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George Osborne's Property Bubble
'Most people will tell you that this is down to the huge demand in the UK for ...

Is This Why You Can’T Buy Your First London Home?
Quote Alex Weekes, 26, was until last year an agent at the firm, Ludlow Thompso...

Scientist Predicts 60% Market Collapse
Chris Martenson is a world-renowned expert on identifying dangerous, yet hidd...

London, England
Insane house prices, UK monetary and fiscal policy skewed by the London economy ...

Riding The Eu Gravy Train: Meps In Brussels Earn Up To 740% More Than Average Citizen And Enjoy Free Haircuts And Gallons Of Petrol
#ixzz2U7XkA66E ' Biting austerity cuts across Europe have not nibbled into the ...

Three Jailed For D.i.y. Q.e. Programme
QuoteThree fraudsters have been jailed for what is believed to be the biggest ...

Ford Plans To Shut All Australian Production By 2016
'US car giant Ford Motor will shut all its Australian manufacturing plants by ...

Crime Commissioners Are Packing Their Office With Taxpayer-Funded Cronies On Pay Of Up To £70,000
'Elected police commissioners have sparked a cronyism row by packing their off...

China Manufacturing Unexpectedly Contracts In Blow To Growth
QuoteChina’s manufacturing is contracting in May for the first time in seven ...

Energy Bills ‘Could Overtake Mortgages In Five Years’
link QuoteEnergy bills are rising so steeply that they could overtake mortgage ...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Friday, May 24 2013 Add a News Blog Article

They were trying to help QE for Britain!

BBC: Three men jailed over 'largest' fake £1 coin plot

"Three fraudsters have been jailed for what is believed to be the biggest ever plot to make fake pound coins - after 50,000 false coins were found". "Det Insp Bruce South said: "These three men are organised criminals who were intent on undermining the UK monetary system". Pity someone doesn't arrest the world's Central Bankers too.

Posted by alan @ 05:47 PM 0 Comments

Across the pond, a recovery in House Prices

Bloomberg: U.S. House Prices Rose 7.2% in Year Through March

"U.S. house prices rose 7.2 percent in the year through March, the biggest gain since May 2006, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said". "Prices jumped 16.1 percent from a year earlier in the Pacific area, which includes California, Washington and Oregon. In the Mountain region, including Arizona, Colorado and Nevada, the gain was 14.4 percent, the FHFA said. The Middle Atlantic area -- New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania -- had the smallest increase, at 1.6 percent".

Posted by alan @ 05:41 PM 2 Comments

When property details go wrong ... XXX master bedroom

Planet Property: When property details go wrong ... XXX master bedroom

We've seen some strange stuff on property details ... but is that what I think it is on the bedroom floor ... ??!! Yes. Yes. YES IT IS!!

Posted by the planet @ 01:18 PM 0 Comments

Property valuation isn't a science, but come on...

Planet Property Blog: Versace mansion drops price by $50 million

Yes, we did mean $50 million… Fashion designer Gianni Versace’s Miami Beach mansion has been on the market since June last year, but it seems that its 24-karat gold-lined swimming pool and numerous high-camp frescos and its own observatory have not been enough to entice a buyer at its original price of $125 million, or even its bargain-bucket reduction to $100 million

Posted by property addict @ 12:09 PM 0 Comments

The Chancellor’s manipulation of the housing market will lead to disaster

Spectator: George Osborne's property bubble will lead to disaster

Merryn Somerset Webb, editor in chief of MoneyWeek, has long predicted a collapse of the housing bubble. Here she looks at the growing number of government interventions in the UK housing market and the possible outcomes that are likely to end in disaster. (Or more affordable housing if you look at it another way).

Posted by james tennant @ 11:46 AM 1 Comments

Here's how fragile it all is. And the fabled UK housing "recovery"?

BBC: Global markets fell after weak Chinese data and worries that the US Federal Reserve may slow its monetary stimulus.

Global markets fell after weak Chinese data and worries that the US Federal Reserve may slow its monetary stimulus. In Asia, the fall was led by Japan's Nikkei index, which closed down 7.3%, having fallen as much as 10%. European markets also reversed recent rises, with London, Frankfurt and Paris opening almost 2% lower. It followed data showing a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing, and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's hint that Quantitative Easing efforts may be scaled back.

Posted by mark wadsworth @ 11:42 AM 3 Comments

The message is slowly sinking in

Guardian: I am the beneficiary of the house-price boom. My children are its victims

[My kids] have never asked me for anything but it is obvious that, with their loans and high rents, even with jobs they will not be able to buy in the city they grew up in, without some help [from me].

Posted by drewster @ 12:26 AM 12 Comments

Changes in society driving up house prices

Daily Mail: Silver separation: Penelope Keith blames divorced middle-aged women for 'pushing up house prices'

Actress Penelope Keith has attacked women who get divorced later in life, saying they are to blame for pushing up house prices. The star of To the Manor Born has said she has no sympathy for women in their fifties who leave their husbands because they want ' their own space.' The 73-year-old said: 'If only we could educate people to go on living together for longer. It's all these single dwellings, all these women in their fifties and sixties, who suddenly want their town space, to be their own people.' 'I read about affordable houses that are £300,000. Sorry? Affordable housing for whom? It's a terribly knotty problem,' she said.

Posted by drewster @ 12:22 AM 0 Comments

Behind the smoke and mirrors of weather excuses there are some interesting numbers

BBC: UK retail sales hit by bad weather again

Total food sales plunged 4.1% in April, their largest monthly fall in almost two years. So because the weather was a little cool we purchased less food. Or is it more like because of inflation we are wasting less and eating simpler in an attempt to restrain the spiraling cost of living.

Posted by enuii @ 10:35 PM 1 Comments

Nationwide's share of UK mortgage market reaches 15 per cent

Myfinances.co.uk: Nationwide's share of mortgage market rises to 15%

Nationwide, the UK’s largest building society has announced that its share of the mortgage market has reached a new record high. It now has a 15.1 per cent share of the mortgage market, up from 13 per cent, after seeing gross mortgage lending rise by 17 per cent in the year to April 4th 2013 to £21.5 billion.

Posted by ben @ 06:31 PM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 13 £234,000 N/A 2.20 TickThis monthN/A19/03/2013
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Apr 13 £231,170 0.30 3.00 Cross£231,595
(Feb 08)
0.1810/05/2013 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Apr 13 £166,094 1.10 2.00 Tick£199,770
(Aug 07)
16.8608/05/2013 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) May 13 N/A 0.70 3.20 Cross N/A N/A 14/05/2013 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Mar 13 N/A 0.30 0.00 Cross N/A N/A 25/03/2013
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 13 £162,606 0.20 1.00 Tick£186,045
(Jan 08)
12.6028/03/2013 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 13 £165,586 0.10 0.90 Tick£186,044
(Oct 07)
11.0001/05/2013 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Feb 13 £235,741 2.80 1.10 Tick£246,235
(Jun 12)
4.2618/02/2013 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 13 £403,000 N/A N/A 5.50 TickThis monthN/A19/03/2013
Halifax House Price Index Q1 13 £275,753 N/A N/A 4.30 Cross£320,847
(Q3 07)
14.0515/04/2013 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 13 £370,819 0.10 N/A 6.30 Tick£373,207
(Jan 13)
0.6428/03/2013 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 13 £306,919 N/A 2.80 4.60 CrossThis quarterN/A28/03/2013 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Feb 13 £486,890 1.20 N/A 8.40 TickThis monthN/A18/02/2013 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 6%UK2012Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 6%UK2011Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 8.8%UK2013Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 5.8%UK2014Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 4.9%UK2015Tick
Jonathan DavisN/AOct 2010 40-50 % UK2007-2013Tick
New forecast set at Oct 10. Given historical reference, bank failures, credit restrictions and global economic recession.
IHS Global InsightHoward ArcherPhoto of Howard ArcherSep 2010 10%UK2010-2011Tick
We suspect that house prices could fall by around 10% between now and the end of 2011. Much will obviously depend on how well the economy holds up as the fiscal squeeze increasingly kicks in, mortgage availability and the amount of houses coming on to the market.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasAug 2010 3.9%UK2010Tick
"During the remainder of 2010, JLL expects a decline of 3.9 per cent on current price levels, reducing the value of the average UK property by £6,500."
CEBRN/AN/AAug 2010 4%UK2010Tick
"The Centre For Economics And Business Research (CEBR) said prices will increase 4 per cent this year and continue rising until 2014, mainly due to a shortage of homes in the UK and low interest rates."
NIESRN/AN/AJul 2010 8%UK2010-2015Tick
"The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) claims that prices will fall, in real terms, by about eight per cent."
Capital Economics Ltd.N/AN/AJul 2010 23%UK2010-2012Tick
"UK house prices will fall through 2012 as the deepest public-spending cuts since World War II and tighter credit conditions deter potential buyers."
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/ADec 2009 3%UK2010Tick
Knight Frank predicts that a continuing growth in unemployment, allied to wage freezes and tax rises, and a rise in average mortgage rates will force a number of sales which, in the absence of greater depth of demand, will see prices slipping back.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasSep 2009 7%UK2010Tick
Jones Lang LaSalle's latest UK Residential Market Forecast predicts this market revival is likely to be unsustainable and a fall in prices of -7% on average is likely during 2010.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 9%UK2009Tick
Cluttons predict that house prices will fall by nine per cent this year and by 1.5 per cent next year, with a peak-to-trough decline of 24 per cent.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 1.5%UK2010Tick
House prices will fall by nine per cent this year and by 1.5 per cent next year, with a peak-to-trough decline of 24 per cent
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 11%London2009Tick
In Central London, Cluttons predict that prices will fall by 11.0 per cent this year but will see a marginal growth of one per cent in 2010, putting the peak-to-trough decline at 29 per cent.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 1%London2010Tick
In Central London, Cluttons predict that prices will fall by 11.0 per cent this year but will see a marginal growth of one per cent in 2010, putting the peak-to-trough decline at 29 per cent.
Market OracleAndrew ButterN/AJan 2009 33%UK2007-2012Tick
For Nationwide Index; updates forecast of 35% to 40% drop (peak to trough) done in Sept 07, reason now low long term interest rates will hold prices up until bottom in 2012.
Market OracleNadeem WalayatN/AJan 2009 36%UK2007-2011Tick
For Halifax Index updates; forecast of 15% drop for 08 done in August 07, bottom 2011.
IHS Global InsightHoward ArcherPhoto of Howard ArcherOct 2008 15%UK2009Tick
Global insight have further revised down their house price forecasts to show a fall of 15% in 2009.
NationwideGraham BealePhoto of Graham BealeSep 2008 25%UK2008-2010Tick
Nationwide CEO Graham Beale expects a 25% decline between 2008-2010 in UK housing market before any signs of a recovery.
Jonathan DavisN/ASep 2008 40-50 % UK2007-2011Tick
New forecast set at Sep 08. Given historical reference, global bank failures,credit restrictions and economic recession.
brightsale.co.ukJeremy HowardN/AAug 2008 0%UK2008-2009Tick
New research from BrightSale suggests that prices do not have much further to fall to bring them back to long-term equilibrium
Lloyds TSBEric DanielsPhoto of Eric DanielsJul 2008 5%UK2009Tick
Lloyds predict a further 5% fall for 2009 on top of their 10-15% fall prediction for 2008.
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrJul 2008 25%UK2008-2013Tick
National Housing Federation predicts that the average house price in England will rise by 25 per cent over the next five years to reach £274,700, despite fears of a housing market crash.
DeloitteRoger BootlePhoto of Roger BootleJul 2008 33%UK2008-2010Tick
Deloitte now expect UK house prices to fall by about a third by the end of 2010 with severe adverse effects on household spending and investment.
SavillsJeremy HelsbyN/AJul 2008 25%London2008-2009Tick
The chief executive of Savills forecast house prices in London to fall 25 per cent by the end of next year.
GMOJeremy GranthamN/AJul 2008 50%UKNot statedTick
Jeremy Grantham of GMO, the $126-bn US investment fund, notes that UK house prices "could easily decline 50% from the peak, and at that lower level they would still be higher than they were in 1997 as a multiple of income!"
Capital EconomicsRoger BootlePhoto of Roger BootleJun 2008 35%UK2008-2010Tick
Revised forecast: House prices may fall up to 35pc over the next three years, Capital Economics has warned, in one of the bleakest forecasts yet for the UK's property market.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasMay 2008 1-3 % UK2009Tick
Minor falls predicted for 2009.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasMay 2008 7-9 % UK2010-2013Tick
Jones Lang LaSalle expect slow growth from 2010-2013.
Morgan StanleyDavid MilesPhoto of David MilesMar 2008 20%UK2008-2009Tick
David Miles, chief UK economist at Morgan Stanley predicts that house prices will fall by up to 20% over the next two years.
Numis SecuritiesJames HamiltonN/AMar 2008 30%UKNot statedTick
James states that "UK property prices remain 44% over valued we expect them to go to a discount to fair value." (44% over-valuation would result in a 30.55% price drop)
Boom Bust Fred HarrisonPhoto of Fred HarrisonJan 2008 30%UK2008-2012Tick
Fred Harrison predicted a drop of 20% in his book Boom Bust (2005) but he now believes the drop will be around 30%.
London School of EconomicsJohn Van ReenenPhoto of John Van ReenenJan 2008 20%UK2008-2009Tick
John Van Reenen, expected prices to fall 20% before bouncing back but he doesn't state a time period for this prediction.
London School of EconomicsWillem BuiterN/AJan 2008 30%UK2008-2009Tick
Mr Buiter says that on average, lower house prices don't make UK consumers worse off. They lose as owners but gain as renters.
Gordon is a MoronDr Vernon ColemanPhoto of Dr Vernon ColemanAug 2007 50%UKNot statedTick
Dr Vernon Coleman Predicts a 50% House Price Crash in his book "Gordon is a moron".

Predictions archive