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The Bank Of England Clueless Thread
Zat kind of sinking vil get you shot....

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
+1...

Barnard Marcus auction results (rampers look away now)
Yeah I understand that. In this case the auctioneer said he would not take a bid...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
Correction to myself having actually done the maths. In suntory's example the fl...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
Suntory's example was a pretty clear evidence - ~30% drop in price, and about ~2...

Sign of True HPC
It aint the price, its 'LOVE' that sells houses, Innit ?...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
Yeah, but can't find the same with a longer timescale....

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
That graph is missing the first bubble. The recovery from $1200 was a beast...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
I always look back to this graph for perspective. Longest timescale possible, in...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
It means nothing. You said Fringes of the EU (meaning politically), then you ch...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I meant fringes of the Balkans. Not fringes of the EU. Although I guess that is ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Fringe of Balkans or EU? Come on, I am sure you didn't mean both, despite spo...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
EU Membership So fringes of the EU Despite being members of the ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Great, absolutely great. you know fringe means on the edge right?...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Ground bloody zero. As to whether it counts, I guess that's open to interpr...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
No, you're going CCC on us, an trying to be literal and suggest as it's on the f...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Current common definition in most of the English-speaking, western world, the co...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I bloody know it is. I said on the fringes of the Balkans, Jesus wept!...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Ah, are you going full CCC on us? Croatia is part of the Balkans. Period. A...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Edge or middle? Here's a map to help you. Looks like the fringe t...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Ah, ok, so I can say horse shite then. Not a question either....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
The Balkan Peninsula is bordered by the Adriatic Sea on the northwest, the Ionia...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I just said that an specifically included the one that put Italy above the UK to...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
So is Croatia on the edge of the balklans or in the middle?...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Yes but the point is that there is a path to membership for all of the Balkan co...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Jul 26 2017 Add a News Blog Article

QE, source of asset-price inflation and rising inequality

RT: QE, the largest transfer of wealth in history

QE has inflated the prices of property and other assets and in other ways enabled the wealthy to steal the wages of workers, in addition to causing havoc in 'emerging markets'. But what's do be done now? If the Fed, BoE and ECB unwind QE, sell govt securities into the market and raise IRs that's a lot of taxation to be raised to pay off the interest on the national debt. The Fed, e.g., is planning to do these things, with fed funds rate going up to 3.5%. Eventually US taxpayers would be paying bondholders over $800bn a year in interest alone. Is Japan on the right track? It creates lots of money for the BoJ to buy back the govt debt and to pay the interest to the govt - an interest-free debt rolled over each year - effectively a debt cancellation.

Posted by icarus @ 01:15 PM 3 Comments

Warning of the impending BTL bubble burst

Telegraph: The buy-to-let stampede begins:

Buy-to-let investors now face tougher conditions. A weakening housing market, tough new legislation and the tightening of affordability checks by lenders are but a few problems causing landlords to run for the hills

Posted by wdbeast @ 08:25 AM 6 Comments

Property Market In State of Lethargy

BBC: Estate agents have lowest stock of homes for 40 years

Both titles are from the BBC, the Lethargy one being from their home page. I guess that with current prices estate agents only need to sell one or two houses a month to make a nice living.

Posted by tenyearstogetmymoneyback @ 06:07 AM 23 Comments

There is no Missteeq ... this really is Scandalous

FT Adviser: Limited company buy-to-let is next mis-selling scandal

Heads you win.... errrr tails you don't lose!

Posted by techieman @ 12:39 PM 8 Comments

Start of a panic....??

Sun: HOUSE PRICE PLUNGE Fresh fears of housing market collapse as new data suggests property prices are falling

NEW signs of the housing market slipping are expected this week when one of the best lead indicators of house price movement is released.

Posted by tom101 @ 04:49 PM 3 Comments

Halifax down 1% in June

Graun: UK house price fall takes annual growth rate to slowest in four years

Half a cheer as NW said up ~1% in the same period. Perhaps low sales volumes account for inconsistent results...

Posted by nickb @ 12:42 PM 0 Comments

Tightening comes in many forms

Pound Sterling Live: British pound up on us dollar

Carney takes the option of micro-managing the banks over decisions presumably they are running calculations on themselves to avoid raising rates. Tacitly stating that without his guidance the banks would still inevitably run themselves into serious defaults (which is probably true). From where are these counter cyclical reserves sourced? Could they be sourced from the addional liquidity that Carney has himself printed into existence? There is about 200 billion of unsecured debt held by uk households. So tapering, would be when QE went into reverse i.e. the printed money would head back to the central bank and the +x,-x cancel out. i continue in a comment..

Posted by stillthinking @ 01:09 AM 1 Comments

Whats the truth about the market?

Guardian: Shard apartments unsold 5 years on

its difficult to know what to believe is the real state of the market,but this has certainly been kept quiet..all starts in central london and spreads out historically.

Posted by taffee @ 10:21 AM 5 Comments

From the same rag that's been promising rising rents...

Torygraph: Finally, some good news for those not on the property ladder: it's getting cheaper to rent

Funny there's no mention in the article of the pending rent hikes due to tax changes. Maybe they're too embarrassed to mention the duff theory any more...

Posted by mombers @ 08:32 AM 2 Comments

Any minute now, rents will rise, promise!!

Torygraph: Attacks on landlords end up hurting tenants, says ex-Bank of England policymaker

Just goes to show the intellectual bankruptcy of neoclassical economics. Leases being signed now are subject to much higher taxation for the duration - why are landlords not passing this on as threatened, and are instead accepting lower rents than before? And why are rents lower in the US, where the average ad velorem property tax bill paid by the landlord is $6000 vs £0 in the UK?

Posted by mombers @ 11:36 AM 4 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive