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leedsproperty
QUOTE (Goldfinger @ Nov 26 2007, 12:54 PM) *
This is the problem. The 'assets' value is falling day by day.


Possibly. But there is no proof of that in the article. We dont know what these funds are comprised of and therefore this move to transparency seems sensible.
cgnao
Look at the names. Look them up in the PDF tables in the original post.

This is it. 100% correct, guaranteed.

Protect yourselves.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Bank of America Takes Lead in Backing `SuperSIV' Fund

Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp., the nation's second-largest bank, will lead efforts by Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. to convince smaller competitors to help finance an $80 billion bailout of short-term debt markets.

The campaign starts this week with New York-based Citigroup and JPMorgan in supporting roles to Charlotte, North Carolina- based Bank of America, said two people with knowledge of the matter, who didn't want to comment publicly before the plan is formally announced.

The ``SuperSIV'' fund, backed by U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, would buy assets from so-called structured investment vehicles, whose $300 billion of holdings include corporate and mortgage debt in danger of default. Analysts including Richard Bove of Punk Ziegel & Co. have criticized the proposal because it may saddle new participants with losses created by their bigger rivals.

``Why should we put something on our balance sheet that is going to result in further writedowns?'' is how most contributors will respond, Bove said in an interview. ``The job of the Treasury isn't to go out and defraud investors.''

Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan, the three largest U.S. banks, want the SuperSIV fund in place by year-end because some SIVs haven't been able to trade
, people familiar with the fund said. BlackRock Inc., the biggest publicly traded U.S. money manager, probably will manage the fund, said a person with knowledge of the plan.

...

The fund's lack of disclosure makes it ``a necessary failure,'' Bill Gross, manager of the world's biggest bond fund at Newport Beach, California-based Pacific Investment Management Co., said in an Oct. 31 interview. ``Transparency is what the Treasury and Fed are supposedly all about.''
cgnao
GLOBAL CO-ORDINATED HYPERINFLATION


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Fed Plans to Ease Funding Pressures by Adding Cash (Update3)

By Ye Xie and Craig Torres

Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve sought to ease concern that banks will be short of cash next month by planning its first long-term injection of year-end funds in two years.

The Fed's New York branch said in a statement that it plans a series of repurchase agreements, starting with an $8 billion injection on Nov. 28, extending into next year. The move follows the European Central Bank's commitment last week to make extra cash available to ``counter the re-emerging risk of volatility'' in money markets.
Pluto
QUOTE (mattsta1964 @ Nov 26 2007, 01:02 PM) *
Having listen to the 2 recordings you posted, it's quite clear (particularly at the end of the second recording) that the presenter is a rabid anti-semite.

The British guy being interviewed is more muted but I've visited his website and he is clearly very much the same.

Honestly, it worries me that people on this forum take these people seriously. Yes, things are bad, but taking these peoples' opinions as gospel is pretty pathetic frankly.


You say no the NWO on your links. What is the NWO and where does it get its funding from?
Pluto
QUOTE (cgnao @ Nov 26 2007, 08:19 PM) *
GLOBAL CO-ORDINATED HYPERINFLATION


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Fed Plans to Ease Funding Pressures by Adding Cash (Update3)

By Ye Xie and Craig Torres

Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve sought to ease concern that banks will be short of cash next month by planning its first long-term injection of year-end funds in two years.

The Fed's New York branch said in a statement that it plans a series of repurchase agreements, starting with an $8 billion injection on Nov. 28, extending into next year. The move follows the European Central Bank's commitment last week to make extra cash available to ``counter the re-emerging risk of volatility'' in money markets.


This super SIV is way the governments are going to bail out the banks. The SuperSiv is will be another government liability to be tacked on the all the others it can't pay. In other words it will enable the merger between banks and government.
cgnao
mattsta1964
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:21 PM) *
You say no the NWO on your links. What is the NWO and where does it get its funding from?


I see! So it's all the Jews' fault

You are fekkn despicable and I don't wan't anything to do with people like you or you opinions
Pluto
QUOTE (mattsta1964 @ Nov 26 2007, 08:34 PM) *
I see! So it's all the Jews' fault

You are fekkn despicable and I don't wan't anything to do with people like you or you opinions


No, I have not mentioned Jews anywhere, you have!

I asked you what is the NWO and where does it get its funding from. You are the one that is jumping to conclusions.
A.steve
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:39 PM) *
No, I have not mentioned Jews anywhere, you have!

