Real House Prices

real house price trend graph

House Price Crash Forum

Latest Topics

Canada bubble is popped
It's a somewhat equivocal article: it's not calling out the situation directly a...

In-law said to me
Sorry. Double post....

In-law said to me
I completed the sale (STR) of our home today. When, 6 months ago, I said to the ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
“I’m hoping these rules will change and I wanted to make a statement ahead o...

Another 250,000 people come to the UK
They are older. Bought a house cheap a long time ago and are therefore less affe...

BitCoin mania
I'd like to sat I bought some for a £1 but I'm not a speculator, risk is best ...

Sideways is the new backwards
Only another few weeks and we will see which way the new govt is going to send t...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
The article makes no sense. If Moor Galloway is a company, it's completely unaf...

BitCoin mania
I think a lot of the mania this week has been due to the conference being held t...

BitCoin mania
Youre late to the party guys, bitcoin just dropped 400$ in 1 hour or so LOL...

BitCoin mania

BitCoin mania
This isnt about bit coin but the mania surrounding it and it similaritys to the ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
So, adjacent to that article, the Mail has this, which is seriously worth a car...

Excuse Predictions Thread the Media use for not Buying a House
When the monthly, quarterly and annual figures are all negative, watch for stori...

BitCoin mania
Yes that poor guy, would be worth 18m now.......

Confusion over buy to let
Hope they open a curry house next door too....

Confusion over buy to let
Rather a colonial British Empire attitude there. Foreign culture is for him, whi...

BitCoin mania
I hear lots of talk about work about buying bitcoin - not for its utility value,...

Sideways is the new backwards
I'm sure it will get merged into the other thread ... but welcome to the forum: ...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
Can I echo CunningPlan and say that's a jolly good point! Presumably some f...

Housing market moving sideways, lenders say
After twenty years on the piss its hardly surprising. Hic Hic.....London newbuil...

Putting in low offers
Value is key. That's why the odd property that is a diamond goes to sealed bids....

In-law said to me
I think a good reply to this would be to ask them to be specific on what exactly...

Homeless professionals ( well teachers )
Nothing wrong with either capitalism or socialism in their pure forms. The probl...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Putting this here as this is the first of the approrpriate threads I've found ...

Visit Housepricecrash forum >>

Latest: House Price Crash News

Thursday, May 25 2017 Add a News Blog Article

Here's what sends US rents through the roof.

Michael Hudson: Another housing bubble?

In 2008 the problem stemmed largely from liar loans for buying houses. Not so now. 10 years ago US rents tended downwards because new owner-occupiers were desperate to have renters to help with the mortgage. So, house prices rose while rents fell. After 2008 a large % of the 10m foreclosures were bought for cash by hedge funds (HFs). With ZIRP the HFs decided that it was more profitable to buy foreclosed properties and let them out at high rents than it was to write mortgages or flip the properties. Mortgages are hard to get and HFs have monopolised the rental market in many areas - so renting is also hard. So the banks are looking for more NINJAs to whom they can lend. Answer - government guaranteed student loans, which create spiv universities.

Posted by icarus @ 12:50 PM 0 Comments

How much bear food do all you silent bears need?

Financial Times: City of London skyscrapers rise just as demand heads down

[...] he flowers are on the reception desk. The easy chairs are neatly arranged. Five hundred bike racks are waiting for cycles. One Creechurch Place, in the heart of the City of London, is ready to go. There is only one problem: the 17-storey development, which was completed last year, is empty. It has 272,000 sq ft of office space but, so far, no tenants. The EC3 postcode area in London’s financial district is known for two things — the insurance industry and skyscrapers — but just as new towers are going up, demand for office space from insurers is on the way down. [...]

Posted by sneaker @ 09:59 AM 10 Comments

Same boom/bust cycle as always. Only this one began before we even paid for the last bust.

Financial Times: Shades of 2008 hang over London real estate

[...] A report by Deloitte this week showed the highest level of construction for 13 years of London offices but less than half the space has been let. There is a looming oversupply of commercial space in the city. British Land acknowledged as much, saying it would ease back on developing and warning that it was already giving away more to attract tenants with incentives and free periods. In the RICS survey, agents predicted that office and retail rents would decline. [...]

Posted by sneaker @ 09:57 AM 1 Comments

It was too quiet here on HPC ... TOO QUIET!

FT Advisor: London Rents Fall for First Time in Eight Years

One suspects that the era of property selling at "offshore prices" is over... As for "onshore prices" - they're probably about 50% lower than what those lovely offshore buyers thought was sensible to pay. But they neglected that (a) London is not land-locked like Hong Kong (b) new supply is possible (c) as a democracy, we can elect politicians who don't give a monkey's about offshore owners ... BECAUSE THEY DON'T VOTE. Game over London Super-bubble -- and this is just the first chapter. My key indicator was how quiet this perma-bearish site had become.... even the bears had capitulated.

Posted by sneaker @ 07:43 AM 1 Comments

The Trend is Your Friend Until it Ends

FT Advisor: Oversupply weighs on London rents

"The London property market south of the River Thames is beginning to suffer as large numbers of the planned 22,000 units between Battersea and Nine Elms have come to market, and are typically purchased by foreign buyers as rental investments. Data analysed by London Central Portfolio found a significant annual increase in available rental properties in this area of about 28.1 per cent."

Posted by sneaker @ 07:39 AM 0 Comments

Offshore investors experiencing offshore drilling

Time Out: Rent Costs in London are Actually Going Down

So they both properly at the top. Then oil crashed, Russia got sanctions and a load of taxes came in to target offshore owners who, we, don't vote in the U.K. And finally Brexit. Not only are prices falling but Sterling collapsed. And now rents are dropping. Offshore drilling in progress!

Posted by sneaker @ 11:50 AM 5 Comments

A million homes by the end of 2020

Torygraph: Tory manifesto proposes mapping who owns all the land in the country for the first time

Well we have gone back to the 1950's with all parties pledging a million new homes..... and land value capture from the Tories...

Posted by pete green @ 09:29 AM 3 Comments

London suffers the fastest fall in house prices of anywhere in the UK

Evening Standard: London suffers the fastest fall in house prices of anywhere in the UK

"London house prices fell faster than anywhere else in the country in March as the impact of Brexit finally caught up with the property market."

Posted by becky @ 04:14 PM 8 Comments

RTB-er milking the system

Telegraph: Woman raffling her London home for £3.75m bought it three years ago through right-to-buy – for just £360k

A homeowner who tried to raise £3.75m by raffling her home online bought the property three years ago using the controversial right-to-buy scheme, and paid just £360,000. The owner, who is believed to have lived there since 2002, bought the property under the Government’s right-to-buy scheme three years ago, according to documents lodged with the Land Registry. It is understood that at the time it was valued at £460,000. Land Registry records confirm, however, that the price paid was £360,000, indicating the buyers benefited from a £100,000 right-to-buy discount. The raffle was halted for breaking gambling laws , but he five-bedroom flat is still on the market, listed Rightmove for £1.25m.

Posted by little professor @ 11:07 PM 5 Comments

Trend or Blip?

BBC News: UK house prices in first quarterly fall since 2012

UK house prices are "stagnating" and have actually fallen in the last three months, according to the Halifax.

Posted by wdbeast @ 10:12 AM 6 Comments

View More News Posts >>

House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF) (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive