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House Price Crash forum > Investment > Investment in general
gazwheat
I have recently STR and plan to invest some of my capital in Gold. My house sale doesn't complete until the 19th of this month so I have no money to invest yet.

I'm getting a bit concerned that I am going to miss the Gold Bull and pay too much too late.

Any views on this please? huh.gif
MarkG
As someone whose name I've forgotten once said: 'there'll always be another chance to lose your money'.

Personally I see gold more as an insurance policy than an investment: I don't think it's particularly undervalued right now, but if faith in government declines, it will go up.
trev
Why do people think that gold might go up?

Its not like that there are gold bullion merchants on the highstreet for Joe public to go and buy gold bars (in the UK).
Riser
QUOTE(trev @ Sep 12 2005, 03:33 PM)
Why do people think that gold might go up?

Its not like that there are gold bullion merchants on the highstreet for Joe public to go and buy gold bars (in the UK).
*


Who says?

Baird and Co

QUOTE
   

    Baird & Co.
    137 High St.,
    London E15 2RB.
    Tel: 0208 555 5217
    Fax: 0208 534 3583

    Baird & Co.
    24 St. Cross St.,
    Hatton Garden,
    London EC1N 8UH.
    Tel: 020 7 831 2838.

    Baird & Co.
    5th Floor,
    82 Mitchell St.,
    Glasgow G1 3NA.
    Tel: 0141 248 5646.
    Fax:  0141 248 5627
delboypass
Do all Baird and Co locations keep gold on site??

If you walked in with £10k would they be able to service you??

also what details do they take or do they just give youa receipt like any other you purchase on the high street??
Riser
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 12 2005, 04:12 PM)
Do all Baird and Co locations keep gold on site??

If you walked in with £10k would they be able to service you??

also what details do they take or do they just give youa receipt like any other you purchase on the high street??
*


Probably easiest to give them a call.

Any single purchase over 5k must be reported to Tax office as does any purchase where the total annual amount exceeds 10k from a single supplier.
ILBB
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 12 2005, 05:12 PM)
Do all Baird and Co locations keep gold on site??

If you walked in with £10k would they be able to service you??

also what details do they take or do they just give youa receipt like any other you purchase on the high street??
*


Any purchase at all must be backed by identification and they keep records (just in case you buy another wedge taking you over 5K p.a.)

Perhaps a much better investment than gold itself may be collectable gold coins especially in top quality condition. In fact any rare coins better than Extra Fine have been doing exceptionally well I believe.
And there're a damn site more interesting smile.gif
trev
Just putting in an objective view - I have no doubt gold will hold onto its value at least.

i meant theres not one gold bullion merchant on every highstreet - as common as H Samuel or the like. Buying shares is pretty easy as there are brokers in the yellow pages, and it can be done online.

Buying gold - is there anyone in everyday life doing it? Are the taxi drivers, chavs, Daily Mail readers buying it ??? Will they start??? Is this the next bubble??

Gold has advanced to $448.350 - I wonder at what point when everyday people and the media are going to sit up and notice.
delboypass
Why must it be reported to the tax office??

Surely Gold is tax free??

Or is this to stop money laundering etc??

So whats the best plans... under 5K a year??
delboypass
Does this mean I can buy 4k at any time from a number of different suppliers and not be reported to the tax office??
cgnao
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 12 2005, 08:36 PM)
Why must it be reported to the tax office??

Surely Gold is tax free??

Or is this to stop money laundering etc??

So whats the best plans... under 5K a year??
*


Gold is VAT free but not capital gain tax free. Only UK gold coins (Britannias and sovereigns) are, because they are UK currency.

In addition, the Govt wants people to hold paper money, not real money. When someone holds real money (gold) they want to know.

Remember, central banks can print as much paper as they want, which taxes the holders of paper money by stealth (inflation). But gold can't be printed!

Read Alan Greenspan's view on gold (written in 1966):

http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html

QUOTE
This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard.


And, as far as gold being correctly valued, no way!!! Gold is dirt cheap in terms of oil. One ounce of gold has never bought less oil than today for the last 35 years.

gazwheat
So what do I do? How much should I invest and how?
I'm so confused. huh.gif
cgnao
Use 10 to 25% of your capital to buy gold. Either buy britannias and sovereigns, if you can store them safely, or use an allocated gold account. A good one is www.goldmoney.com, but many respectable gold merchants in London provide this service. Stay away from gold futures and unallocated schemes.

Optionally, if you want to speculate, invest up to 5% in mining/natural resources shares - you might want to invest through a fund. A decent one is Merril Lynch Gold & General.

The rest, split equally in Pounds, Euro and Swiss Francs. Use at least three separate and indipendent banks. At least one of them offshore. Switzerland is best, Channel Islands are OK.

You may want to put part of the cash in short term government bonds (up to two years). But stay away from long term bonds, guaranteed equity bonds, corporate bonds, the US dollar and the stock market.

The long term trend has changed, it's now a different game. If you play by the old rules you'll lose big time.

The new rules are: interest rates and inflation up. Real estate and financial assets down. Credit crunch. Flight to quality. Natural resources to the moon. We are already getting a glimpse, but it's not even the beginning.
delboypass
how do i invest in swiss and euro accounts??

Is there an easy way to get offshore accounts like Jersey in tax free havens??

But yet control them from the UK??

Any reputable??
cgnao
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 12 2005, 11:23 PM)
how do i invest in swiss and euro accounts??

Is there an easy way to get offshore accounts like Jersey in tax free havens??

But yet control them from the UK??

Any reputable??
*


http://www.barclays.com/internationalpersonal
http://www.offshore.hsbc.com/1/2/internati...re-bank-account
http://www.ubs.com/1/e/ubs_ch/private/accounts.html
http://www.nationwideinternational.com

PS the reason to put the money offshore is not to evade tax, even if there may be some advantages from deferred interest and so on.

The main reason for doing it is safety and the ability to escape capital controls should a financial/banking crisis occur, which is sadly a not so unlikely possibility in the medium term.
delboypass
Cgnao,

What is the stability of bullion coins.
I use goldline to see what they are selling at.

For example
The nugget 1 oz is priced at £275
the Maple 1oz is now priced at £262
The sovereign is priced at ~£74

What alters the value of these coins??

Is the value determined on the collectability of the coin??

If i bought something like hte maple how do i know it really is what it is?

I feel gullible unless im knowledgeable. Been ridden too many times in too many deals ;-))
Red Baron
QUOTE
The long term trend has changed, it's now a different game. If you play by the old rules you'll lose big time.


Care to be more specific?
Gwailo
QUOTE(cgnao @ Sep 12 2005, 11:16 PM)
Use 10 to 25% of your capital to buy gold.  Either buy britannias and sovereigns, if you can store them safely, or use an allocated gold account.  A good one is www.goldmoney.com, but many respectable gold merchants in London provide this service. Stay away from gold futures and unallocated schemes.

Optionally, if you want to speculate, invest up to 5% in mining/natural resources shares - you might want to invest through a fund.  A decent one is Merril Lynch Gold & General.

The rest, split equally in Pounds, Euro and Swiss Francs.  Use at least three separate and indipendent banks.  At least one of them offshore. Switzerland is best,  Channel Islands are OK.

You may want to put part of the cash in short term government bonds (up to two years).  But stay away from long term bonds, guaranteed equity bonds, corporate bonds, the US dollar and the stock market.

The long term trend has changed, it's now a different game.  If you play by the old rules you'll lose big time. 

The new rules are: interest rates and inflation up.  Real estate and financial assets down. Credit crunch. Flight to quality. Natural resources to the moon.  We are already getting a glimpse, but it's not even the beginning.
*



I agree with all you say here!

Quite a large portion of my 'wealth' is held in Sterling (as you said in different banks in Guernsey & Isle of Man).

Do you see any possibility of Sterling going to the wall? I mean, let's face it the UK has some serious debt problems, (both private and well as public), wouldn't this lead to a massive sell off of Sterling eventually?

Cheers.
DrBubb
thedollar will be worse than sterling
BoredTrainBuilder
If an armageddon scenario as envisaged by many posters in this thread does emerge brought on presumably by more expensive oil over a sustained period I would imagine that sterling will fare better than other currencies due to UK's residual oil resources and relatively mixed economy.
Gwailo
QUOTE(BoredTrainBuilder @ Sep 13 2005, 10:51 AM)
If an armageddon scenario as envisaged by many posters in this thread does emerge brought on presumably by more expensive oil over a sustained period I would imagine that sterling will fare better than other currencies due to UK's residual oil resources and relatively mixed economy.
*



Let's hope so!

Although, I live in Hong Kong and we can now easily open an account at HSBC and save RMB (the People's Currency no less!).

RMB might sound silly right now.......but in the long term?

Still, in the meantime, I am going to stick with my Gold bullion coins and hang on to my Sterling.

Thanks for the advice.
debtfree
QUOTE(ILBB @ Sep 12 2005, 04:31 PM)
Any purchase at all must be backed by identification and they keep records (just in case you buy another wedge taking you over 5K p.a.)

*



That is simply not true. I walked in, bought 3 krugerrands and 3 kilo bars of silver and was not asked for ID. Just wrote down my details on the receipt, which wasn't even my full name, address with no postcode, which i could have made up, payed by cash and walked out.
nobody
I think it depends on the dealer. Certainly Bairds and ATS Bullion in London just ask for your name and address but you can tell them anything you want, no proof of ID needed as long as it's under 5K
delboypass
3 kruggerands and 3 kilos of silver is probably under a £1k though

Back to my original question

What holds up the value of a gold coin???
What is likely to affect its price in the short/long term??

IE

The Australian nugget 1 oz is priced at £275
the canadian Maple 1oz is now priced at £262
The british sovereign is priced at ~£74
mongoose
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 13 2005, 01:46 PM)
3 kruggerands and 3 kilos of silver is probably under a £1k though

Back to my original question

What holds up the value of a gold coin???
What is likely to affect its price in the short/long term??

IE

The Australian nugget 1 oz is priced at £275
the canadian Maple 1oz is now priced at £262
The british sovereign is priced at ~£74
*


The value of a coin can be equated to:

intrinsic gold value + rarity + fabrication cost

So a gold coin will generally always cost more than the spot gold price to the bod in the street.

The nugget is possibly rarer than the maple or costs more to initially mint.

A sovereign contains 0.2354 oz of pure gold so is priced accordingly.
debtfree
QUOTE(delboypass @ Sep 13 2005, 12:46 PM)
3 kruggerands and 3 kilos of silver is probably under a £1k though

Back to my original question

What holds up the value of a gold coin???
What is likely to affect its price in the short/long term??

IE

The Australian nugget 1 oz is priced at £275
the canadian Maple 1oz is now priced at £262
The british sovereign is priced at ~£74
*


Its just over £1300 for 3 coins and 3 silver bars. Best to buy bit by bit, during the dips.
Also advisable is to put 10-15% of your portfolio in Gold. If you had 100k you wouldnt buy 50k of gold. Its not for investment, its for protection.

Stick with 1oz Krugers and Maple coins. Unless your a coin collector, why pay so much over the spot price of an ounce of gold ?

Good luck
theChuz
QUOTE(cgnao @ Sep 12 2005, 10:16 PM)
Use 10 to 25% of your capital to buy gold.  Either buy britannias and sovereigns, if you can store them safely, or use an allocated gold account.  A good one is www.goldmoney.com, but many respectable gold merchants in London provide this service. Stay away from gold futures and unallocated schemes.

Optionally, if you want to speculate, invest up to 5% in mining/natural resources shares - you might want to invest through a fund.  A decent one is Merril Lynch Gold & General.

The rest, split equally in Pounds, Euro and Swiss Francs.  Use at least three separate and indipendent banks.  At least one of them offshore. Switzerland is best,  Channel Islands are OK.

You may want to put part of the cash in short term government bonds (up to two years).  But stay away from long term bonds, guaranteed equity bonds, corporate bonds, the US dollar and the stock market.

The long term trend has changed, it's now a different game.  If you play by the old rules you'll lose big time. 

The new rules are: interest rates and inflation up.  Real estate and financial assets down. Credit crunch. Flight to quality. Natural resources to the moon.  We are already getting a glimpse, but it's not even the beginning.
*


My 50 quid will only stretch so far!
absolutezero
All this talk of giving name and address when buying gold reminds me of something I read last month.
The US government have apparently been going round seizing people's gold. Apparently there's some law that allows them to do this.
Would not surprise me if there's something similar in British law.
Give them your address, they know where the gold is.
cgnao
One more reason to keep it offshore.
malco
QUOTE(absolutezero @ Sep 17 2005, 02:09 PM)
All this talk of giving name and address when buying gold reminds me of something I read last month.
The US government have apparently been going round seizing people's gold.  Apparently there's some law that allows them to do this.
Would not surprise me if there's something similar in British law.
Give them your address, they know where the gold is.
*


The US government has the power to take anything it likes in the name of national security. The case you mention is of one indivdual who recently sent some 1933 coins to the US Mint (or whatever the authority is called) and they were confiscated on the basis that they had never officially been released and so they must have been acquired nefariously by someone at some point in the past. This set off a flame war on the gold sites. During the Depression FDR's admin confiscated all gold held by private citizens, and it remained illegal for any US citizen to own gold until (I think) as late as 1974. Obviously this shadow of doubt lingers still in the gold community, as they observe the gradual slide of the dollar to collapse and fear emergency measures being invoked again. I doubt the US government would again try such a trick, but you never know.

This is not a scenario that worries me. If it gets bad enough they consider confiscating gold I'll high-tail it back to Canada, a country I do not foresee having serious currency problems (it's got oil, nat gas, uranium, hydro, vast food resources, gold, asbestos.... you name it and Canada has it)
trev
I been away for a week and kruggerands have shot upto £267.50!!!

I ve made £10 per coin in a matter of weeks- has the run on gold started now????

Any reason why this has happened?? Gold mine strike??

"I wonder at what point when everyday people and the media are going to sit up and notice."

I said that earlier in this thread - I think people are going to notice this leap....
cgnao
QUOTE(trev @ Sep 18 2005, 08:36 PM)
I been away for a week and kruggerands have shot upto £267.50!!!

I ve made £10 per coin in a matter of weeks- has the run on gold started now????

Any reason why this has happened?? Gold mine strike??

"I wonder at what point when everyday people and the media are going to sit up and notice."

I said that earlier in this thread - I think people are going to notice this leap....
*


Calm down. It's just inflation.

Your coins have not increased in value, just price. The pound in your pocket is worth less and the gold price is beginning to show it.
trev
ah then its grim.... unsure.gif

Now its upto £270 per coin in 24hrs....... if thats inflation, then its grim...
malco
Gold is on the move again, as you note. It is particularly important that it ploughed through the $450/£250 per ounce barrier against which it had been bouncing for nearly a year.

But note that silver is also on the move. Now silver is so dirt cheap at the moment that you can take quite a decent position without actually laying down a lot of cash. One disadvantage is that you can't get physical silver all that cheaply in this country, because of VAT and because silver is only 1/60th the value of gold, so the minting and distribution costs are evidently much greater a %age above spot. Despite this disadvantage, I think it's still worth getting in there, because the downside is negligible while the upside could be quite satisfying if it ever happens (they've been saying silver will explode for the last five years and it hasn't)
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