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Deluded Old Scrapper Birds On Dating Sites
The modern man has evolved to become inoffensive, in this highly offended world....

How long will London property have to last?
That's an argument for enforcing higher building standards, not ignoring the fac...

Is Prime London Crashing? - Merged Threads
“Compared with the previous year, sales [in prime central London] were down 29...

more than a million UK adults shelve plans to purchase a new home
The delusions in this article are strong. I really hope these guys get what they...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
So in 2019 the choke hold of s24 starts to tighten just as interest rates begin ...

"Will Britain ever wean itself off 'housing heroin'? MYRA BUTTERWORTH suggests a solution"
How many such articles have there been down the years... help the young... so...

The secret £1 ultraviolet treasure hunt
3d wrinkles?...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Amateur hoarding landlords pay tax? Cash in hand in much of London I hear... ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Quite the opposite imo. As I've already stated on here numerous times - the SNP ...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
This statement epitomises your negativity wonderfully. Cheer up....

How long will London property have to last?
It's Dundee but a shared stair. I'd be surprised if there wasn't an issue ...

The London-only work visa- a way to preserve the housing bubble ?
Grieving ? The national governmental/policy-maker effort in terms of will power,...

Buy To Let Finance Watch
"You've pissed on the biscuit BTLers. I will not eat the Pissy Biscuit" ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
The longer they hang on the more debt they accumulate the more beautiful the cra...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Surely if they are reluctant to sell, then the pain when the time arrives and th...

'fergus Wilson -Selling Semis And Putting Up Rents'-- Merged Threads
Somewhere Max Mosely is furious....

Where to get decent quality casual boots
+1 for DM boots in terms of durability although may be truth in making your feet...

more than a million UK adults shelve plans to purchase a new home
I know that but I still think some people voted against EU for reasons not direc...

Are The Shires Crashing ?
Not sure, I think it's still 50k over-priced even at current crazy levels. There...

more than a million UK adults shelve plans to purchase a new home
...prices are too high due to the Government's financial scaffolding to protect ...

How long will London property have to last?
They may not be pretty but those 1930's estates were built to a far higher stand...

more than a million UK adults shelve plans to purchase a new home
There is probably a connection but they have got cause and the effect wrong way ...

'fergus Wilson -Selling Semis And Putting Up Rents'-- Merged Threads
Well, it is Kent....

more than a million UK adults shelve plans to purchase a new home
...jibberish ...for the last 15 years I have advised my family ,son and two daug...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
The beginning of the end of the Union... The UK, not the EU....

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Thursday, Mar 30 2017 Add a News Blog Article

BTL League of Gentlemen

Telegraph: Britain's biggest landlord bans 'coloured people' because of 'the curry smell'

One of Britain's biggest buy-to-let landlords, Fergus Wilson, has banned 'coloured' people from renting his properties because, he says, they leave them smelling of curry. When contacted by The Sun Mr Wilson defended his comments, saying : "To be honest, we’re getting overloaded with coloured people. It is a problem with certain types of coloured people — those who consume curry — it sticks to the carpet.

Posted by quiet guy @ 07:56 AM 7 Comments

It's all Brexit's fault, surely?

The Star, Malaysia: China's capital controls start biting

In recent years, mainland Chinese corporations and cash-rich individuals have been the world’s largest buyers of real estate but this global property binge may subside soon. Since late November, the world’s second largest economy has been scrutinising the deals and projects of its home grown companies abroad and fund repatriation by individuals, particularly towards mega property investments, doubtful mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

Posted by sneaker @ 07:30 AM 0 Comments

QE, asset-price inflation and wages

Bloomberg: Here’s One Chart That Captures the Debate Over QE

First chart shows the 'stellar' gains in world asset prices since 2008 and the sluggish growth in the economy. “We don’t know how effective QE has been (i.e. for the real economy) because we don’t know what would have happened without it,” said Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at Goldman in London. Falling interest rates supported most financial assets, while for the economy “QE has been effective to prevent downside risk,” he said. Any suggestions for a translation of this quote? Third chart shows how ballooning central bank balance sheets have ballooned equity prices. Will the Fed rein back QE and raise Treasury yields and mortgage securities?

Posted by icarus @ 01:11 PM 0 Comments

Damn that pesky Brexit

Zero Hedge: Manhattan Luxury Housing In Freefall: J.Crew CEO Slashes Tribeca Loft Price By Over 40%

If the downturn in London property is because of Brexit .... then why is it happening everywhere? Manhattan, Los Angeles, Vancouver, Hong Kong, you name it.... The answer is it's nothing to do with Brexit! It's because of capital flight controls in China and all the other factors we know well: rising US Dollar interest rates, Russia sanctions, oil crash etc etc But no doubt what's happening in London will be myopically attributed to Brexit. I read elsewhere that Nine Elms bee builds are being offered "cheap" but in reality even down 30% they are still expensive. Who are the buyers if offshore buyers can't cough up any more? The answer is onshore buyers, but only at prices they can afford and they are much lower... the market will clear but not up here.

Posted by sneaker @ 10:09 AM 2 Comments

Buy to let a dying tax dodge

Daily Telegraph: What does the budget mean fro buy tolet landlords

This article is a reminder of just how hard the high loan to value Buy to Letters are going to be hit in the next few years. From April 6th they will be taxed on 25% of their mortgage interest leading to 100% by 2021. This will put many under water based on current low interest rates. Add in a small rise in interest rates and changes in NI and much off this sector will unravel. Already we have seen a massive decline in people buying Buy to Let. The next stage will be people selling. A lot of landlords are crying that this will create a housing shortage and put up rents. This is nonsense as houses get recycled not demolished. so a house taken out of the buy to let sector becomes an owned house and one less renter.

Posted by britishblue @ 08:21 AM 2 Comments

Better than the prospects for renters :(

Shaun Richards Notayesmaneconomics blog: What are the prospects for UK house prices?

UK economic growth has been amazingly steady but the issue will come in the latter half of the year when we are hit by higher inflation levels. These days what was previously regarded as relatively low inflation ( 3%+ on CPI and 4%+ on RPI) has a larger impact because so far on the credit crunch wage growth has not risen with it so we saw a sharp fall in real wages around 2011 for example. It is not impossible that the Bank of England could cut Bank Rate again or produce other house price and bank friendly measures but even they may balk at that with inflation above target. Thus house price growth looks set to fade and the price falls will spread out from Central London. How far across the country they will go depends on the mix between economic growth that 2017 and 18 deliver to us.

Posted by quiet guy @ 01:04 AM 1 Comments

'Surely not'

FT Adviser: Billions of corrupt wealth ‘fuelling London housing crisis’

Corrupt money is thought to be pouring into London’s housing market and exacerbating the capital’s housing crisis, with more than £4.2bn worth of property bought using suspicious wealth.The acquisition of luxury property by corrupt individuals is causing a ripple effect, driving up prices in the rest of the capital and pushing many Londoners out of the city, according to a report by Berlin-based anti-corruption NGO Transparency International.

Posted by jack c @ 09:43 AM 4 Comments

Look to the land

Grauniad: Why have all attempts to fix Britain’s housing crisis failed? Look to the land

Its the Land stupid so tax it...

Posted by pete green @ 04:46 PM 2 Comments

What is this guy up to?

Daily mail: Carney loosens mortgage lending restrictions

why on earth would he do that? either this guy is on another agenda to indebt the whole country with money they cant pay back or he's lost the plot

Posted by taffee @ 11:44 AM 4 Comments

Councils borrowing for commercial properties

FT: A quirky and hazardous corner of British public finance

Councils involved in property speculation again. Hopefully it won't work out like Hammersmith and Fulham.

Posted by stillthinking @ 04:55 AM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive