Jump to content


Photo
- - - - -

February Rate Rise


  • Please log in to reply
46 replies to this topic

#1 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:20 PM

Whose up for a bet? :P

#2 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:23 PM

I reckon they'll be another in Feb .......................

#3 Jason

Jason

    HPC Vindicated

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 7,616 posts
  • Location:South East - FTBer

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:29 PM

I don't think I could take another rise in Feb, i've done little work today as i've been looking at all the responses to this..!
House Price changes
NO LONGER UPDATED.



----------------------- Peak ---------- Trough -(% trough fall) - Current - (% from peak) - (% from Trough)

Halifax: -------------- Aug07 199,612 - Apr09 154,490 (-22.60%) - Oct09 165,528 (-17.08%) - (+07.14%)

Nationwide: ----------- Oct07 186,044 - Feb09 147,746 (-20.59%) - Oct09 162,038 (-12.90%) - (+09.67%)

Rightmove: ------------ May08 242,500 - Jan09 213,570 (-11.93%) - Nov09 226,440 (-06.62%) - (+06.03%)

DCLG (formerly ODPM): - Jan08 221,758 - Mar09 187,193 (-15.59%) - Jul09 196,338 (-11.46%) - (+04.89%)

Land Registry (Mth): -- Nov07 186,009 - Apr09 152,803 (-17.85%) - Sep09 158,377 (-14.86%) - (+03.64%)

FT HPI: --------------- Feb08 231,804 - Apr09 199,953 (-13.74%) - Aug09 205,338 (-11.42%) - (+02.69%)

Land Registry (Qtr): -- Q307 230,474 -- Q109 198,939  (-13.68%) - Q209 224,064  (-02.78%) -- (+12.63%)

Topic Link: http://www.housepric...howtopic=127421
Links: Halifax, Nationwide, Rightmove, Land Registry (monthly), Land Registry (Raw data - Quarterly).
____________________________________________

Read what the papers said during the last crash: Here.

#4 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:30 PM

I've been holding my horses for too blummen long!...............................anyway, I didn't mean a real bet! Just see who gets it right for Feb! The BoE raised rates to 5.25 percent wrong footing 49 out of 50 economists polled by Reuters................. so never, EVER believe the hype!!!!!!

#5 Roman Abramovitch

Roman Abramovitch

    HPC Regular

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 544 posts
  • Location:Reading,once a bear always a bear.
  • About Me:heavy metal music.<br />I am a headbanger at heart<br />Chelsea football club &amp;<br />the arrest of Tony Blair

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:31 PM

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?

#6 MarkG

MarkG

    I live on HPC!

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 11,746 posts
  • Location:Canada (ex-Surrey)

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:33 PM

Another rise in February would surprise me, but wouldn't shock me anymore.
"If the world operates as one big market, every employee will compete with every person anywhere in the world who is capable of doing the same job. There are lots of them and many of them are hungry." -- Andy Grove, Intel.

#7 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:33 PM

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?



What the hell....go for .5%! :lol:

#8 sign_of_the_times

sign_of_the_times

    HPC Veteran

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 1,997 posts
  • Location:Doom Monger Land

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:34 PM

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?


can I wait until the inflation numbers are out next week ?
but you find out life isn't like that
its so hard to understand
when the world is your oyster but your future's a clam

#9 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:35 PM

NO! Just use your common sense!


Go HPC.............go HPC...............go HPC..................... :P

Edited by HOUSEHUNTER, 11 January 2007 - 09:37 PM.


#10 Jason

Jason

    HPC Vindicated

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 7,616 posts
  • Location:South East - FTBer

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:36 PM

Lets bet what CPI data is first (data comes out on Tuesday).

That will set off another bearish day!
House Price changes
NO LONGER UPDATED.



----------------------- Peak ---------- Trough -(% trough fall) - Current - (% from peak) - (% from Trough)

Halifax: -------------- Aug07 199,612 - Apr09 154,490 (-22.60%) - Oct09 165,528 (-17.08%) - (+07.14%)

Nationwide: ----------- Oct07 186,044 - Feb09 147,746 (-20.59%) - Oct09 162,038 (-12.90%) - (+09.67%)

Rightmove: ------------ May08 242,500 - Jan09 213,570 (-11.93%) - Nov09 226,440 (-06.62%) - (+06.03%)

DCLG (formerly ODPM): - Jan08 221,758 - Mar09 187,193 (-15.59%) - Jul09 196,338 (-11.46%) - (+04.89%)

Land Registry (Mth): -- Nov07 186,009 - Apr09 152,803 (-17.85%) - Sep09 158,377 (-14.86%) - (+03.64%)

FT HPI: --------------- Feb08 231,804 - Apr09 199,953 (-13.74%) - Aug09 205,338 (-11.42%) - (+02.69%)

Land Registry (Qtr): -- Q307 230,474 -- Q109 198,939  (-13.68%) - Q209 224,064  (-02.78%) -- (+12.63%)

Topic Link: http://www.housepric...howtopic=127421
Links: Halifax, Nationwide, Rightmove, Land Registry (monthly), Land Registry (Raw data - Quarterly).
____________________________________________

Read what the papers said during the last crash: Here.

#11 Smell the Fear

Smell the Fear

    HPC Guru

  • New Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,406 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:37 PM

Betfair is only offering 2/1 on a feb rise after today's shock! Not worth the risk at that price.

#12 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:40 PM

Lets bet what CPI data is first (data comes out on Tuesday).

That will set off another bearish day!



Don't know what that is?

Edited by HOUSEHUNTER, 11 January 2007 - 09:42 PM.


#13 sign_of_the_times

sign_of_the_times

    HPC Veteran

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 1,997 posts
  • Location:Doom Monger Land

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:41 PM

NO! Just use your common sense!

damn ! I'm disqualified then :(
but you find out life isn't like that
its so hard to understand
when the world is your oyster but your future's a clam

#14 HOUSEHUNTER

HOUSEHUNTER

    HPC Poster

  • New Members
  • PipPip
  • 242 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:44 PM

All those figures and facts .....................................and the economists still get it all wrong...........silly billys :lol:

#15 nic

nic

    HPC Poster

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 169 posts

Posted 11 January 2007 - 10:23 PM

Betfair odds actually suggest about 30% chance of a rise in February, which is a lot higher than the January odds were. Also, short sterling futures took a jump today and are suggesting another rise very soon.

Looks like this rise has given the message that there are more to come. Could well be as soon as next month!

Edited by nic, 11 January 2007 - 10:24 PM.





0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users