Ware. Got the proof today.

There seems to be a high number of flats to let in this development (see links) and, for about a year now, they have been on the market for £650/month. Today found some new ones coming on for £625/month.

I wonder if this is the start of the rent crash?

£650/month
£650/month 2
£650/month 3 (falcon court)
second one looks like a prison cell with a bath in it!

£625/month
£625/month 2
Financial Planner
QUOTE (DoctorJ @ Mar 30 2008, 06:34 PM) *
Rents definitely going down in Ware. Got the proof today.

There seems to be a high number of flats to let in this development (see links) and, for about a year now, they have been on the market for £650/month. Today found some new ones coming on for £625/month.

They were 750 a couple of years ago and 800/850 before that...
the primitive
QUOTE (garybug @ Mar 30 2008, 02:13 PM) *
Have you downloaded PropertyBee yet? (You need the Mozilla browser to run it)

It shows the change history for all properties listed on Rightmove (inc. descriptions, prices)

I checked again this morning, and there's a 1 bed flat in Lawrence Moorings (nice mill(?) redevelopment) in Sawbo, owned by Nationwide (so a repo?), listed as 'BMV' too laugh.gif )for about 20k less than ANOTHER 2 flats in the same development, that haven't shifted for months on end. If I were trying to sell one of the other two I'd be bricking it tongue.gif .

I tried to check on the Land Registry site to see what they were originally selling for (but site down today) - would not be surprised to see them in NE.

It would eb very interesting if you could keep us updated on shifts in the BS market. Her indoors works there, so I wouldn't be adverse to moving there if the area was OK.


Will do if I can. My Missus rented in Lawrence Moorings about 10 years ago when she first came to the area so I know it well. Not THAT nice but seen worse.

Will try this propertybee thing. First house will be a big 4-bed detached I run past 3 times a week which has been on since before Xmas. Just the kind we might fancy if it comes down by half wink.gif
Greenstuff
QUOTE (Financial Planner @ Mar 30 2008, 05:00 PM) *
All briliant news guys. Greenstuff - perhaps you should do a weekly check on Rightmove and see how many properties are coming on the market.


Ok, have done a check today, there are 464 properties in SG12, a LOT are multiple agents, so don't know exactly but I installed property bee on 23rd Jan and since thenthere have been price rises of... 10k £49 and 10k.
Price drops of....
10k 15k 10k 5k 15k 15k 20k 150k blink.gif 15k 10k 15k 10k 10k 5k 5k 15k 15k 2k 10k 10k £500 10k 4k 7k 25k 25k 15k 7.5k 10k 10k 7k 10k 3k 2.5k 5k 15k 5k 12k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 5k 5k 15k 10k 5k 10k 10k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 10k 2k 10k 13k 5k 10k 12.5k 5k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 2k 15k 4k 5k 10k 2.5k 2k 5k 3.5k 10k 2k 4.5k 2.5k

Interesting piece of fact I never knew (sorry if you know this).
Mr G was in EA's in Ware as we are renting office space off them so was no sales pitch or chat, but she said that in relation to HIP's, EA's pay for it to be done up front, vendors then pay for it with fees when the house is sold.
Trouble is if they take house off the market or change to another agent they have to pay for it.
Vendors are reluctant to pay for something for nothing so they leave house stuck on the market often with cr appy EA's who get the gig by going in and over valueing and talking the talk.
So a reason why the white sock brigade seem to have cornered the market and have such a high profile.


the primitive
QUOTE (Greenstuff @ Mar 31 2008, 10:58 AM) *
Ok, have done a check today, there are 464 properties in SG12, a LOT are multiple agents, so don't know exactly but I installed property bee on 23rd Jan and since thenthere have been price rises of... 10k £49 and 10k.
Price drops of....
10k 15k 10k 5k 15k 15k 20k 150k blink.gif 15k 10k 15k 10k 10k 5k 5k 15k 15k 2k 10k 10k £500 10k 4k 7k 25k 25k 15k 7.5k 10k 10k 7k 10k 3k 2.5k 5k 15k 5k 12k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 5k 5k 15k 10k 5k 10k 10k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 10k 2k 10k 13k 5k 10k 12.5k 5k 15k 5k 10k 5k 10k 2k 15k 4k 5k 10k 2.5k 2k 5k 3.5k 10k 2k 4.5k 2.5k

Interesting piece of fact I never knew (sorry if you know this).
Mr G was in EA's in Ware as we are renting office space off them so was no sales pitch or chat, but she said that in relation to HIP's, EA's pay for it to be done up front, vendors then pay for it with fees when the house is sold.
Trouble is if they take house off the market or change to another agent they have to pay for it.
Vendors are reluctant to pay for something for nothing so they leave house stuck on the market often with cr appy EA's who get the gig by going in and over valueing and talking the talk.
So a reason why the white sock brigade seem to have cornered the market and have such a high profile.


Have you seen this about Bishops Stortford in the Times online?

http://tinyurl.com/3b377x

Absolutely hilarious nonsense, Mullucks Wells going on about "good value" - cretins. biggrin.gif
Greenstuff
QUOTE (the primitive @ Mar 31 2008, 10:13 PM) *
Have you seen this about Bishops Stortford in the Times online?

http://tinyurl.com/3b377x

Absolutely hilarious nonsense, Mullucks Wells going on about "good value" - cretins. biggrin.gif


BS = Bishops Stortford or ......

OMG! For once I really don't know what to say!

Ok, own up, who's 'Richard from Stanstead Abbotts'?!
garybug
WTF! I remember seeing a local news skit on the London Tonight 6 years ago, talking about BS & how it was 'affordable'.

Here we are again, what changed?? & it'll be a damn site more affordable this time next year.

And FWIW, last year the Budgens in Sawbridgeworth had about 5-6 Poles working in it, with Eastern European accents regularly heard around the town. Now? Nuffink (to borrow Harlow parlance), they've either moved away or gone home. Either way, who is going to fill that BTL now? tongue.gif
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