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Yet another raffle....
I wonder who the April Fool is going to be?...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
Is it this one? I am not surprised if these sell at the moment. There...

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
On a different tangent here's a great article from the NYT from 2014. It ex...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
Not sure what specifically you're referring to here... the development is called...

Yet another raffle....
Lacking a little.... je ne sais quoi I love these raffles. Better than LR i...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
I wonder if they include the job lot of 200 flatts in Battersea Power station th...

The Strange Death of Europe - Book by Douglas Murray
...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
Which one?...

Yet another raffle....
and another: ...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
Can't come soon enough. I checked out a housing development near where I work (G...

Deflationary collapse and the Reflation Cycle to Come.
As part of eldest Panza Junior's education, I take him to Leicester Market,he th...

Kaboom - $14Trn of Hidden Offshore Debt Uncovered
https://www.fca.org.uk/markets/european-market-infrastructure-regulation-emir/re...

Conservatives scramble to reverse slump in support among young
On the contrary, majority of youth I had chance to witness were rather developed...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
Indeed. Bear in mind that the 54k was only counting the ones expected to be 1m a...

Electric car boom will fuel demand for power, says National Grid
It is a guaranteed price. The price quoted in all these articles is the guarante...

Bang! RM -1.2% MoM, and London down the most in a decade
They've got to do something and quickly. As you say,they are the Goldman Sachs o...

Conservatives scramble to reverse slump in support among young
And calling them imbeciles?...

new-build homes....central London plummeted....55 per cent
I've written on this before - the problem is they can't become just flats. They ...

Where are the general stories of landlords in distress? I don't see any?
Heading off topic but I would add incompetence to that too, WRT Overseas Develop...

Conservatives scramble to reverse slump in support among young
Trusting the youth to make the right choices, take responsibility and find meani...

I want to learn about electronics
ought to add that for surface mount,the best way is to tin both pads with a TINY...

I want to learn about electronics
indeed. I find the knack with soldering/desoldering is to use lots of flux,and t...

Conservatives scramble to reverse slump in support among young
This topic in my opinion has little to do with conservative values and few peopl...

Conservatives scramble to reverse slump in support among young
Not sure insulting the youth is going to win any votes, unless it's some kind of...

First Time buyer - Questions
£2950 but yes. That one....

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Tuesday, Sep 19 2017 Add a News Blog Article

What nonsense | HPC saw it coming

BBC News: The collapse of Northern Rock: Ten years on

The "experts" want to ABDI-cate all responsibility for being clueless. This very forum provided sound insight into the CDO crsisi over 10 years ago.

Posted by lvmreader @ 06:52 PM 0 Comments

Its not Carney you should consider..

Torygraph: Is the Bank of England running out of rhetorical firepower on interest rates?

Carney has bluffed to get the market to anticipate rate hikes thereby tightening for him, and has done so many times successfully as the article explains. As the BoE are truthfully in charge of setting the rate then if the market doesn't tighten on his behalf and he is forced to raise, they are wrong-footed, and if they do tighten in anticipation then the BoE does nothing. Its like being a successful blackmailer. Where this cunning plan breaks down though is if inflation starts breaking out outside of the financial markets i.e. wage inflation. I have often wondered for all the CPI, RPI talk, the only thing they ever consider is wage inflation, because all of the data on wage inflation is to hand direct from inland revenue, and if wages aren't going up then neither are prices.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:07 PM 0 Comments

Foxtons bashing

Moneyweek: What Britain’s best-loved estate agent can tell us about UK house prices

Estate agents’ fortunes can tell us a great deal about which way the housing market is going. Foxtons’ share price is in freefall.

Posted by frizzers @ 10:18 AM 0 Comments

Halifax trumpets below inflation price increase

Halifax: Annual house price growth pulls up to 2.6%

... on the back of tiny volumes (see the time chart of homes for sale) as signs of "buoyancy". The 0.1% Quarterly increase equates to an average £200 increase over 3 months. Do they really have such a precise survey or is this just noise? Not sure how this, especially the +1.1% MOM figure, squares with the current reports of widespread reductions in asking prices. Is it a case of high variance in survey data because of low transactions volume? Or are asking prices so loony that a reduction in them is consistent with an increase in sale prices?

Posted by nickb @ 10:50 AM 3 Comments

Is buy-to-let lending about to get tougher?

Every Investor: Is buy-to-let lending about to get tougher?

Andrew Turner, chief executive of Commercial Trust, reveals what is happening behind the scenes which could have an impact on buy-to-let. The future for buy-to-let mortgage landlord applicants could get a lot tougher in the coming weeks, as new Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) rules around lending money come into effect.

Posted by andrew pelis @ 04:39 PM 1 Comments

We can afford banks bailouts, HS2, F-35 and Restoring the Houses of Parliment but not social housing

Independent: Rogue private landlords given £2.5bn a year of public money, new analysis reveals

Billions of pounds of taxpayers' money is being given to rogue landlords who are renting out homes that don't meet basic health and safety standards, new analysis of Government data has revealed. Over the next five years, they will receive more than £12bn in housing benefits – enough money to have helped build more than half a million new homes.

Posted by quiet guy @ 10:37 AM 13 Comments

People questioning monetary policy

Torygraph: Be careful what you wish for in cheering on sterling's slump

An article that questions the benefits of devaluation, and by implication ECB policy.

Posted by stillthinking @ 01:54 AM 3 Comments

Net migration is falling, soon negative?

Grauniad: Net migration to UK drops to lowest level for three years

Title says it all. It seems hard for our media commentators to spot developments for which the appropriate response is not "build more houses". I wonder how they will get there with this one?

Posted by nickb @ 10:25 AM 2 Comments

A sustainable trend?

Notayesmaneconomics Blog: Is housing a better investment than equities?

"Moving onto the conclusion that housing is a better investment than equities then there are plenty of caveats around the data and the assumptions used. What may surprise some is the fact that equities did not win clearly as after all we are told this so often. If your grandmother told you to buy property then it seems she was onto something! As to my home country the UK it seems that the Chinese think the prospects for property are bright." As noted in the comments, regional variations, taxation, liquidity and the bailout of exposed banks in 2007 are factors in this complicated discussion.

Posted by quiet guy @ 01:07 PM 5 Comments

Trade deficit

FT: UK trade deficit swells to eight-month high

One of the responsibilities of the central bank is to manage the trade deficit by raising interest rates, however, Carney for some reason never does this. So it continues on. The UK is all over the place really I wonder how long it can all last.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:31 AM 3 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive