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The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
The difference between the marginal cost of production (of mining) and the marke...

Landlords want rent payments included in tenants credit histories
Outrageous. Firstly, I didn't call you any names, it was Ludwig not me. Secondly...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
How can a factual representation of an economic supply/demand interaction or a q...

Nectar try to join up with the Daily Mail
So the good people at Sainsburys/Nectar thought it might be a good idea to partn...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
You are confused or attempting to twist words. Bitcoin is not a monopoly or cart...

Landlords want rent payments included in tenants credit histories
The aggression of some (including you) on this forum is really counter-productiv...

Fiat 500 - I see them everywhere!
Confirmation bias - they have been popular for a while and have now been in exis...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
He is spot on as well!...

1 in 10 owns second home
Well there we have it, why housing policy is so f****d upin the UK...

Tax Credit Sad Face :-((((((
Was speaking to someone who works for JCP, they reckon that DWP messed around so...

Strong Internal Candidate - No Interview Given
Well it sounds like you do so why not rebut your rejection pointing out at lengt...

30% drop in oxfordshire...
Yes I know two people who live there and have never seen any. The story got atte...

Unemployment at 42 year low
East Europeans and some will be slave labour being paid pennies, as was said in ...

30% drop in oxfordshire...
yuck. what a crap house. London/Reading/Oxford, these three places houses shoul...

30% drop in oxfordshire...
I was remembering a report I saw on BBC News - has it been exaggerated? ...

Nationwide building society hit by 50% collapse in buy-to-let lending
Not sure I follow..btl lending halves April to June but their spokeperson says t...

30% drop in oxfordshire...
Full of Chinese lol you might get 1 coach a month if that weekday day time....

Fiat 500 - I see them everywhere!
Oh yes. Some are quite aggressive shall we say......although what they expect to...

Fiat 500 - I see them everywhere!
How about the latest Ford Ka ? 4,OOO less than a fiesta (made in India)...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
An interesting speech from Adam Posen. Just listened to this, now....

Landlords want rent payments included in tenants credit histories
That 'argument' dies an inglorious death at the feet of Wittgenstein's private l...

Bloomberg: China Codifies Crackdown on ‘Irrational’ Outbound Investment ...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
Exclusive can mean limited or excluding as well as sole. I don't favour artifici...

Landlords want rent payments included in tenants credit histories
The word credit comes from the latin credere - to trust or believe. Going back t...

Another poor soul on MSE...
60% too much probably...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Saturday, Aug 19 2017 Add a News Blog Article

Trade deficit

FT: UK trade deficit swells to eight-month high

One of the responsibilities of the central bank is to manage the trade deficit by raising interest rates, however, Carney for some reason never does this. So it continues on. The UK is all over the place really I wonder how long it can all last.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:31 AM 2 Comments

Fewer houses for sale

Business Insider: Barclays: housing transactions are in structural decline

Nothing to add.

Posted by stillthinking @ 01:36 AM 3 Comments

I thought house prices were dropping...

Telegraph: Housing market speed towards 'crisis point' as average price rises £10,000 in a year

House prices in the UK increased by £10,000 in the last year on average, according to official figures, with estate agents warning that affordability of houses is reaching "crisis point".

Posted by hpwatcher @ 12:44 PM 3 Comments

Auto enrollment torpedo incoming

CityAM: The pensions submarine will sink low earners with auto-enrolment torpedos

By 2019 wage costs for employers are going to rise, while at the same time wages received by employees is going to fall. Consider this with the previous post.

Posted by stillthinking @ 02:16 AM 2 Comments

Credit issues

Business Insider: What Carney knows but doesn't say

excessive credit as per usual

Posted by stillthinking @ 02:11 AM 1 Comments

Grand old duke of York v. Bulls and bears

The Guardian: House price slowdown is excellent news – even if estate agents disagree

House prices and a story about betfair / paddy power merger...subliminal reference to punting the market, perhaps ???

Posted by techieman @ 06:49 AM 1 Comments


Economist: A little-noticed change in Britain’s housing market spells trouble for everybody

The market for London’s fanciest properties looks weak and overall price growth has slowed, but Britain’s housing market hardly appears to be in freefall. Poke beneath the surface, however, and it looks as if trouble is brewing. Britons are buying and selling houses less frequently than they once did. Official data suggest that the rate of residential transactions this year is set to be the lowest since 2013. The number of sales in parts of London is approaching an all-time low as home-buyers become more cautious about their personal finances.

Posted by jack c @ 02:56 PM 18 Comments

Buyers market round the corner

Dailymail: Sluggish houseprices buyers market round the corner

things dont look too good out there and that with all the props.The only thing they haven't tried is giving money away free which they did in japan but it didnt stop prices falling as much as 90% and even 23 years later they are still 40-60% less

Posted by taffee @ 10:59 AM 11 Comments

Caveat emptor

Grauniad: Leasehold houses and the ground rent scandal

Apparently much of the newbuild stock of houses has leasehold arrangments, with clauses such that the ground rent doubles every 10 years! So a guaranteed return to a spiv or offshore entity (ultimately the same) of 7% p.a. I won't bore you with the anecdote about the chessboard and the exponential function, but by 2060 many houses would have groundrent charges of over £10,000 p.a. And so by 2090 £80,000 p.a. In related articles, a figure is given of 42% of new houses with leasehold, and it is pointed out that England is one of the few places in the world where leasehold remains, it being formerly spread through the Empire. Christ...

Posted by nickb @ 06:23 PM 3 Comments

QE, source of asset-price inflation and rising inequality

RT: QE, the largest transfer of wealth in history

QE has inflated the prices of property and other assets and in other ways enabled the wealthy to steal the wages of workers, in addition to causing havoc in 'emerging markets'. But what's do be done now? If the Fed, BoE and ECB unwind QE, sell govt securities into the market and raise IRs that's a lot of taxation to be raised to pay off the interest on the national debt. The Fed, e.g., is planning to do these things, with fed funds rate going up to 3.5%. Eventually US taxpayers would be paying bondholders over $800bn a year in interest alone. Is Japan on the right track? It creates lots of money for the BoJ to buy back the govt debt and to pay the interest to the govt - an interest-free debt rolled over each year - effectively a debt cancellation.

Posted by icarus @ 01:15 PM 8 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF) (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive