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Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
It's chaos and continuity, I agree, and I can understand how galling, maddening ...

Biggest annual drop in car sales since 2009
Agree don't we ? think there might also be pressure to reduce our use of petroch...

How big a fall will we see in some parts of London this year ?
A Titanic...

How big a fall will we see in some parts of London this year ?
I'm confused. Is the economy an iceburg, coal fire or crap steel?...

30% pay rises for NHS workers.
We could move to the semi public private model of Sweden or Singapore. No k...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
It comes down to what you are comfortable with. I'd certainly be struggling with...

30% pay rises for NHS workers.
Given my provision of the fact that only 0.38% of patients in Acute Hospitals re...

30% pay rises for NHS workers.
Having read the majority of your posts I haven't the time and can't really be bo...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
I think that what he is saying is that his income is at present Salary ...

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
I like them,but they are expensive.In a bull i prefer miners with higher AISC,bu...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
That's just it Brexit isn't changing a thing is it? Apart from slowly costing th...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
I would work from home for my UK clients so local economic issues in terms of tr...

Another Russian Spy?
The British have certainly dug themselves a very big hole. It will be interestin...

who else is still on their 1st january det
Sounds like he clean lived his whole life in that case. swings and roundabo...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
Unless you have a substantial ammount on money to take with you thats not really...

Impending problem with UK electricity supply?
And they want everyone to drive electric cars😂...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
The above is mostly true (I've lived there for 10 yrs and the Mrs. is Australian...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
We are up near the coast in Newcastle already but for various reasons still not ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Not sure about this Howler. I am fairly certain from my experience in print and ...

FED has just raised US interest rates by 0.25%
Or the comb over on his head ..... Clooney CB my ar5e....

Impending problem with UK electricity supply?
It's fine, they're generally restricted to the bleak moorlands of central and so...

The Bubbly Bitcoin Thread -- Merged Threads
Total nonsense....

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
Get the X4?, then the X93 from boro bus station to Scarborough. Seriously. ...

There's a rat ( no a mouse) in mi kitchen what am I gonna do?
You worry about getting rid of a couple of mice, these people know how to do it:...

Where to emigrate to, balancing housing, law, etc?
Anyone have experience of Wales or Ireland? We are currently in North East UK an...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Thursday, Mar 22 2018 Add a News Blog Article

Refusal to increase building

Guardian: Berkeley: We can't meet government demands for extra new homes

Berkeley don't think they can increase profits by increasing housebuilding, and point out a number of government related factors. Costs of moving homes, planning difficulties, mortgage limits, btl tax relief changes and economic uncertainty. I do have some sympathy for house builders in fact, because if you potentially facing ongoing falls in the underlying valuation of the land with planning permission, then popping flats or houses on top won't save you from a loss, because its not what people are buying. As construction costs haven't changed. So now May, who is useless, is either going to be forced into government action a la Corbyn or do nothing (

Posted by stillthinking @ 10:56 AM 3 Comments

Pass the Vaseline

The Independent: Savills becomes latest estate agent to warn over challenging housing market

I just love how 'price declines' are given the politically correct term 'volatility' or 'uncertainty'. It's like how what's unfolded since 2008 has never been labelled a 'depression'. Call it like it is. House prices are going down, led by a much-needed crunch in London. I wouldn't want to be an offshore owner of all those newbuild "LUXURY DEVELOPMENTS" now!!! You don't vote, you don't pay tax, you don't live here, you can't sell because nobody onshore will pay them -- and we don't care!

Posted by sneaker @ 05:12 PM 0 Comments

What are the conservatives now?

Torygraph: 41bn deficit

If you look at the political system in the UK you are supposed to have a choice between left and right. The Conservatives are meant to champion the free market and lower government spending. Yet, not only is the level of tax the same under the Conservatives as New Labour, we have a situation where property prices are 5x or 7x times cost of building. Market failure. University fees are all at the max. Market failure. No market based reform has been attempted in the NHS i.e. the reality that doctors do a job same as everybody and need to compete on price and quality is ignored. Schools exactly the same. Now I read this, that Hammond is sounding out 5p increases on income is the platform the Conservatives are going to campaign on???

Posted by stillthinking @ 05:39 PM 2 Comments

The problem with a property price slowdown

Capital and Conflict: The problem with a property price slowdown

The UK’s property boom is sputtering and stuttering. You should be very worried about what happens next. House prices fell nationally in the last three months reported Halifax. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) house price index hit zero in February. It was a bigger drop than forecast by any economist polled by Reuters and the lowest since March 2013.

Posted by cornishman @ 12:16 PM 11 Comments

Brexit not insane prices blamed

Grauniad: London property prices fall as much as 15%

Shoeboxes will still be a million quid if it weren’t for Brexit. I can just hear Generatikn Rent weeping into their Guardians.

Posted by sneaker @ 08:09 AM 0 Comments

Can't believe how quiet you lot have been about this

FT: Foxtons profits slump as London home sales ‘near historic lows’

Their share price has been dropping ever since 2014 yet this blog almost went silent during much of that time. Seems to be waking up a bit now. Where's everyone been??? Are there better places to go? "Profits at Foxtons have slumped nearly two-thirds as the London-focused estate agency grapples with a slowdown that has pushed sales activity in the capital’s property market to “near historic lows”"

Posted by sneaker @ 05:06 PM 7 Comments

Says alot about the Mail readership

Daily Mail: Experts warn of buy-to-let crunch

As commented before the BTL gravy train is being turned off. The Daily Wail obviously think that they have more BTL landlords than potential FTBs in their readership. ARLA continuing the myth that houses mysteriously disappear when withdrawn from the rental market. That certainly didn't happen in 1982 when friends, landlord was trying to sell him a house near Stapleton Road railway station Bristol for £15K as he wasn't making any money from it !!!

Posted by tenyearstogetmymoneyback @ 11:11 AM 6 Comments

Repeat until its fact

Reuters: Not so fast: Inflation may take a while to stir

It is -so- often repeated that low unemployment, over-heating, causes inflation. Clearly though this is rubbish, no company can pay more in real terms than the real output of the worker without going bust. What low unemployment shows up is too much lending (i.e. new money credit expansion) when there aren't enough workers. As in, wage inflation is a monetary phenomenon, too much money, and -not- a low unemployment phenomenon. Wage inflation is the revelation of a balls up by the central banks with too loose monetary conditions and takes 4 years too put the toothpaste back in.

Posted by stillthinking @ 08:08 PM 2 Comments

A generation enjoying a better life than their parents. Not.

BBC News: Mid-earners 'locked out of buying a home'

The extent to which young people are locked out of the British housing market has been revealed in new figures from economists. The biggest decline in home ownership in the last 20 years has been among middle-income 25 to 34-year-olds, the Institute for Fiscal Studies said. In 1995-96, 65% of this group owned a home, but just 27% do in 2015-16, with the biggest drop in south-east England. Middle earners are defined as having take-home pay of £22,200 to £30,600. This can be either as an individual or as a couple. A third of them are university graduates, while 30% left school at 16. Three-quarters of them live with a partner, and around 60% have children.

Posted by quiet guy @ 09:17 AM 13 Comments

England & Wales -0.4%, London -4.3% YoY

Evening standard: London leads house price plunge into ‘the red zone’ as market records worst performance since financial crisis

In answer to Frizzers' post below ... the capital heads a year on year slide, now reflected in E&W figures too.

Posted by nickb @ 10:23 AM 2 Comments

View More News Posts >>

House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF) (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive