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Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, May 22 2013 Add a News Blog Article

Fresh help for landowners and bankers

The Scottish Government: Fresh help for buyers

People across Scotland are to be helped on to the housing ladder with a £120 million funding boost announced today by Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. The funding will be available over the next two years to both first time buyers and existing homes owners who are buying a new build home. Buyers who successfully apply to use shared equity will be able to purchase a home by paying a majority share in it, while the Scottish Government pays the remaining amount under an agreement with the buyer. As well as helping house buyers the scheme will stimulate the construction industry, creating growth within the house building sector.

Posted by mark wadsworth @ 04:27 PM 0 Comments

Desperate seller throws in a Bentley

Planet Property Blog: House for sale with unique giveaway

Not content with the usual splash of Farrow and Ball and smell of coffee, a Stanmore homeowner has decided to offer an unusual enticement to potential buyers of his six bed house. The black Bentley GTC Mulliner-edition convertible, with 19,500 miles on the clock and a full service history, will be handed over to the buyer of the house, named The Bentley, which is located in Bentley Way and backs onto the Bentley Priory Nature Reserve. Can you see a bit of a theme emerging here?

Posted by property addict @ 11:40 AM 1 Comments

House price rise fuelled by London and the south-east

Myfinances.co.uk: ONS reports house prices went up by 2.7% in March

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reports that UK house prices went up by 2.7 per cent in March. This follows a 1.9 per cent rise in February and reinforces the view borne out by recent housing market surveys that the property market is improving.

Posted by ben @ 11:31 AM 1 Comments

CML: April gross mortgage lending up 4.3% on March

Myfinances.co.uk: Mortgage lending in April at highest level for five years

The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) reports that gross mortgage lending went up by 4.3 per cent in April to £12.1 billion.

Posted by ben @ 11:04 AM 1 Comments

Shopping basket inflation is around 8%

BBC: UK inflation rate falls to 2.4% in April

"The UK's inflation rate fell to 2.4% in April, according to the Office for National Statistics, down from 2.8% in March". "Inflation as measured by the retail prices index (RPI) fell to 2.9% in April, from 3.3% the month before". So far this month everything has been manipulated from horse race winners to oil prices.

Posted by alan @ 10:17 AM 2 Comments

Governments just can't stop themselves from using housing to stay in power

Mail: Average price of a home is now £250,000… that’s NINE times the typical salary

House prices have shot up so far that buyers must earn more than £62,000 - twice the UK's average salary - to afford the average asking price of quarter of a million pounds. New figures show that vendors are asking an average £249,841 - nine times the typical salary in the UK of £26,500. With mortgage firms typically lending a maximum of four times people's salary, borrowers on the UK's average wage could only obtain a mortgage of just over £106,000 - far below the new average asking price.

Posted by hpwatcher @ 08:18 AM 7 Comments

Playing with this CD could damage more than your ears

Reuters: Nationwide plans to issue new loss-absorbing debt

"Nationwide plans to issue a new form of so-called loss-absorbing debt in order to bolster its capital position". "Loss-absorbing debt is used by financial companies to protect themselves against a potential market downturn. Under certain circumstances, the debtholders would incur losses, thereby easing the burden on the issuer. Nationwide could raise between 300 million and 500 million pounds through the issue of so-called core capital deferred shares (CCDS), though a source close to the building society said the size and timing of the issue had not yet been finalised".

Posted by alan @ 07:02 PM 4 Comments

The price of immigration felt in Newham?

Guardian: UK spends £2bn housing homeless in B&Bs, hostels and shelters

"Rising private rents, lack of affordable housing, benefit cuts and low levels of home-building force costly short-term solution, investigation finds" says the article. However, tens of thousands live "under the radar" in Newham, many turning up with just the clothes on their backs and the address of the benefit office. Welcome to London!

Posted by alan @ 12:14 PM 5 Comments

How much does a penthouse cost in London?

Planet Property: How much does a penthouse cost in London?

In these penny-pinching times, a question we know you've all been pondering: how much does a penthouse cost in London? You know it's wrong; it makes you feel a bit grubby ... but you want to know.

Posted by the planet @ 11:19 AM 0 Comments

B&B Nation: Britain spends £2bn housing homeless in remporary accommodation

Planet Property: B&B Nation: Britain spends £2bn housing homeless in remporary accommodation

The UK has spent almost £2bn since 2009 housing vulnerable homeless families in short-term temporary accommodation: enough to build 72,000 homes in London. Genius!

Posted by the planet @ 10:33 AM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 13 £234,000 N/A 2.20 TickThis monthN/A19/03/2013
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Apr 13 £231,170 0.30 3.00 Cross£231,595
(Feb 08)
0.1810/05/2013 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Apr 13 £166,094 1.10 2.00 Tick£199,770
(Aug 07)
16.8608/05/2013 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) May 13 N/A 0.70 3.20 Cross N/A N/A 14/05/2013 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Mar 13 N/A 0.30 0.00 Cross N/A N/A 25/03/2013
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 13 £162,606 0.20 1.00 Tick£186,045
(Jan 08)
12.6028/03/2013 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 13 £165,586 0.10 0.90 Tick£186,044
(Oct 07)
11.0001/05/2013 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Feb 13 £235,741 2.80 1.10 Tick£246,235
(Jun 12)
4.2618/02/2013 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 13 £403,000 N/A N/A 5.50 TickThis monthN/A19/03/2013
Halifax House Price Index Q1 13 £275,753 N/A N/A 4.30 Cross£320,847
(Q3 07)
14.0515/04/2013 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 13 £370,819 0.10 N/A 6.30 Tick£373,207
(Jan 13)
0.6428/03/2013 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 13 £306,919 N/A 2.80 4.60 CrossThis quarterN/A28/03/2013 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Feb 13 £486,890 1.20 N/A 8.40 TickThis monthN/A18/02/2013 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 6%UK2012Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 6%UK2011Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 8.8%UK2013Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 5.8%UK2014Tick
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/AMar 2011 4.9%UK2015Tick
Jonathan DavisN/AOct 2010 40-50 % UK2007-2013Tick
New forecast set at Oct 10. Given historical reference, bank failures, credit restrictions and global economic recession.
IHS Global InsightHoward ArcherPhoto of Howard ArcherSep 2010 10%UK2010-2011Tick
We suspect that house prices could fall by around 10% between now and the end of 2011. Much will obviously depend on how well the economy holds up as the fiscal squeeze increasingly kicks in, mortgage availability and the amount of houses coming on to the market.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasAug 2010 3.9%UK2010Tick
"During the remainder of 2010, JLL expects a decline of 3.9 per cent on current price levels, reducing the value of the average UK property by £6,500."
CEBRN/AN/AAug 2010 4%UK2010Tick
"The Centre For Economics And Business Research (CEBR) said prices will increase 4 per cent this year and continue rising until 2014, mainly due to a shortage of homes in the UK and low interest rates."
NIESRN/AN/AJul 2010 8%UK2010-2015Tick
"The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) claims that prices will fall, in real terms, by about eight per cent."
Capital Economics Ltd.N/AN/AJul 2010 23%UK2010-2012Tick
"UK house prices will fall through 2012 as the deepest public-spending cuts since World War II and tighter credit conditions deter potential buyers."
Knight FrankLiam BaileyN/ADec 2009 3%UK2010Tick
Knight Frank predicts that a continuing growth in unemployment, allied to wage freezes and tax rises, and a rise in average mortgage rates will force a number of sales which, in the absence of greater depth of demand, will see prices slipping back.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasSep 2009 7%UK2010Tick
Jones Lang LaSalle's latest UK Residential Market Forecast predicts this market revival is likely to be unsustainable and a fall in prices of -7% on average is likely during 2010.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 9%UK2009Tick
Cluttons predict that house prices will fall by nine per cent this year and by 1.5 per cent next year, with a peak-to-trough decline of 24 per cent.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 1.5%UK2010Tick
House prices will fall by nine per cent this year and by 1.5 per cent next year, with a peak-to-trough decline of 24 per cent
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 11%London2009Tick
In Central London, Cluttons predict that prices will fall by 11.0 per cent this year but will see a marginal growth of one per cent in 2010, putting the peak-to-trough decline at 29 per cent.
CluttonsThomas GroundsN/AFeb 2009 1%London2010Tick
In Central London, Cluttons predict that prices will fall by 11.0 per cent this year but will see a marginal growth of one per cent in 2010, putting the peak-to-trough decline at 29 per cent.
Market OracleAndrew ButterN/AJan 2009 33%UK2007-2012Tick
For Nationwide Index; updates forecast of 35% to 40% drop (peak to trough) done in Sept 07, reason now low long term interest rates will hold prices up until bottom in 2012.
Market OracleNadeem WalayatN/AJan 2009 36%UK2007-2011Tick
For Halifax Index updates; forecast of 15% drop for 08 done in August 07, bottom 2011.
IHS Global InsightHoward ArcherPhoto of Howard ArcherOct 2008 15%UK2009Tick
Global insight have further revised down their house price forecasts to show a fall of 15% in 2009.
NationwideGraham BealePhoto of Graham BealeSep 2008 25%UK2008-2010Tick
Nationwide CEO Graham Beale expects a 25% decline between 2008-2010 in UK housing market before any signs of a recovery.
Jonathan DavisN/ASep 2008 40-50 % UK2007-2011Tick
New forecast set at Sep 08. Given historical reference, global bank failures,credit restrictions and economic recession.
brightsale.co.ukJeremy HowardN/AAug 2008 0%UK2008-2009Tick
New research from BrightSale suggests that prices do not have much further to fall to bring them back to long-term equilibrium
Lloyds TSBEric DanielsPhoto of Eric DanielsJul 2008 5%UK2009Tick
Lloyds predict a further 5% fall for 2009 on top of their 10-15% fall prediction for 2008.
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrJul 2008 25%UK2008-2013Tick
National Housing Federation predicts that the average house price in England will rise by 25 per cent over the next five years to reach £274,700, despite fears of a housing market crash.
DeloitteRoger BootlePhoto of Roger BootleJul 2008 33%UK2008-2010Tick
Deloitte now expect UK house prices to fall by about a third by the end of 2010 with severe adverse effects on household spending and investment.
SavillsJeremy HelsbyN/AJul 2008 25%London2008-2009Tick
The chief executive of Savills forecast house prices in London to fall 25 per cent by the end of next year.
GMOJeremy GranthamN/AJul 2008 50%UKNot statedTick
Jeremy Grantham of GMO, the $126-bn US investment fund, notes that UK house prices "could easily decline 50% from the peak, and at that lower level they would still be higher than they were in 1997 as a multiple of income!"
Capital EconomicsRoger BootlePhoto of Roger BootleJun 2008 35%UK2008-2010Tick
Revised forecast: House prices may fall up to 35pc over the next three years, Capital Economics has warned, in one of the bleakest forecasts yet for the UK's property market.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasMay 2008 1-3 % UK2009Tick
Minor falls predicted for 2009.
Jones Lang LaSalleJames ThomasPhoto of James ThomasMay 2008 7-9 % UK2010-2013Tick
Jones Lang LaSalle expect slow growth from 2010-2013.
Morgan StanleyDavid MilesPhoto of David MilesMar 2008 20%UK2008-2009Tick
David Miles, chief UK economist at Morgan Stanley predicts that house prices will fall by up to 20% over the next two years.
Numis SecuritiesJames HamiltonN/AMar 2008 30%UKNot statedTick
James states that "UK property prices remain 44% over valued we expect them to go to a discount to fair value." (44% over-valuation would result in a 30.55% price drop)
Boom Bust Fred HarrisonPhoto of Fred HarrisonJan 2008 30%UK2008-2012Tick
Fred Harrison predicted a drop of 20% in his book Boom Bust (2005) but he now believes the drop will be around 30%.
London School of EconomicsJohn Van ReenenPhoto of John Van ReenenJan 2008 20%UK2008-2009Tick
John Van Reenen, expected prices to fall 20% before bouncing back but he doesn't state a time period for this prediction.
London School of EconomicsWillem BuiterN/AJan 2008 30%UK2008-2009Tick
Mr Buiter says that on average, lower house prices don't make UK consumers worse off. They lose as owners but gain as renters.
Gordon is a MoronDr Vernon ColemanPhoto of Dr Vernon ColemanAug 2007 50%UKNot statedTick
Dr Vernon Coleman Predicts a 50% House Price Crash in his book "Gordon is a moron".

Predictions archive