I asked you what is the NWO and where does it get its funding from. You are the one that is jumping to conclusions.


I beg to differ... I guess you didn't listen carefully to all of the two audio broadcasts you posted here, did you?

You might want to check the website on which they are posted. (Ah-herm....)

Really.
Pluto
QUOTE (A.steve @ Nov 26 2007, 08:43 PM) *
I beg to differ... I guess you didn't listen carefully to all of the two audio broadcasts you posted here, did you?

You might want to check the website on which they are posted. (Ah-herm....)

Really.


When I posted those clips I mentioned that everyone should listen to Mohameed. I said that because he claimed to have worked in the city and had a good handle on derivatives. The other guy in the clip Daryl in my opinion was clueless as he ranted on about about Colonial Script and other stuff I did not agree with.

But you are right I did not visit the website you mention as I copied and pasted the audio clips from this website in another thread.
A.steve
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:49 PM) *
When I posted those clips I mentioned that everyone should listen to Mohameed. I said that because he claimed to have worked in the city and had a good handle on derivatives. The other guy in the clip Daryl in my opinion was clueless as he ranted on about about Colonial Script and other stuff I did not agree with.

But you are right I did not visit the website you mention as I copied and pasted the audio clips from this website in another thread.


IMHO, both of the people on that "interview" had nefarious agendas. The website removes all doubt that this is a publication by a bunch of raving anti-semites.

It was all rather unfortunate - as the initial analysis was, at least, technically interesting... even though the conclusions spiralled into farcical hatred. It completely undermined the credibility of the information source.
Pluto
QUOTE (A.steve @ Nov 26 2007, 08:53 PM) *
IMHO, both of the people on that "interview" had nefarious agendas. The website removes all doubt that this is a publication by a bunch of raving anti-semites.

It was all rather unfortunate - as the initial analysis was, at least, technically interesting... even though the conclusions spiralled into farcical hatred. It completely undermined the credibility of the information source.


I have to agree with you, the ending was got way off topic. Daryl also mentioned he was against the gold standard and was in favour of a colonial script which I am against for the same reasons as central bank money. He also told everyone to stock up on food as the end is near.

However, the Mohameeed guy was interesting and that is why I re-posted the clips - there was no ulterior motives.
A.steve
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:59 PM) *
However, the Mohameeed guy was interesting and that is why I re-posted the clips - there was no ulterior motives.


I'd hoped that was the case... though, without qualification (i.e. condemnation as raving nonsense) it appeared that you condoned the views.
This is why you got a hard time. :-)
Tony2007
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:49 PM) *
When I posted those clips I mentioned that everyone should listen to Mohameed. I said that because he claimed to have worked in the city and had a good handle on derivatives. The other guy in the clip Daryl in my opinion was clueless as he ranted on about about Colonial Script and other stuff I did not agree with.

But you are right I did not visit the website you mention as I copied and pasted the audio clips from this website in another thread.


Yep it was me who originally posted them.

Why do so many in the truth movement feel the need to resort to petty name calling ? On the website they try and rubbish the work of Alan Watt and Alex Jones because they don't mention the Zionist movement. Does that really matter? At the end of the day what matters is that we 'wake' people up before the NWO becomes a reality. At the moment I can't say I am too positive it will happen.
cgnao
I think this thread should be about what's happening and what is likely to happen in the future to these derivatives, not who or what caused it. That is unimportant.
ntb
Speaking of what's happening, cgnao what's your take on what the credit markets are saying at the moment?
cgnao
QUOTE (ntb @ Nov 26 2007, 10:32 PM) *
Speaking of what's happening, cgnao what's your take on what the credit markets are saying at the moment?


Credit market says no.

Protect yourselves.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/5329709.html
Stocks sell off on concerns about credit, banking
Nov. 26, 2007, 3:29PM

NEW YORK — Wall Street sold off sharply today as concerns about a weakening credit market wiped out investors' enthusiasm about strong retails sales over the holiday weekend. The Dow Jones industrial average fell nearly 240 points.

Investors were unnerved by another series of announcements that pointed to continuing problems in the credit markets that stem from home loan debt going bad under the weight of a faltering housing market.

Two banks had bad news: Citigroup warned it is looking to cut costs — raising the possibility of further job cuts — and HSBC Holdings said it plans to bail out two funds it manages. To do so, Europe's largest bank plans to move about $45 billion of the fund's assets onto its balance sheet.

Meanwhile, The New York Federal Reserve, acknowledging "heightened pressures" in money markets that are expected to last through the rest of the year, said it plans to conduct a series of repurchase agreements aimed at boosting liquidity in the credit markets. The announcement from the New York Fed, which carries out monetary policy set by the U.S. Federal Reserve, essentially puts in writing many of the steps the Fed often takes at this time of year.

The Fed said it would inject $8 billion into the banking system on Wednesday. The amount of money is somewhat larger than in past years at this time.

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 237.44, or 1.83 percent, to 12,743.44, closing near the lows of the session.

Broader stock indicators also gave up ground. The Standard & Poor's 500 index declined 33.49, or 2.32 percent, to 1,407.21, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 55.61, or 2.14 percent, to 2,540.99.

cgnao
Q: if the junior bondholders (therefore not HSBC) bear most of the credit risk, why does HSBC care about preventing a fire sale?
A: the junior bondholders (hedge funds, etc) owe HSBC much more than $45 bn due to derivative bets on these securities. A fire sale bankrupts HSBC and many other large banks in similar conditions

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
HSBC Will Take on $45 Billion of Assets From Two SIVs

Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe's largest bank, will bail out its two structured investment vehicles by taking on $45 billion of their assets to avoid a fire sale.

Investors in Cullinan Finance Ltd. and Asscher Finance Ltd. will be allowed to exchange their holdings in the SIVs for debt issued by a new company backed by loans from HSBC, the London- based bank said in a statement today. HSBC said it doesn't expect any ``material impact'' on its earnings or capital strength because junior bondholders in the SIVs still bear most of the credit risk.

Q: can a fire sale be prevented?
A: no, it can only be delayed. This will only make the situation worse.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/030d255e-9ba2-11...00779fd2ac.html
Audit crackdown on value of banks’ holdings
Published: November 25 2007 22:13 | Last updated: November 25 2007 22:42

Auditors will apply tough standards to banks’ assessments of their holdings, according to a draft paper being put together by the biggest auditing firms that aims to bring about a common approach to valuation.

The paper, seen by the Financial Times, is also designed to allay fears that the ongoing market turmoil will lead banks and their auditors to different conclusions about how they value holdings and what is a fair price.

The issue is increasingly urgent with financial year-ends approaching since only full-year financial statements are fully audited.
Errol
I'm really looking forward to the day when the first big bank goes down. Hopefully 2 or 3 will crash at once leaving the Government no options.
mattsta1964
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:59 PM) *
I have to agree with you, the ending was got way off topic. Daryl also mentioned he was against the gold standard and was in favour of a colonial script which I am against for the same reasons as central bank money. He also told everyone to stock up on food as the end is near.

However, the Mohameeed guy was interesting and that is why I re-posted the clips - there was no ulterior motives.


I sincerely hope GF, that as a supporter of Ron Paul, you understand that anti-semitism is absolutely unaccepable.

I know some zionist bloggers have levelled such accusations against Ron Paul and I believe such accusations to be unfounded and untrue.
cgnao
QUOTE (mattsta1964 @ Nov 26 2007, 10:58 PM) *
I sincerely hope GF, that as a supporter of Ron Paul, you understand that anti-semitism is absolutely unaccepable.

I know some zionist bloggers have levelled such accusations against Ron Paul and I believe such accusations to be unfounded and untrue.


Could you please stop derailing this thread.

Thank you.
mattsta1964
QUOTE (cgnao @ Nov 26 2007, 10:02 PM) *
Could you please stop derailing this thread.

Thank you.


Fekk off and post your armageddon BS somewhere else

This is a forum about house prices

Not ARMAGEDDON

FEKK OFF
Errol
Cgnao makes a valuable contribution. This thread is about the derivative meltdown not Ron Paul or Zionism.
cgnao
The market is starting to realize that central banks have lost control.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/753d32ce-9c68-11...00779fd2ac.html
Banks quiver as Fed shoots wide of target

By Michael Mackenzie and Saskia Scholtes

Published: November 26 2007 21:46 | Last updated: November 26 2007 21:46

Four months after the credit squeeze first gripped US money markets, traders are losing confidence that the New York Federal Reserve is able to get the market for so-called Fed funds under control again.

On Monday, the New York Fed said it would conduct the first of a series of term repurchase agreements designed to help prevent the funds rate from rising sharply above its target around the end of the year.

The effective Fed funds rate has oscillated round the target rate, or the interest rate set by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee. The Fed’s lack of success in controlling the funds rate has maintained stress in the interbank lending market as banks face balance sheet constraints near the end of their financial year.
mattsta1964
QUOTE (Pluto @ Nov 26 2007, 08:59 PM) *
I have to agree with you, the ending was got way off topic. Daryl also mentioned he was against the gold standard and was in favour of a colonial script which I am against for the same reasons as central bank money. He also told everyone to stock up on food as the end is near.

However, the Mohameeed guy was interesting and that is why I re-posted the clips - there was no ulterior motives.



I must apologize to GF profusely for wrongly attributing this post to him

It was Pluto I was referring too

Very sorry for this silly mistake
cgnao
The biggest bank in the world is so desperate for cash that it will pay 11% interest.

The cash will be used to buy up mortgage backed securities from their SIVs, in a desperate attempt to prevent the fire sale that will bankrupt the entire international banking system.

This is the high finance equivalent of debt consolidation with Ocean Finance, and it will just buy some more time at the cost of making the final outcome even worse.

And then there is the hidden part, i.e. what had to be promised to the Abu Dhabi state as a quid pro quo.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Citigroup to Raise $7.5 Billion From Abu Dhabi State

Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, will receive a $7.5 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi to replenish capital after record mortgage losses wiped out almost half its market value.

Citigroup rose 2.6 percent in New York trading today following acting Chief Executive Officer Win Bischoff's statement late yesterday that funds from the state-owned Abu Dhabi Investment Authority will help ``strengthen our capital base.''

Abu Dhabi will buy securities that convert to stock and yield 11 percent a year, almost double the interest Citigroup offers bond investors, underscoring the New York-based company's need for cash.
Bloo Loo
just $300bn more to refinance then we can start with the UK sub prime crisis and have a real bonfire of the banks
Anders
QUOTE (cgnao @ Nov 27 2007, 06:06 PM) *
The biggest bank in the world is so desperate for cash that it will pay 11% interest.

The cash will be used to buy up mortgage backed securities from their SIVs, in a desperate attempt to prevent the fire sale that will bankrupt the entire international banking system.

This is the high finance equivalent of debt consolidation with Ocean Finance, and it will just buy some more time at the cost of making the final outcome even worse.

And then there is the hidden part, i.e. what had to be promised to the Abu Dhabi state as a quid pro quo.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Citigroup to Raise $7.5 Billion From Abu Dhabi State

Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, will receive a $7.5 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi to replenish capital after record mortgage losses wiped out almost half its market value.

Citigroup rose 2.6 percent in New York trading today following acting Chief Executive Officer Win Bischoff's statement late yesterday that funds from the state-owned Abu Dhabi Investment Authority will help ``strengthen our capital base.''

Abu Dhabi will buy securities that convert to stock and yield 11 percent a year, almost double the interest Citigroup offers bond investors, underscoring the New York-based company's need for cash.



This alert I just got from a subscription service I get from Chris Laird of Prudent Squirrel - he's pretty sharp. Normally I wouldn't post paid stuff but what the hey, I'll make an exception, maybe some folks will sign up with him:

Subscribers,


Citi got a $7 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi and US and some Asian markets rallied. However it is not enough and late, according to Meridith Whitney of CIBC. Citi said several weeks ago they need to raise $30 billion in capital, and this 4th quarter are expected to report another $11 B in writedowns.
Also Whitney stated that Citi is going to have a hard time (my wording) raising capital by selling assets because the sales will not have much beneficial effect on their balance sheet - ie be effective in raising net capital.


Also, Ambac, the second largest US bond insurer which is at risk of losing its AAA rating (necessary for all the bonds they insure not to be downgraded if that AAA rating is lost by Ambac) said they intend to reinsure and raise capital. But their situation is far from resolved and will have profound effects on the corporate bond markets if they lose their AAA rating.


The US stock market bounced at just the critical moment, but I suspect this bounce from the rather minimal Citi investment to be short lived.


Chris





cgnao
Central banks are hyperinflating exponentially, and are promising more.

This is the mark of the derivative beast.

This is 100% correct, guaranteed.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/55ff8ca6-9d10-11...?nclick_check=1
Eurozone inflation rise set to test ECB

By Ralph Atkins in Frankfurt

Published: November 27 2007 18:02 | Last updated: November 27 2007 18:02

Soaring inflation in the 13-nation eurozone is threatening fresh difficulties for the European Central Bank as it fights to calm tensions in financial markets that are casting a shadow over economic growth.

...

On Tuesday the ECB pumped an extra €30bn ($44.4bn, £21bn) into money markets – far more than would have been usual in its regular weekly operations – following its pledge last week to keep up such emergency help until at least the end of the year.
bleakhouse
QUOTE (Anders @ Nov 27 2007, 06:18 PM) *
Citi got a $7 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi and US and some Asian markets rallied. However it is not enough and late, according to Meridith Whitney of CIBC. Citi said several weeks ago they need to raise $30 billion in capital, and this 4th quarter are expected to report another $11 B in writedowns.
Also Whitney stated that Citi is going to have a hard time (my wording) raising capital by selling assets because the sales will not have much beneficial effect on their balance sheet - ie be effective in raising net capital.

This from Bloomberg
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...mp;refer=canada

QUOTE
Citigroup Will Cut Dividend, Sell Assets, CIBC Says (Update1)

By Michael Patterson and Carol Massar

Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc., the U.S. bank that said it will get a $7.5 billion cash infusion from Abu Dhabi, will still cut its dividend and sell ``well over'' $100 billion of assets to replenish capital, CIBC World Markets analyst Meredith Whitney said.

Mortgage-related losses at America's biggest bank by assets will increase ``at an alarming rate'' over the next few quarters, wrote Whitney, the New York-based analyst whose downgrade of Citigroup helped spark a 2.6 percent drop in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index on Nov. 1. This acceleration will reduce Citigroup's ability to weather bad loans and force it to raise more cash, Whitney wrote in a research note today.

Citigroup, which has tumbled 45 percent this year in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, said late yesterday that funds from the state-owned Abu Dhabi Investment Authority will help ``strengthen our capital base.'' Losses from subprime mortgages may reduce fourth-quarter profit by as much as $7 billion, Citigroup said earlier this month.

``This $7.5 billion is just not enough money by a long shot,'' Whitney, who advises selling Citigroup shares, said in an interview. ``This is a step in the right direction, but not enough and certainly too late.''

`100 Percent'

Whitney said the odds that Citigroup will cut its dividend are ``100 percent.'' The company may be forced to sell more than $100 billion of ``higher quality'' assets at a discount to raise cash, she added.

Citigroup's ``tier 1'' ratio, a metric used to assess banks' ability to weather loan losses, slipped to 7.3 percent on Sept. 30. The figure, while above U.S. regulators' 6 percent threshold for a ``well-capitalized'' bank, was below the bank's 7.5 percent target.

Citigroup Chairman Robert Rubin and Chief Financial Officer Gary Crittenden said on a conference call earlier this month that the bank expects to restore capital to targeted levels by the end of the second quarter without having to cut its $2.7 billion-a- quarter dividend.

Whitney estimates Citigroup's dividend payout will amount to 90 percent of its earnings this year and 70 percent of next year's profit.

``Their earnings just don't support the type of dividend- payout ratio that they have,'' said Whitney. ``There's so much more negative headline risk ahead for Citigroup that I don't think investors should be tempted to bottom fish at these levels.''


cgnao
QUOTE (bleakhouse @ Nov 27 2007, 07:36 PM) *
Mortgage-related losses at America's biggest bank by assets will increase ``at an alarming rate'' over the next few quarters


This is the mark of the derivative beast.
Pluto
QUOTE (cgnao @ Nov 27 2007, 06:39 PM) *
This is the mark of the derivative beast.


I am beginning to think oil going to $100 is just a way to funnel money from everyone who uses it into the middle east who then reimburse part of the proceeds back to the US by way of buying treasuries and investing in select companies like Citi Bank. The price of oil is set in London and New York, and in my humble opinion has very little to do with supply and demand.
Shamus
QUOTE (Anders @ Nov 27 2007, 06:18 PM) *
The US stock market bounced at just the critical moment, but I suspect this bounce from the rather minimal Citi investment to be short lived.


Chris


Are you really based in Dawson City? I travelled there in 2005 when gold was still cheap smile.gif

Quite a place but I would imagine it is pretty dark and cold there now?

Humidity: 85%
Wind Speed: CALM
Barometer: 1019 mb
Dewpoint: -19°C
Heat Index: -17°C
Wind Chill: -17°C
Sunrise: 10:19 AM PST
Sunset: 3:47 PM PST

and we moan about our lot here in the UK!!
Anders
QUOTE (Shamus @ Nov 27 2007, 07:37 PM) *
Are you really based in Dawson City? I travelled there in 2005 when gold was still cheap smile.gif

Quite a place but I would imagine it is pretty dark and cold there now?

Humidity: 85%
Wind Speed: CALM
Barometer: 1019 mb
Dewpoint: -19°C
Heat Index: -17°C
Wind Chill: -17°C
Sunrise: 10:19 AM PST
Sunset: 3:47 PM PST

and we moan about our lot here in the UK!!



Just kidding - I believe it was HQ central for the famed USA Gold Rush - it was the location for the GATA conference a few years back attended by the no 2 in economics/finance from Russia - soon after gold leaped in price by a substantial amount, 150+++ or something - you can find the Dawson City Gold Rush GATA video on U-Tube if interested, or buy for about £10 - amazing video that explains all the shenanigans.
cgnao
These 'vaccines' are inflationary poison for all currencies.

The monetary cancer has metastasized and every cure is palliative only.

The market wants higher rates. Central banks won't be able to fight the market for much longer.

This is 100% correct, guaranteed.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/31bc3cae-9d1f-11...00779fd2ac.html
Central banks offer liquidity vaccines

Published: November 27 2007 19:51 | Last updated: November 27 2007 19:51

Occasions when it is socially acceptable to inject liquids fall into two broad types: first, when the liquid is supposed to cure an illness (or at least to dull the pain) and, second, when the liquid is supposed to immunise against an illness ever taking hold. Having been forced to inject liquidity into sickly money markets over the summer, central banks are now considering what kind of injections will ward off further financial disease.

Strain in the money markets has got worse in the past couple of weeks. In the US, UK and eurozone, the rates banks are charging each other to borrow for three months are well above central bank base rates, which is especially unusual because the market expects US and UK rates to fall. In response, the European Central Bank is making weekly liquidity injections, and the US Federal Reserve has announced it will lend a larger-than-usual $8bn to banks, against the security of their bond holdings, over the year end.
cgnao
Derivative cancer spreading further.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3059f9b2-9d21-11...00779fd2ac.html
BoJ warns of ‘disease’ in world markets

By David Pilling in Tokyo

Published: November 27 2007 20:01 | Last updated: November 27 2007 20:01

The yen hit a two-and-a-half year high against the dollar on Tuesday as Toshihiko Fukui, governor of the Bank of Japan, expressed strong concern about the turbulence in world markets, comparing it with “a serious disease”.
Fishfinger
MUM,MUM, UNCLE CGNAO IS FRIGHTENING ME WITH HIS SCARY BEDTIME STORIES. tongue.gif

Unfortunately Uncle Cgnao seems to be right about how it's going to pan out and that scenario is very scary. ohmy.gif ohmy.gif
MrBenn
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo
cgnao
The derivative beast demands more cash...

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=home
Three-Month Libor for Dollars Increases for 10th Day

Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The cost of borrowing dollars for three months rose for a 10th day, signaling the Federal Reserve's offer to provide funds to ease a year-end shortage of cash in money markets may not be sufficient.

...

The three-month rate for euros rose for a 10th day, the BBA said, even after the European Central Bank said Nov. 23 it will also offer extra cash to banks to ``counter the re-emerging risk of volatility'' in money markets.

...

The cost of borrowing pounds for three months also rose 1 basis point to 6.56 percent, the BBA said. That's 81 basis points more than the Bank of England's benchmark rate and the highest since Sept. 18.
DoctorJ
QUOTE (MrBenn @ Nov 27 2007, 09:17 PM) *
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo


...and are we likely to see a UK HPC if this comes to pass? Or will we not really care about that when this happens?
DoctorJ
QUOTE (MrBenn @ Nov 27 2007, 09:17 PM) *
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo


...and are we likely to see a UK HPC if this comes to pass? Or will we not really care about that when this happens?
DoctorJ
QUOTE (MrBenn @ Nov 27 2007, 09:17 PM) *
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo


...and are we likely to see a UK HPC if this comes to pass? Or will we not really care about that when this happens?
cgnao
QUOTE (MrBenn @ Nov 27 2007, 10:17 PM) *
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo


Please review the following, substituting

1) euro, dollars, pounds, etc for pesos
2) gold for dollars
3) world for argentina

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corralito

In 2001, Argentina was in the midst of a crisis: heavily indebted, with an economy in complete stagnation

....

Many Argentines, but most especially companies, fearing an economic crash and possibly a devaluation, were transforming pesos to dollars and withdrawing them from the banks in large amounts, usually transferring them to foreign accounts (capital flight)

....

On 1 December 2001, in order to stop this draining from destroying the banking system, the government froze all bank accounts, initially for 90 days. Only a small amount of cash was allowed for withdrawal on a weekly basis.

....

Argentina's situation worsened for several months. The corralito was hardened during the interim rule of President Eduardo Duhalde, and turned into a corralón ("big corral"). The corralón differed from the corralito in that most deposits were exchanged for a series of compulsory bonds denominated in pesos.

....

The corralón differed from the corralito in that most deposits were exchanged for a series of compulsory bonds denominated in pesos. The dollar-denominated accounts were automatically exchanged by pesos at a predetermined rate. The real necessity of such decision was questioned by several observers at the time, and some suggested this move benefited some large companies who were almost broke but whose well-off owners had sent their dollars abroad before the corralito; these owners were thus able to repay their companies' now devalued debts by a fraction of its original value.

...

The peso was first devalued (from 1.0 to 1.4 pesos/dollar) and then floated, thereby quickly depreciating to a maximum rate of nearly 4 pesos per dollar.

....

It is generally agreed that the banks had a share of the blame for the situation that led to the corralito. In mid-2001, it was probably clear to bank owners and high-ranking officials that Argentina's banking system was going to crash, and some in fact may have spurred this outcome by letting their highest deposit holders know this news. These, mostly large companies, quickly moved their deposits abroad. Meanwhile, they continued to recommend their middle-class customers to enter deposits.
DoctorJ
QUOTE (MrBenn @ Nov 27 2007, 09:17 PM) *
CGNAO,

Thanks for all of your input, it makes for fascinating reading and much food for thought. It's a shame that attempts are made by one or two to derail things.

I can see from your many posts that you seem willling to discuss your ideas in further detail.

Hypothetically, if we are currently entering a global hyperinflationary phase, how quickly and to what magnitude will this affect your average Joe (me, for example)?

How will this hyperinflation manifest itself and what will be the short, medium and long term consequences for the nation as a whole?

MB

edit:typo


...and are we likely to see a UK HPC if this comes to pass? Or will we not really care about that when this happens?
cgnao
QUOTE (DoctorJ @ Nov 27 2007, 10:29 PM) *
...and are we likely to see a UK HPC if this comes to pass? Or will we not really care about that when this happens?


House prices will probably not fall or fall very little in nominal terms.

In real terms, that's another story.
wellandpower
QUOTE (cgnao @ Nov 27 2007, 09:31 PM) *
House prices will probably not fall or fall very little in nominal terms.

In real terms, that's another story.



Why not?

Will houses not fall in nominal terms because of the vast increases in money supply? Will this sustain them? do you not hink money suppy may turn -ve and lead to credit reduction?
cgnao
QUOTE (wellandpower @ Nov 27 2007, 10:35 PM) *
Why not?

Will houses not fall in nominal terms because of the vast increases in money supply? Will this sustain them? do you not hink money suppy may turn -ve and lead to credit reduction?


This is what the BoE and other central banks are trying to achieve. They will probably succeed in preventing nominal house prices from falling very far, but everything else will skyrocket in price, particularly so food, fuels, basic necessities, and so on.

It's going to be a really ugly, painful hyperinflationary depression. The fallout will last for many years.

EDIT added recently updated USA money supply chart

MrBenn
So with rocketing fuel and food prices, many financially overstretched borrowers are going to find it increasingly more difficult to service existing debts . It follows that bankruptcy's and re-possessions will rise, I believe that we are already seeing this trend emerge. I see why all this may constrain the housing market but not why nominal prices will not fall significantly too?

Are bank account freezes a possible scenario here in the UK?
Would this not be akin to a state of emergency. Perhaps that's what all the CCTV is for! ohmy.gif
game over
CGNAO: Are you a monetarist?

Where will the increase in the money supply come from i.e. more than 13%?

1. Runaway fiscal deficits? War anyone?

2. Pumping liquidity into financial markets to prop up insolvent banks like the Rock to enable them to continue to trade
theblacksheeple
Won't a hyper inflationary recession eventually lead to massive deflation?
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