Confusion of VIs

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  1. My view for some time been that we will not be leaving the EU on 29th March 2019. Assuming "Brexit" proceeds (despite us having no clear idea of our final destination or even how to get to wherever it turns out to be) we will enter an open ended transition period, that is in reality an extension of our membership and will remain in this state until either Brexit is cancelled or the government comes clean about the true complexity of leaving and develops and promotes its own version of flexit (quite how it would sell the idea to the public is another matter). After thinking that Brexit was now unstoppable, I now think that at some point in the near future the government (or parliament) will realise just how big a hole it is digging for itself and begin looking for a way out - the most cowardly option would be to kick the problem back to the electorate to decide via a second referendum. The EU must know that (assuming they still want the UK to remain) a well timed offer to allow restriction of FoM will most likely be grabbed at as a justification for that referendum, which takes us back to the post referendum rumors that presumed exactly this scenario would develop and an offer, to allow restrictions to be placed on FoM, made to the UK if we decided to Remain.
  2. Problem is for most people that is counter intuitive, they think that living in the small village in the countryside is greener than living in a city. Trying to convince people that the reality that living in a city is less damaging to the environment than a rural life is always going to be difficult.
  3. Young spend three times more on housing than grandparents

    Both figures (Boomers and Millennials) sound much too low. I know I paid over 50% of may salary on my mortgage when I was in my 20s (3.25 x salary at 13.5% interest) and I recon any Millennial paying only 23% is doing very well. Figures for Grandparents are pretty irrelevant without knowing what other costs they were paying, e.g. back then families spent around a third of their income on food.
  4. Which part did you think was correct, even the language used was obnoxious "create an amnesty". May's exact offer was never spelt out but, from what was reported, it fell far short of guaranteeing EU or UK citizens existing rights. There is no evidence that May had the support of other EU leaders. Even if you assume, without evidence, that the quote "more than 20 EU nations have signalled they are prepared to agree to a reciprocal arrangement" is true, it is meaningless without knowing in what context it was said. Merkel didn't rebuff the offer, she reminded May that all 27 heads of state had committed to not undermining the A50 process by holding bilateral negotiations and asked May to follow the agreed negotiation format. The rest of the article is just complete invention, the Telegraph seems to be rapidly morphing into the Daily Express.
  5. Only Gavin Barwell, who was a committed remainer http://www.gavinbarwell.com/blog.asp?BlogID=1112
  6. He is right about there being no signs of any leaks about May's speech (the earlier claims about it including us giving notice to leave the EEA are still appear unsubstantiated) the question is, is this a result of: 1. a new much more disciplined approach to Brexit across government 2. decision making now being restricted to a tight No 10 cabal 3. they have not decided what to put in it yet I think we can rule out number 1, it could be number 2 but given the degree of cabinet infighting my money is leaning towards number 3.
  7. Kippers and the Tory right wing would love you .
  8. The Telegraph's article was a deliberate distortion of the true position. May was looking to restrict not protect acquired rights, Merkel did not have the power to agree to this even if she wanted to. The legal position is that anyone who has acquired treaty rights by the day we leave keeps them in perpetuity, agreeing anything else outside of a full blown treaty renegotiation would require the formal agreement of all the members of the EU and approval by the European Parliament.
  9. Yes, but it's also an Interesting way to learn a bit more about the subject. I still suspect that the switchover will happen much faster than people think. Rapid progress is happening across a broad range of the technologies that make up and provide power for an electric vehicle, I think the combined effect will mean that in less than five years time for most people an electric car will be the obvious choice - if you have to pay the London congestion charge for most people it already should be.
  10. It does, their town versus highway figures are pretty similar. Heating in winter must be an issue, but so far I haven't seen any figures on the real life impact.
  11. I used BMW's quoted figure of 0.21 kwh/m for the electricity consumption. I think they quote the 125m range based upon using 80% of the battery capacity as using more than this on a daily basis will reduce battery life (NEDC test range is 190m). This would explain the discrepancy. I image the same applies to the Tesla.
  12. Probably. That's why referendums are not a sensible way of running the country. Whatever question you ask you risk part of the electorate translating it into am I pi55ed off about something enough to voting against whatever outcome the government wants.
  13. Remember Tesla is a large high performance vehicle, comparable to a top end BMW 5 series/BMW M5. Most electric cars will be more like today's best selling car the Fiesta, meaning my estimate based on a BMW i3 (itself a largish pretty high performance car) is probably on the high side.
  14. The surprising thing is it took this long for Robbins to walk. Davis's refusal to engage with the reality being presented to him by his senior staff and constant flip flopping has been driving them to despair for over a year now. He was and still is being advised that it will take 10 years to fully disengage with the EU. I assume his move to being May's EU advisor mean's that she shares his view that there can be no hard Brexit and that a transition period longer than the currently quoted 2/3 years is required.
  15. My own back of a fag packet figure came up a fair bit smaller than yours, using 2017 figures (25 million cars, driving 7,900 miles a year) Assume 5m per kwh (probably a bit low as BMW i3 consumption is around that 0.21kwh/m) Gives 39.5 twh. Yes still a massive commitment but not the impossible task it seemed 5-10 years ago.