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0
HOLA441
Posted (edited)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17530003

Sir Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England, has said he expects the UK economy to contract between April and June due to the Queen's Diamond Jubilee bank holiday.

Speaking to the House of Lord's Economic Affairs Committee, he forecast a repeat of last year, when the Royal Wedding bank holiday hit output.

:lol::lol:

He's worth his salary isn't he.

Perhaps he might make a better comic than central banker.

Edited by interestrateripoff
1
HOLA442
Posted

What? One extra day off an the World will turn to sh-it? :o:blink:

2
HOLA443
Posted (edited)

It's such utter nonsense.

Yes there's an extra bank holiday... but on that day people will be spending. Indeed for many it'll be one of the busiest and most profitable weekends of the year! And there's the additional tourists, global publicity for the UK, etc, like with the Royal Wedding.

Edited by Chuffy Chuffnell
3
HOLA444
Posted

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/9170099/Elderly-exaggerate-QE-effect-on-pensions-claims-Bank-of-England-Governor-Sir-Mervyn-king.html

Britain's top economist said the Bank's monetary easing programme is not as bad for the value of pensions as has been claimed.

In a hearing at the House of Lords on Tuesday, he admitted he could not rule out an extension of QE, which was increased by £50bn in February to a total of £325bn.

Sir Mervyn said the falling value of pensions was not the fault of the extra stimulus. "I'm concerned about what has happened to the pensions industry and defined benefit pensions but I think they reflect a wider set of issues. The decline cannot be laid at the door of our programme.

"It might not have had quite such as big an effect as some people think."

Sir Mervyn also risked raising tempers in the City by moralising over the fact many bankers are motivated purely by money. "One of the most depressing things about some parts of the financial sector is that people seem to think their main objective of being in it is to earn enough money in order to leave it – as opposed to finding satisfaction and a life-long career within it," he said.

Although I will say the pension problems are ponzi.

4
HOLA445
Posted

We've long since passed the stage where Chris Morris type headlines have become the norm on mainstream news.

Firmly in to Daily Mash territory here.

It may as well be lead story on BTN from V for Vendetta.

Pathetic.

******ing pathetic.

Are people really buying this warmed up shiyte any more?

5
HOLA446
Posted (edited)

We've long since passed the stage where Chris Morris type headlines have become the norm on mainstream news.

Firmly in to Daily Mash territory here.

It may as well be lead story on BTN from V for Vendetta.

Pathetic.

******ing pathetic.

Are people really buying this warmed up shiyte any more?

Yes.

By the bucket, or should I say toilet, load.

Farcical.

Edited by Redcellar
6
HOLA447
7
HOLA448
Posted

Mervyn is nothing if not rigorously thorough with his data.

Which means he wouldn't say this if he didn't have the stats. to back it up.

Which means he's correct.

8
HOLA449
Posted

Mervyn is nothing if not rigorously thorough with his data.

Which means he wouldn't say this if he didn't have the stats. to back it up.

Which means he's correct.

Does he have an influence on how the "data" is, collected,manipulated, and interpreted?

Genuine question. I can't be bothered to look.

PS. I bet he does..

9
HOLA4410
10
HOLA4411
Posted (edited)

It's such utter nonsense.

Yes there's an extra bank holiday... but on that day people will be spending. Indeed for many it'll be one of the busiest and most profitable weekends of the year! And there's the additional tourists, global publicity for the UK, etc, like with the Royal Wedding.

What alot of rubbish the Governor does spout! The Jubilee will, just like the Royal wedding, give us a mini boost and the growth figures will have be better than without it.

OR IS IT LIKE THIS? : I think the British economy will contract because there's leaves on the line init and all the jobs are being taken by people who want to work. "Is it coz i is british?" asked a 24 year old man from the midlands who has yet to land his first job. He did a one day trial in a cafe and lost out to a polish man. He then stuck it out on benefits for another year until someone told him he'd be cut off from JSA if he didn't sign on by 10am. He ran to the office so fast it was unbelieveable. But it did take 3 days kip to get over it after. When asked if inflation affected him he said, "If you don't hold the pump right the bed just goes down dunit".

Surprising what happens to people even when they have 5 GCSE's at grade C or above.

Edited by plummet expert
11
HOLA4412
12
HOLA4413
Posted

Sir Mervyn said the falling value of pensions was not the fault of the extra stimulus. "I'm concerned about what has happened to the pensions industry and defined benefit pensions but I think they reflect a wider set of issues. The decline cannot be laid at the door of our programme.

Of course not. For sure someone else was to blame.

13
HOLA4414
14
HOLA4415
Posted

And there's the additional tourists, global publicity for the UK, etc, like with the Royal Wedding.

In theory this should be a bumper year for UK tourism, with the Olympics as well.

Poor Merv, reduced to clutching at such thin straws.

15
HOLA4416
Posted

Are people, including HPCers, confusing two different things yet again (like, deficit vs debt)?

  1. QE hurting annuity rates, thus damaging people taking out a NEW annuity.
  2. QE hurting interest rates for those with savings.

The first of those is pretty devastating for those affected. The second is much more marginal, but is getting bigged up because it affects older pensioners.

16
HOLA4417
Posted

It's such utter nonsense.

Yes there's an extra bank holiday... but on that day people will be spending. Indeed for many it'll be one of the busiest and most profitable weekends of the year! And there's the additional tourists, global publicity for the UK, etc, like with the Royal Wedding.

And there's the Olympics which surely must mean a huge economic boost this year. Let's not forget that this has been a leap year so we've had one extra day too.

Really, just how ******ing thick does Merv think the population is? The problem is, he's probably not wrong in his estimation of the general lack of intelligence of the public.

17
HOLA4418
Posted

And there's the Olympics which surely must mean a huge economic boost this year. Let's not forget that this has been a leap year so we've had one extra day too.

Really, just how ******ing thick does Merv think the population is? The problem is, he's probably not wrong in his estimation of the general lack of intelligence of the public.

The majority of Britons don't know what money is let alone who Sir Merv is...

18
HOLA4419
Posted

It's such utter nonsense.

Yes there's an extra bank holiday... but on that day people will be spending. Indeed for many it'll be one of the busiest and most profitable weekends of the year! And there's the additional tourists, global publicity for the UK, etc, like with the Royal Wedding.

The BoE and others have been looking at economic data for long enough to know if Bank Holidays have an effect or not. The pretty settled opinion of those that do so is that Bank Holidays have a negative effect on economic activity. Sure B&Bs might do well, people may also go shopping, but the real economy, where the real money is made, manufacturing and services basically shut down, things are not made, clients are not billed, factories close, business deals are not closed, contracts are not signed, business people don't travel or rack up their expense accounts and most people stay at home with the family.

Cameron is such a rabid Royalist that two years running we have had an extra Bank Holiday for that family and £bn it has cost the rest of us.

The Olympics may be more difficult to judge as there aren't several of them every year. On the one hand the government is spending money like water, on the other economic theory would caution about crowding out. For example the lack of hotel space in London means that London is effectively closed to regular tourists and many businesses / events too, many more will work from home and major music festivals have been cancelled. So we shall see...

19
HOLA4420
Posted

The BoE and others have been looking at economic data for long enough to know if Bank Holidays have an effect or not. The pretty settled opinion of those that do so is that Bank Holidays have a negative effect on economic activity. Sure B&Bs might do well, people may also go shopping, but the real economy, where the real money is made, manufacturing and services basically shut down, things are not made, clients are not billed, factories close, business deals are not closed, contracts are not signed, business people don't travel or rack up their expense accounts and most people stay at home with the family.

Cameron is such a rabid Royalist that two years running we have had an extra Bank Holiday for that family and £bn it has cost the rest of us.

Of course, GDP doesn't include the value of spending a nice sunny day at home with your family. Some of us would rather have the time than the money but can't easily negotiate extra days off because our culture is so obsessed with standardised working practices.

20
HOLA4421
Posted (edited)

The pretty settled opinion of those that do so is that Bank Holidays have a negative effect on economic activity.

To be fair to the BoE bank holidays quite obviously do have a negative economic effect (they are a "broken window" in economic terms). The point remains that it is laughable that one extra day off is going to make or break our countries finances.

Edited by goldbug9999
21
HOLA4422
Posted

To be fair to the BoE bank holidays quite obviously do have a negative economic effect (they are a "broken window" in economic terms). The point remains that it is laughable that one extra day off is going to make or break our countries finances.

It may not make or break anything but it could easily be the difference between a contraction of -0.2% and growth of +0.1% which is the difference between a technical recession or not.

22
HOLA4423
Posted

Are people, including HPCers, confusing two different things yet again (like, deficit vs debt)?

  1. QE hurting annuity rates, thus damaging people taking out a NEW annuity.

  2. QE hurting interest rates for those with savings.

The first of those is pretty devastating for those affected. The second is much more marginal, but is getting bigged up because it affects older pensioners.

Mervyn King is a moron.

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