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Celebrity Death Sweepstake 2017
Here's a prophetic scene from ~1973 for all the Brexiteers. What great social co...

Who has 85k in the bank? Guarantee system abolition proposed in EU plans.
Might as well join the rest of the propertdee hoarders, as you know the the only...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
You’d have thought Brexiters in government was enough punishment for the count...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
I'm not a believer in the idea that central banks set or necessarily suppress ma...

Theresa May promises to personally solve UK housing crisis
Long before it is established I will be out of cash. I want to see it happen....

Aberdeen, Aspc Stats
When, finally, will the the term “snap up” go away? Maybe that will be the t...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I suppose there would have to be some sort of explicit punishment, if you know w...

Migration watch on housing
You assume those sweaty bedsits just materialize from nowhere then? They don't h...

Who has 85k in the bank? Guarantee system abolition proposed in EU plans.
What are you doing on this forum? Next thing you'll be telling us is that you ha...

Migration watch on housing
Jesse...people still believe its going to happen....

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Why to put extra tariffs? EU will just move business to EU or they move there on...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
Or they don't care. Can't see past currency collapse now. At every t...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
Or just leave...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
Because they just don't know what else to do....

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
Get out of Sterling and into other currencies and PMs. It's the only way. O...

Migration watch on housing
Though many migrants may either chose or be forced to live in swatty bedsits the...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
So, say, Britain will not pay the 100bn it owes to the EU, but just some meager ...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
They were different times, mortgage rate were much higher and small banks had fu...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
I present hard data, you have not. It is as simple as that. Our trade imbal...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Unless the UK can come up with a solution regarding the NI border, its all meani...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Excellent news. We may have a HPC after all Get out of Sterling while ...

Btl Scum Regrouping And On The Offensive. -- Merged
Quickly read it a few hours ago. One of those BTLers seems to think shorta...

Term Funding Scheme increased by £25bn to £140bn
I wonder if this is somehow related to upcoming regulatory changes, that essenti...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Let me help you here as it sounds like you struggle with basic stuff. This is sh...

Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.
Does anyone know, what the bookies betting odds are?...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Tuesday, Nov 21 2017 Add a News Blog Article

Put your life on hold for a mere five years and you too could be stuck in a studio!

Torygraph: Does estate agency's claim that millennials could save £33k in five years 'by quitting coffee and takeways' add up?

The maths is so wrong it's just dishonest - suggesting that food is free if it isn't takeaway, etc. But the real problem is if every renter cut their spending to the bone to save to sacrifice to the housing gods, the economy would absolutely crash. When the money saved does hit the housing market after 5/10/20 years, it will simply push up prices. No meaningful economic activity occurs when the price of a home goes up (without this being the result of repairs or capital investment)

Posted by mombers @ 05:35 PM 3 Comments

"Stuttering Housing Market"

BBC: House price falls now widespread, say surveyors

House prices are now falling in four areas of the country, according to the latest report from chartered surveyors.The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has said that prices are declining in London, the South East, East Anglia and north-east England.The RICS report on the housing market is gloomy overall, citing fewer buyers and sellers, as well as falling sales.The surveyors thought the short-term outlook for prices was even more negative.When asked what they thought would happen to house prices over the next three months, a majority reported falling values in London, the South East, East Anglia, the South West, the North East and the West Midlands. RICS said that last week's rise in base rates was one factor behind the "stuttering" market.

Posted by jack c @ 09:40 AM 4 Comments

Forget rates rise, expect another crash

Jack Rasmus: China shifts policy, predicts Minsky Moment of global financial instability

The Fed knows that raising rates will boost the $ and threaten US offshore profits, the US construction sector and debt-based consumer spending. So any rise will be token and insignificant. Capital incomes are protected monetarily and fiscally by the state in the US, Europe and Japan It comes to an end when Trump's tax cuts (part of the reason for global growth) play out and when China - the engine of global growth - reins in its own bubbles. Expect another financial crash in late 2018 or 2019.

Posted by icarus @ 07:45 PM 7 Comments

"fear of a falling market"

FT Adviser: Mortgage deals wrecked by spike in down-valuations

Brokers are being hit by a wave of downvaluations on residential and rental properties that have led to borrowers missing out on mortgage deals.According to mortgage advisers surveyors are making significant mark-downs on the value of properties compared to the agents’ prices,

Posted by jack c @ 04:48 PM 1 Comments

Cornered and out of ammo

Independent: Bank of England: As a first interest-rate hike in more than a decade looms, here's what experts expect

For the first time in more than a decade, the Bank of England is widely expected to raise interest rates on Thursday. But whatever decision the Monetary Policy Committee makes, it’s unlikely to be an easy one. Wage growth is stagnating, household budgets are tight and Brexit negotiations are casting a shadow over economic growth prospects.

Posted by quiet guy @ 09:15 PM 1 Comments

Friday 20 Bear Food

BBC: House prices: Have they actually gone up in your neighbourhood?

House prices in more than half of neighbourhoods in England and Wales are still lower in real terms than a decade ago, BBC analysis has revealed. In 58% of wards, residential properties are selling for less now, after accounting for inflation, than they were in 2007.

Posted by jack c @ 11:38 AM 3 Comments

Some interesting charts of houses v Stocks over the long-term

Moneyweek: What’s best to invest in now – stocks or houses?

Some comparisons of stocks vs houses as an investment.

Posted by frizzers @ 07:19 AM 0 Comments

Friday 13 Bear food

Mortgage Solutions: Housing ‘bubble alert’ issued by mortgage adviser for 19 UK towns and cities

Mortgage broker One 77 Mortgages has issued a “bubble alert” on 19 mainly northern UK towns and cities, where house prices are rising but mortgage lending is falling.The research confirmed the “gap” is a measure of affordability by comparing the percentage difference between annual drop in lending against annual house price changes. With this metric, Cleveland was most at risk, with property values rising 11% between Mar 2016 and Mar 2017, while lending fell 0.9%. Following Cleveland was Blackburn, with a gap of 6.8%, and Blackpool, at 6.2%.

Posted by jack c @ 09:46 AM 2 Comments


Daily Mail: £1.7m Georgian manor with 9-hole golf course and a helipad could be yours for £25... if you can complete this crossword

These scams always work the same way. Publicise in the local paper (or DM if you have connections); collect the money; then low and behold not enough tickets sold [this one will need 150,000 tickets) and the raffle gets cancelled, with the owner keeping 20% of proceeds "to cover administrative costs"..... A breathtaking £1.7 million six-bedroom Georgian mansion boasting a nine-hole golf course and helicopter landing pad is being offered as a competition prize. Donna Pirie, 54, is hoping to raise £1 million for charity by raffling off her stunning home for just £25 a ticket

Posted by little professor @ 01:24 PM 1 Comments

Thousands of feckless borrowers set to lose state subsidy

LoveBTL: Support for Mortgage Interest overhaul: thousands 'at risk of losing homes'

OAP and on an interest-only mortgage? Well come next April the government will stop paying your mortgage bill and will offer you a loan on fantastic terms instead.

Posted by landofconfusion @ 01:26 PM 10 Comments

View More News Posts >>

House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF) (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive