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February Rate Rise Rate Topic: -----

#1 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:20 PM

Whose up for a bet? :P

#2 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:23 PM

I reckon they'll be another in Feb .......................

#3 User is offline   Jason 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:29 PM

I don't think I could take another rise in Feb, i've done little work today as i've been looking at all the responses to this..!
House Price changes

NO LONGER UPDATED.

----------------------- Peak ---------- Trough -(% trough fall) - Current - (% from peak) - (% from Trough)
Halifax: -------------- Aug07 199,612 - Apr09 154,490 (-22.60%) - Oct09 165,528 (-17.08%) - (+07.14%)
Nationwide: ----------- Oct07 186,044 - Feb09 147,746 (-20.59%) - Oct09 162,038 (-12.90%) - (+09.67%)
Rightmove: ------------ May08 242,500 - Jan09 213,570 (-11.93%) - Nov09 226,440 (-06.62%) - (+06.03%)
DCLG (formerly ODPM): - Jan08 221,758 - Mar09 187,193 (-15.59%) - Jul09 196,338 (-11.46%) - (+04.89%)
Land Registry (Mth): -- Nov07 186,009 - Apr09 152,803 (-17.85%) - Sep09 158,377 (-14.86%) - (+03.64%)
FT HPI: --------------- Feb08 231,804 - Apr09 199,953 (-13.74%) - Aug09 205,338 (-11.42%) - (+02.69%)
Land Registry (Qtr): -- Q307 230,474 -- Q109 198,939  (-13.68%) - Q209 224,064  (-02.78%) -- (+12.63%)


Topic Link: http://www.housepric...howtopic=127421
Links: Halifax, Nationwide, Rightmove, Land Registry (monthly), Land Registry (Raw data - Quarterly).
____________________________________________

Read what the papers said during the last crash: Here.

#4 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:30 PM

I've been holding my horses for too blummen long!...............................anyway, I didn't mean a real bet! Just see who gets it right for Feb! The BoE raised rates to 5.25 percent wrong footing 49 out of 50 economists polled by Reuters................. so never, EVER believe the hype!!!!!!

#5 User is offline   Roman Abramovitch 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:31 PM

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?

#6 User is offline   MarkG 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:33 PM

Another rise in February would surprise me, but wouldn't shock me anymore.
"If the world operates as one big market, every employee will compete with every person anywhere in the world who is capable of doing the same job. There are lots of them and many of them are hungry." -- Andy Grove, Intel.

#7 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:33 PM

View PostRoman Abramovitch, on Jan 11 2007, 09:31 PM, said:

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?



What the hell....go for .5%! :lol:

#8 User is offline   sign_of_the_times 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:34 PM

View PostRoman Abramovitch, on Jan 11 2007, 09:31 PM, said:

Ah yes,but will the rise be 0.25% or 0.5%?


can I wait until the inflation numbers are out next week ?
but you find out life isn't like that
its so hard to understand
when the world is your oyster but your future's a clam

#9 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:35 PM

NO! Just use your common sense!


Go HPC.............go HPC...............go HPC..................... :P

This post has been edited by HOUSEHUNTER: 11 January 2007 - 09:37 PM

#10 User is offline   Jason 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:36 PM

Lets bet what CPI data is first (data comes out on Tuesday).

That will set off another bearish day!
House Price changes

NO LONGER UPDATED.

----------------------- Peak ---------- Trough -(% trough fall) - Current - (% from peak) - (% from Trough)
Halifax: -------------- Aug07 199,612 - Apr09 154,490 (-22.60%) - Oct09 165,528 (-17.08%) - (+07.14%)
Nationwide: ----------- Oct07 186,044 - Feb09 147,746 (-20.59%) - Oct09 162,038 (-12.90%) - (+09.67%)
Rightmove: ------------ May08 242,500 - Jan09 213,570 (-11.93%) - Nov09 226,440 (-06.62%) - (+06.03%)
DCLG (formerly ODPM): - Jan08 221,758 - Mar09 187,193 (-15.59%) - Jul09 196,338 (-11.46%) - (+04.89%)
Land Registry (Mth): -- Nov07 186,009 - Apr09 152,803 (-17.85%) - Sep09 158,377 (-14.86%) - (+03.64%)
FT HPI: --------------- Feb08 231,804 - Apr09 199,953 (-13.74%) - Aug09 205,338 (-11.42%) - (+02.69%)
Land Registry (Qtr): -- Q307 230,474 -- Q109 198,939  (-13.68%) - Q209 224,064  (-02.78%) -- (+12.63%)


Topic Link: http://www.housepric...howtopic=127421
Links: Halifax, Nationwide, Rightmove, Land Registry (monthly), Land Registry (Raw data - Quarterly).
____________________________________________

Read what the papers said during the last crash: Here.

#11 User is offline   Smell the Fear 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:37 PM

Betfair is only offering 2/1 on a feb rise after today's shock! Not worth the risk at that price.

#12 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:40 PM

View PostJason, on Jan 11 2007, 09:36 PM, said:

Lets bet what CPI data is first (data comes out on Tuesday).

That will set off another bearish day!



Don't know what that is?

This post has been edited by HOUSEHUNTER: 11 January 2007 - 09:42 PM

#13 User is offline   sign_of_the_times 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:41 PM

View PostHOUSEHUNTER, on Jan 11 2007, 09:35 PM, said:

NO! Just use your common sense!

damn ! I'm disqualified then :(
but you find out life isn't like that
its so hard to understand
when the world is your oyster but your future's a clam

#14 User is offline   HOUSEHUNTER 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 09:44 PM

All those figures and facts .....................................and the economists still get it all wrong...........silly billys :lol:

#15 User is offline   nic 

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Posted 11 January 2007 - 10:23 PM

Betfair odds actually suggest about 30% chance of a rise in February, which is a lot higher than the January odds were. Also, short sterling futures took a jump today and are suggesting another rise very soon.

Looks like this rise has given the message that there are more to come. Could well be as soon as next month!

This post has been edited by nic: 11 January 2007 - 10:24 PM

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