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Housing crisis and immigration
Good post. I agree....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Not a chance you will get the British plus-size yummy mummies do all the jobs....

Pay to see nativity
It looks a bit like unprocessed heroin. Or cannabis resin....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Poor old Mail still struggling to understand that we have an independant judicia...

F1
Yes. Everything has to come to an end, so I think anyone should always choo...

Big Bells
When the Piniverse comes, we can enjoy bigger Ben!...

Big Bells
You cynic, you. But I agree, nothing is sacred and all must be sacrificed on th...

The Britain ain't all that bad thread
He invented the World Wide Web a vastly easier way of distributing information a...

The economic cycle
This article is worth a read: ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
We've been round this loop before but to remind you, before the accession of the...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Its a quote from the article BU posted. The tax is a long overdue on a BTL....

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
I hadn't really clocked the projection in the line from the comment which you've...

Thomas Mair courtcase
Trump's campaign song....

Big Bells
If it's bad for bells, Pin feels pain. Wealthy "city folk" should clean my toile...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
"The BTLer are destroying the home ownerism due to their own greed of additional...

The International War On Cash
If it works for you that's fine, I have no agenda either way on this. Where I li...

Runway vs brexit
I think the mods are simply tired of all the endless naval gazing over Brexit pa...

Big Bells
The land the foundry sits on is probably worth far more than the business. It w...

Big Bells
I used to walk past the shop, and in my immodesty, thought I would buy one if I ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
And the posters from North Yorks tend to be made like Greeks Gods, carved from m...

Pay to see nativity
We lived for many years in Oman, where the frankincense tree grows. They sold ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Pretty minor stuff, but just caught my eye. Those of us who find the idea of tak...

They call it the 'New York warehouse' look, I think it's plain lazy
Also really easy to run some 32A power cables and some Ethernet over the top and...

Housing crisis and immigration
There is a difference between blaming immigration and blaming immigrants. A...

Big Bells
Hopefully it will not close, someone can save it.... it can't be closing through...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Saturday, Dec 3 2016 Add a News Blog Article

They all need homes

Telegraph: Latest ONS immigration figures reveal a record number of EU migrants came to live in Britain in 2016

As I have said ad-infinutum, this pause between EU and Brexit will result in countless people front-running border controls. Almost 600k immigrants the past year, with net migration at over 335k, with illegal or undocumented or undeclared immigration likely being double the 600k level at maybe 1.2m. Many heading to London. This is why affordability in London in particular will plummet and prices will likely start moving into a hyperinflation level if action is not taken soon. When you compare it with annual house building starts to June of just 144,280, I think we start to see the problem coming into focus. This growth simply is not being planned for and if you knew the cost of satisfying demand for homes and infrastructure, you would be protesting on the streets.

Posted by libertas @ 07:28 PM 11 Comments

Government creates the rigged housing market

Taxpayers Against Poverty: Deaths by Acts of Parliament

Interesting Article from Fred Harrison on the effect of an unfair & rigged housing market

Posted by pete green @ 09:18 AM 0 Comments

UK property to fall 50%?

Frisby's Bulls and Bears: UK property to fall 50%? Talking houses with Henry Pryor

24 minute podcast interview with Henry Pryor discussing the housing market

Posted by frizzers @ 05:54 PM 15 Comments

Land Monopoly

The Bureau of Investigative Journalism: Builders make billions as housing crisis escalates

Imagine if the profit from the uplift in value of land from granting planning permission was spent on building council housing - Job done better still tax all land value away. But currently the profits are obscene and this is the real force of monopoly stopping new houses being built.

Posted by pete green @ 06:48 PM 2 Comments

Autumn Budget Statement

Business Insider: The Chancellor is planning a £23 billion spending bonanza on housing, technology, and transport

By committing a few billion pounds towards house building, the chancellor has implicitly acknowledged that we have a problem. IMO the targets of 100,000 new homes in expensive areas and 40,000 cheaper homes will not be enough to correct our housing market mess but at least it's a move in the right direction.

Posted by quiet guy @ 12:47 PM 0 Comments

Watching FOXT and CWD shares take a hammering with glee

Graniard: Chancellor to crack down on letting fees in Autumn statement

Foxtons shares down more than 10%. Countrywide down more than 5%. Seems to me that overall, agents will not be able to pass on all of their lost tenant fee revenue to landlords... No wonder they were kicking and screaming

Posted by mombers @ 10:40 AM 8 Comments

Mass immigration front-running border controls hoovering up property

Daily Mail: Call to rescue young buyers as homes for sale fall to 40-year low: Brexit, stamp duty and buy-to-let tax hike agent's books

I have called this for a while. Anybody from the EU who planned to move to Britain in the next decade who can now is moving, so as to front-run hard Brexit and future border controls. There is a literal feeding frenzy right now. Because these are new entrants to the market, new homes cannot keep up and so logically, the number of homes for sale is plummeting. This is also being multiplied by folk from USA, Canada, etc. racing in, front-running future trade deals and benefiting from a falling Sterling to get a foot-hold. Factors cited by the Mail are exacerbating this, but are not the main factors. The end result could be explosive house price inflation, driven also by the fall. Tracking prices it seems that the post Brexit "correction" was a phase transition to more than 10% growth.

Posted by libertas @ 12:13 PM 8 Comments

What would housebuilders say?

The Guardian: Six budget announcements....

Old article but worth another look. It suggests: Set up a national land bank which acquires land cheaply (without planning permission, but with potential for development) and holds it for future release for housing and commercial development. The taxpayer benefits from the difference between the value of land without and with planning permission. Then, instead of concentrating on government debt the Chancellor could focus on debt minus assets, and the latter, consisting of saleable land and public infrastructure, would be huge under this scheme. The benefits flowing from these and suggested ancillary schemes would provide much more land for housing and bring down its cost.

Posted by icarus @ 11:22 AM 0 Comments

Usual nonsense from the Residential Landlords Association

BBC: 'Rent costs mean we keep having to move home'

I actually submitted evidence about this to a Government paper on the Private Rental Sector a few years ago. Some of the other evidence was very similar to this article - Kids having to move every six months at the whim of the Landlords. The Residential Landlords Association nonsense that I refer to is that if life is made more difficult for them there will be a shortage of Rental Properties. If there is a shortage of anything it is of affordable properties to buy. My first house, bought in 1986 was an almost new two bedroom "Starter House" in a road of about 30 similar houses. They were all owner occupied. Nowadays, most have probably been bought by Landlords.

Posted by tenyearstogetmymoneyback @ 11:28 PM 4 Comments

London prices cut by barratt

Daily mail: Barratt cuts London prices

This is significant because it's the first time Real evidence of market falls/softening has Been seen in builders trading updates.... The Question is will it spread?

Posted by taffee @ 09:38 AM 1 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive