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"Citizens will soon turn their rage to central bankers"
...

"Citizens will soon turn their rage to central bankers"
Can't argue with that!...

How do you avoid getting angry?
It's hard once the red mist has descended. You can't really change your temperam...

"Citizens will soon turn their rage to central bankers"
Jeremy Corbin understand very well the actual factors affecting the housing cris...

Telegraph: First-time buyers - four ways to capitalise on falling house prices
Please, do tell the chartered accountant with an Economics degree more. Ove...

Parliament Hit by Cyber Attack
That's what VLAN's are for, problem is how many government employees are going t...

How do you avoid getting angry?
According to my wife and daughters I, apparently, years ago acquired the ability...

Parliament Hit by Cyber Attack
Sorry but I can't agree with this. I am developing an Android app which relies o...

How do you avoid getting angry?
Specifically, I snap at my son now and then (nothing excessive), but because I'm...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
Just been reading this post on IOTA, about a prototype being built by a subsidia...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
I think this drop in rents is the real story in London. I'm seeing rents cr...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I hope you aren't insinuating this poster is a wind up merchant making stuff up....

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
So you don't actually own the gold if the company or government decide you don't...

Anyone Live In Blackrock Mallusk
Hi everyone I just came across this conversation and wanted to get p...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
But it does work the other way round for some reason Banana. ...

Decent homes for all… Has the social housing dream died?
NuLabour is not Labour Mrs Bear, as indicated by Blair having tea with Thatcher ...

Decent homes for all… Has the social housing dream died?
So why didn't Labour stop right to buy? God knows they were in power for long e...

"Citizens will soon turn their rage to central bankers"
The 6% interest rates are hard to stomach; the good news is that most student lo...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
The EU wants ECJ jurisdiction over foreign nationals living in the UK. This...

How To Get Started If You've Never Run Before
The pain is definitely focussed on the back and at ankle height, so I think fibu...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Is a person ultimately in charge of a negotiation situation more or less likely ...

Gold strategy in the current economy
Whayts the point of gold backed? Bitcoin is doing perfectly well with out gold b...

Deluded Old Scrapper Birds On Dating Sites
You already admit you are a good looking guy even when you were overweight. You ...

Decent homes for all… Has the social housing dream died?
I hope not - I'm on my local authority housing register. To their credit, t...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
That's the thing, cashflow is king....

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Sunday, Jun 25 2017 Add a News Blog Article

Bear necessities: Brexit chaos fuels fall in living standards

Grauniad: Pay squeeze intensifies as wage growth falls further behind inflation

Fairly simple mechanism folks. The falling pound means more expensive imports, and wages are not keeping pace with inflation. Only one way this can impact on ability to service rent or mortgage. And can you really see it getting better as the Brexit chaos continues?

Posted by nickb @ 01:16 PM 8 Comments

Increasing the supply of homes for foreign investors

The Guardian: Foreign investors snapping up London homes suitable for first-time buyers

First time buyers are missing out as homes are bought investors from Hong Kong and Singapore at inflated prices. The mayor of London said: “international investment plays a vital role in providing developers with the certainty and finance they need to increase the supply of homes and infrastructure for Londoners”

Posted by cyril @ 07:06 AM 4 Comments

There is such a thing as HPC after all

Onenewspage: Crowd of house buyers rush into estate agentsin China after prices plummet

Video showing a big crowd rushing into an estate agent's office in China to buy real estate after house prices crash. It must have been a very sudden crash for people to fall over each other like this. Central and local governments have been curbing house price growth all year - by restricting the buying of second homes, increasing deposits and reducing property developers' borrowing to buy land. (I posted this video on Thursday but it didn't appear - maybe I didn't use my admin password, so apologies if it turns up again later.)

Posted by icarus @ 08:50 AM 1 Comments

Food for the Bears on Election day !

Financial Reporter: Transactions plummet by a fifth since SDLT reforms

The property market in England and Wales has been "shattered" since the government introduced its stamp duty reforms, according to Nested analysis. The research, which used data from Land Registry and Zoopla, found that transactions across the country fell annually by almost a fifth - 19% - across England and Wales and by as much as 33% in London, as the government’s 3% stamp duty surcharge on second homes saw investors exit the property market.

Posted by jack c @ 10:18 AM 4 Comments

And in the same breath let us tell you they are rising!

Grauniad: UK house prices rise for first time in five months

Halifax data say prices rose in May. Curiously the Graun does not refer to its own article a few days back reporting Nationwide data saying they fell. NW data were seasonally adjusted. Are the Halifax data? Are they both mix adjusted? Is it just sampling error on the back of low transactions volume? where is the signal in the noise?

Posted by nickb @ 02:20 PM 2 Comments

House price = capitalised value of rental income

Torygraph: Rents follow house prices and show first fall since 2009 crisis

Homelet data records rents falling in May. I look forward to talking with my landlord about this ;-)

Posted by nickb @ 02:06 PM 13 Comments

HPC gets a name check in the Grauniad

The Guardian: Yes, house prices are falling: but they probably won’t fall quickly

Fame at last

Posted by cyril @ 10:10 AM 15 Comments

Crashy crashy

BBC Business: House prices fell again in May, Nationwide says

Annual growth 2.1% . Weakest pace for almost four years

Posted by magnifico @ 08:23 AM 11 Comments

... But but but... Enfield still looking good ??

Business Insider: House prices in London are being cut as the once-crazy market continues to cool

The number of asking-price reductions is growing fastest in outer London boroughs like Barking & Dagenham, where 28% of homes were discounted compared to 21% in January, and Newham, where 24.5% had reductions compared to 20% in January.

Posted by techieman @ 06:16 PM 27 Comments

Here's what sends US rents through the roof.

Michael Hudson: Another housing bubble?

In 2008 the problem stemmed largely from liar loans for buying houses. Not so now. 10 years ago US rents tended downwards because new owner-occupiers were desperate to have renters to help with the mortgage. So, house prices rose while rents fell. After 2008 a large % of the 10m foreclosures were bought for cash by hedge funds (HFs). With ZIRP the HFs decided that it was more profitable to buy foreclosed properties and let them out at high rents than it was to write mortgages or flip the properties. Mortgages are hard to get and HFs have monopolised the rental market in many areas - so renting is also hard. So the banks are looking for more NINJAs to whom they can lend. Answer - government guaranteed student loans, which create spiv universities.

Posted by icarus @ 12:50 PM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive