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Friends in high places....
Er, you clearly aren't familiar with french politics. That isn't how...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Perhaps I skipped over the bit that said "if you tilt your monitor clockwise and...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Yes, pro-Brexit was 52% on the day of the referendum, and is 44% now....

It's gone too far....says Corbyn !!!!
Which would lead directly to lower house prices by taking potentially millions o...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Yes, I guess you must be. Quite remarkable really as the article is tiny and the...

Theresa May | Statement at 11:15am
Surge in betting on Jeremy Corbyn to become prime minister after he promises fou...

I’m concerned that my children are no longer employable
He was actually quoting Lenin. Not sure Lenin had massive student loans in mind...

Broken Boiler - No Hot Water - Rights?
Threaten to do it anyway. You can try and claim rent back through the small clai...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I must be missing something. Opposition is not at a record high because it was 4...

It's gone too far....says Corbyn !!!!
Europhobic and HPC-tastic? Got my vote....

Broken Boiler - No Hot Water - Rights?
Apologies if not relevant. Not so much instructions on how to get things repair...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Or is he conceding everything to the US before negotiations have even started b...

I’m concerned that my children are no longer employable
All you have to do is look where the Guardian readers, Labour, Lib and Green vot...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
'Liam Fox is pushing for agriculture to be included in such (UK-US trade) discus...

Broken Boiler - No Hot Water - Rights?
That was my first thought however it seems unless you follow a specific route, I...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Don't you know the grass will be greener on the other side of the Brexit. A prom...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Serious question - what is wrong with Liam Fox ? Was he at some point kicke...

Nearly 40 million people live in UK areas with illegal air pollution  
cheers...

Friends in high places....
He graduated from ENA - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/École_nationale_d'adminis...

Nearly 40 million people live in UK areas with illegal air pollution  
This was immediately before Euro 4 regulations (Sept 05) which started to crimp ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Yip. EU dictating T&Cs.... Bloomberg : The new language deliv...

Is a globally open housing market a good thing?
Seriously, I do wonder. i am very persuaded by free market arguments. But...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
EU warns Britain it faces a 'bloodbath' from farmers if the Government tries to ...

Friends in high places....
Most people are credulous halfwits, completely lacking in any curiosity, hence M...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Very slow day for Brexiters, not much is going on at their side of the pond....

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Monday, Apr 24 2017 Add a News Blog Article

What price can Generation Rent afford, though? 50% lower I guess.

Property Reporter: Gross mortgage lending down 19% year-on-year

"With people increasingly wary of rate rises, remortgage levels also remain high. Inflationary pressure to come means the first rate rise in a long time may no longer be too far off. Brexit-related uncertainty continues to see many would-be movers sit on their hands, and the General Election could see even more conservatism in the months ahead. Dire supply levels are also damaging demand. There's very little on the market and people aren't in a hurry to buy homes they sense are languishing rather than electrifying. At the high end of the market there has been an influx of cash buyers over the past nine months given the weakness of the Pound. But with Sterling seemingly in bounce-back mode, we may see this trend tail off."

Posted by sneaker @ 09:46 AM 1 Comments

Must be that Brexit thing again!

The Guardian: Lenders report 42% fall in loans to landlords as tax changes begin to bite

The CML says that if the March trend continues “we can expect to have seen around 70,000 buy-to-let house purchases in the last year. This compares with 142,000 in the 12 months leading up to the stamp duty change. That’s 42% lower year-on-year”. “It is too early to predict long-term effects of these measures on the balance of tenure. But we may be beginning to see the reversal of a long period of expansion of the private rented sector.”

Posted by sneaker @ 09:43 AM 0 Comments

What else can they throw at it?

Dailymail: Property market in doldrums

looks like chickens coming home to roost...I keep an eye on central London property/prices and the amount of stock for sale is unbelievable...prices of 1/2 bed flats have plunged imo what else can they throw at it

Posted by taffee @ 10:15 AM 8 Comments

UK not as bad as Oz but that's setting the bar low

Zero Hedge: Australia Has The World's Worst Money-Laundering Property Market

Transparency International has released a new report, entitled Doors Wide Open: Corruption and Real Estate in Four Key Markets, which has identified Australia, Canada, the UK and the USA as the top four spots targeted by corrupt officials or criminals for real estate crime.

Posted by quiet guy @ 09:39 AM 2 Comments

Government meddling has made housing less affordable for first time buyers

BBC News: Better-off cashing in on Help to Buy scheme, research finds

Just over half of the people who have received taxpayers' money to help them buy a home under a government scheme did not need it, according to research. About 4,000 households in England earning more than £100,000 annually are in the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme. Official figures to December 2016 show more than 20,000 households who are not first-time buyers have been helped. The initiative, which started in April 2013, aims to make buying a home more affordable. But research conducted for the government found 57% of those who signed up to it said they could have afforded to buy without access to the scheme.

Posted by quiet guy @ 12:40 PM 4 Comments

Just a blip?

BBC News: UK house prices in first monthly fall for 20 months

Average house prices across the UK fell by 0.3% in the month of March, according to the Nationwide, the first fall since June 2015.

Posted by wdbeast @ 11:26 AM 4 Comments

BTL League of Gentlemen

Telegraph: Britain's biggest landlord bans 'coloured people' because of 'the curry smell'

One of Britain's biggest buy-to-let landlords, Fergus Wilson, has banned 'coloured' people from renting his properties because, he says, they leave them smelling of curry. When contacted by The Sun Mr Wilson defended his comments, saying : "To be honest, we’re getting overloaded with coloured people. It is a problem with certain types of coloured people — those who consume curry — it sticks to the carpet.

Posted by quiet guy @ 07:56 AM 19 Comments

It's all Brexit's fault, surely?

The Star, Malaysia: China's capital controls start biting

In recent years, mainland Chinese corporations and cash-rich individuals have been the world’s largest buyers of real estate but this global property binge may subside soon. Since late November, the world’s second largest economy has been scrutinising the deals and projects of its home grown companies abroad and fund repatriation by individuals, particularly towards mega property investments, doubtful mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

Posted by sneaker @ 07:30 AM 0 Comments

QE, asset-price inflation and wages

Bloomberg: Here’s One Chart That Captures the Debate Over QE

First chart shows the 'stellar' gains in world asset prices since 2008 and the sluggish growth in the economy. “We don’t know how effective QE has been (i.e. for the real economy) because we don’t know what would have happened without it,” said Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at Goldman in London. Falling interest rates supported most financial assets, while for the economy “QE has been effective to prevent downside risk,” he said. Any suggestions for a translation of this quote? Third chart shows how ballooning central bank balance sheets have ballooned equity prices. Will the Fed rein back QE and raise Treasury yields and mortgage securities?

Posted by icarus @ 01:11 PM 0 Comments

Damn that pesky Brexit

Zero Hedge: Manhattan Luxury Housing In Freefall: J.Crew CEO Slashes Tribeca Loft Price By Over 40%

If the downturn in London property is because of Brexit .... then why is it happening everywhere? Manhattan, Los Angeles, Vancouver, Hong Kong, you name it.... The answer is it's nothing to do with Brexit! It's because of capital flight controls in China and all the other factors we know well: rising US Dollar interest rates, Russia sanctions, oil crash etc etc But no doubt what's happening in London will be myopically attributed to Brexit. I read elsewhere that Nine Elms bee builds are being offered "cheap" but in reality even down 30% they are still expensive. Who are the buyers if offshore buyers can't cough up any more? The answer is onshore buyers, but only at prices they can afford and they are much lower... the market will clear but not up here.

Posted by sneaker @ 10:09 AM 2 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive